Ann Rumley

The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, SCT, United Kingdom

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Publications (124)752.29 Total impact

  • Article: Direct comparisons of three alternative plasma fibrinogen assays with the von Clauss assay in prediction of cardiovascular disease and all-causes mortality: the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort.
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    ABSTRACT: There is strong evidence from meta-analyses of prospective epidemiological studies that increasing plasma fibrinogen levels are associated with an increasing risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. However, there are few published direct comparisons of the several different available fibrinogen assays in association with CVD or mortality. We therefore prospectively compared the standardized von Clauss assay of clottable fibrinogen with three other assays: prothrombin time (PT)-derived clottable fibrinogen, immunonephelometric fibrinogen, and heat precipitable fibrinogen in the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort. Hazard ratios (HRs) for a standard deviation increase in fibrinogen for risk of CVD, adjusted for age and sex, were 1·17 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1·14; 1·21) for the von Clauss assay; 1·19 (1·06; 1·33) for the heat precipitation assay; 1·16 (1·01; 1·35) for the PT-derived assay; and 1·28 (1·10; 1·51) for the immunonephelometric assay. HRs for all-cause mortality were 1·21 (1·18; 1·24); 1·13 (1·01; 1·26), 1·17 (1·00; 1·37) and 1·17 (0·99; 1·39), respectively. No significant differences were observed between the assays in such comparisons. We therefore conclude that the choice between plasma fibrinogen assays in routine clinical haematology and biochemistry laboratories should depend on practical factors, and not on expected differences in the strength of associations.
    British Journal of Haematology 05/2013; · 4.94 Impact Factor
  • Article: Do acute phase markers explain body temperature and brain temperature after ischemic stroke?
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    ABSTRACT: Whiteley et al.(1) reported that higher level of circulating markers of the acute inflammatory response in acute stroke were associated with higher temperatures in normal brain. They found no association between blood markers of inflammation and brain temperature in different regions of brain. The authors measured 3 markers of inflammation: C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and fibrinogen. Higher temperature in diffusion-weighted imaging-abnormal brain was not associated with higher body temperature at the time of the first scan, but was associated with higher contemporaneous body temperature at the second scan. Was there any correlation between ischemic lesions and markers of inflammation? For example, did ischemic lesions in the infratentorial lesions correlate with one of these measurements? Body temperature is related to brain lesion in the hypothalamus and direct or indirect damage to the hypothalamus could contribute to the findings. In addition to brain cooling, elevating these biomarkers should be explored further.
    Neurology 02/2013; 80(8):777-8. · 8.31 Impact Factor
  • Article: Author response.
    Neurology 02/2013; 80(8):778. · 8.31 Impact Factor
  • Article: Hemostatic factors and risk of coronary heart disease in general populations: new prospective study and updated meta-analyses.
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    ABSTRACT: Activation of blood coagulation and fibrinolysis may be associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease. We aimed to assess associations of circulating tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) antigen, D-dimer and von Willebrand factor (VWF) with coronary heart disease risk. Prospective case-control study, systematic review and meta-analyses. Measurements were made in 1925 people who had a first-ever nonfatal myocardial infarction or died of coronary heart disease during follow-up (median 19.4 years) and in 3616 controls nested within the prospective population-based Reykjavik Study. Age and sex-adjusted odds ratios for coronary heart disease per 1 standard deviation higher baseline level were 1.25 (1.18, 1.33) for t-PA antigen, 1.01 (0.95, 1.07) for D-dimer and 1.11 (1.05, 1.18) for VWF. After additional adjustment for conventional cardiovascular risk factors, corresponding odds ratios were 1.07 (0.99, 1.14) for t-PA antigen, 1.06 (1.00, 1.13) for D-dimer and 1.08 (1.02, 1.15) for VWF. When combined with the results from previous prospective studies in a random-effects meta-analysis, overall adjusted odds ratios were 1.13 (1.06, 1.21) for t-PA antigen (13 studies, 5494 cases), 1.23 (1.16, 1.32) with D-dimer (18 studies, 6799 cases) and 1.16 (1.10, 1.22) with VWF (15 studies, 6556 cases). Concentrations of t-PA antigen, D-dimer and VWF may be more modestly associated with first-ever CHD events than previously reported. More detailed analysis is required to clarify whether these markers are causal risk factors or simply correlates of coronary heart disease.
    PLoS ONE 01/2013; 8(2):e55175. · 4.09 Impact Factor
  • Article: Prospective study of IL-18 and risk of MI and stroke in men and women aged 60-79years: A nested case-control study.
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    ABSTRACT: AIM: IL-18 is hypothesized to destabilise atherosclerotic plaques, leading to thrombotic events and epidemiologic studies suggest that IL-18 may increase risk of CHD or CVD. We examined prospective associations between levels of serum IL-18 and new CHD and stroke events in older men and women from a general population. METHODS: A case-control study was nested within a prospective cohort of men and women aged 60-79years recruited from general practices in 25 British towns in 1998-2000 and followed-up for 7.5years for fatal and non-fatal MI and stroke. Baseline IL-18 was measured in stored serum samples of incident cases of MI (n=364) or stroke (n=300) and two controls per case. RESULTS: Geometric mean IL-18 levels were higher among the 364 MI cases than the 706 controls; 417.84pg/mL (IQR 316.25, 537.44) compared to 386.90pg/mL (IQR 296.54, 482.33), p(difference)=0.002. IL-18 was positively associated with adverse lipid and inflammatory profiles. Men and women in the top third of baseline IL-18 levels had an age and sex-adjusted odds ratio (OR) for MI of 1.31 (95%CI 0.92, 1.85) compared with those in the lowest third; this attenuated to 1.05 (95%CI 0.72, 1.53) after additional adjustment for established vascular and inflammatory risk factors. Each doubling of IL-18 level was associated with an increased OR for MI 1.34 (95%CI 1.04, 1.72), which was attenuated on adjustment for established vascular and inflammatory risk factors; 1.09 (95%CI 0.83, 1.44). Geometric mean IL-18 levels did not differ between stroke cases and controls. The OR for stroke associated with the highest compared to the lowest tertile of IL-18 was 1.24 (95%CI 0.84, 1.84). Results for MI and stroke did not differ by presence of pre-existing CVD, gender or age. CONCLUSIONS: Circulating IL-18 levels were strongly associated with a range of established and novel risk factors but were not independently associated with risk of MI or stroke in our study.
    Cytokine 11/2012; · 3.02 Impact Factor
  • Article: Do acute phase markers explain body temperature and brain temperature after ischemic stroke?
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    ABSTRACT: Both brain and body temperature rise after stroke but the cause of each is uncertain. We investigated the relationship between circulating markers of inflammation with brain and body temperature after stroke. We recruited patients with acute ischemic stroke and measured brain temperature at hospital admission and 5 days after stroke with multivoxel magnetic resonance spectroscopic imaging in normal brain and the acute ischemic lesion (defined by diffusion-weighted imaging [DWI]). We measured body temperature with digital aural thermometers 4-hourly and drew blood daily to measure interleukin-6, C-reactive protein, and fibrinogen, for 5 days after stroke. In 44 stroke patients, the mean temperature in DWI-ischemic brain soon after admission was 38.4° C (95% confidence interval [CI] 38.2-38.6), in DWI-normal brain was 37.7° C (95% CI 37.6-37.7), and mean body temperature was 36.6° C (95% CI 36.3-37.0). Higher mean levels of interleukin-6, C-reactive protein, and fibrinogen were associated with higher temperature in DWI-normal brain at admission and 5 days, and higher overall mean body temperature, but only with higher temperature in DWI-ischemic brain on admission. Systemic inflammation after stroke is associated with elevated temperature in normal brain and the body but not with later ischemic brain temperature. Elevated brain temperature is a potential mechanism for the poorer outcome observed in stroke patients with higher levels of circulating inflammatory markers.
    Neurology 06/2012; 79(2):152-8. · 8.31 Impact Factor
  • Article: Inflammation, coagulation and risk of locomotor disability in elderly women: findings from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.
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    ABSTRACT: This study investigated associations between chronic inflammation and coagulation and incident locomotor disability using prospective data from the British Women's Heart and Health Study. Locomotor disability was assessed using self-reported questionnaires in 1999/2000, and 3 and 7 years later. Scores for inflammation and coagulation were obtained from summation of quartile categories of all available biomarkers from blood samples taken at baseline. 534 women developed locomotor disability after 3 years, 260 women after 7 years, while 871 women remained free of locomotor disability over the whole study period. After adjustment for demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors and health conditions, we found associations between inflammation and incident locomotor disability after three (OR per unit increase in score = 1.08, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 1.13) and 7 years (OR = 1.10, 95 % CI: 1.03, 1.18) and between coagulation and incident locomotor disability after 3 (OR = 1.06, 95 % CI: 0.98, 1.14) and 7 years (OR = 1.09, 95 % CI: 1.00, 1.18). This corresponds to ORs between 1.8 and 2.4 comparing women with highest to lowest inflammation or coagulation scores. These results support the role of inflammation and coagulation in the development of locomotor disability in elderly women irrespective of their lifestyle factors and underlying age-related chronic diseases.
    European Journal of Epidemiology 06/2012; 27(8):633-45. · 4.71 Impact Factor
  • Article: Genetic associations for activated partial thromboplastin time and prothrombin time, their gene expression profiles, and risk of coronary artery disease.
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    ABSTRACT: Activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) and prothrombin time (PT) are clinical tests commonly used to screen for coagulation-factor deficiencies. One genome-wide association study (GWAS) has been reported previously for aPTT, but no GWAS has been reported for PT. We conducted a GWAS and meta-analysis to identify genetic loci for aPTT and PT. The GWAS for aPTT was conducted in 9,240 individuals of European ancestry from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, and the GWAS for PT was conducted in 2,583 participants from the Genetic Study of Three Population Microisolates in South Tyrol (MICROS) and the Lothian Birth Cohorts (LBC) of 1921 and 1936. Replication was assessed in 1,041 to 3,467 individuals. For aPTT, previously reported associations with KNG1, HRG, F11, F12, and ABO were confirmed. A second independent association in ABO was identified and replicated (rs8176704, p = 4.26 × 10(-24)). Pooling the ARIC and replication data yielded two additional loci in F5 (rs6028, p = 3.22 × 10(-9)) and AGBL1 (rs2469184, p = 3.61 × 10(-8)). For PT, significant associations were identified and confirmed in F7 (rs561241, p = 3.71 × 10(-56)) and PROCR/EDEM2 (rs2295888, p = 5.25 × 10(-13)). Assessment of existing gene expression and coronary artery disease (CAD) databases identified associations of five of the GWAS loci with altered gene expression and two with CAD. In summary, eight genetic loci that account for ∼29% of the variance in aPTT and two loci that account for ∼14% of the variance in PT were detected and supported by functional data.
    The American Journal of Human Genetics 06/2012; 91(1):152-62. · 10.60 Impact Factor
  • Article: Inflammation and not cardiovascular risk factors is associated with short leukocyte telomere length in 13- to 16-year-old adolescents.
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    ABSTRACT: Short leukocyte telomere length (LTL) is associated with cardiovascular (CV) disease in adulthood. However, the biological basis of this association remains unclear. We sought to define early determinants of the association between CV disease and LTL in an adolescent population. One thousand eighty adolescents, aged 13 to 16 years and participating in the Ten Towns Heart Health Study, provided blood samples for DNA extraction and measurement of a range of CV risk factors. LTL was measured by real-time polymerase chain reaction. LTL was inversely associated with age (P=0.04), longer in females than in males (P=0.03), and longer in South Asians than in white Europeans (P=0.01). No associations were found between LTL and traditional CV risk factors. There was a significant and inverse association between LTL and inflammatory markers, including C-reactive protein (P<0.001) and fibrinogen (P=0.001). The associations between LTL and inflammatory markers were not affected by multiple adjustments for behavioral and metabolic factors. High levels of inflammation are associated with shorter LTL from early adolescence; traditional CV risk factors have little association with LTL in adolescence. Inflammation in early life may play a causal role in the adult association between short LTL and CV disease.
    Arteriosclerosis Thrombosis and Vascular Biology 06/2012; 32(8):2029-34. · 6.37 Impact Factor
  • Article: Genetic Variants Associated With Altered Plasma Levels of C-Reactive Protein are not Associated With Late-Life Cognitive Ability in Four Scottish Samples
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    ABSTRACT: It is unknown whether the relationship between raised inflammatory biomarker levels and late-life cognitive ability is causal. We explored this issue by testing the association between genetic regulators of plasma C-reactive protein (CRP) and cognition. Data were analysed from four cohorts based in central Scotland (Total N=4,782). Associations were tested between variants in the CRP gene and both plasma CRP levels and a battery of neuropsychological tests, including a vocabulary-based estimate of peak prior cognitive ability and a general (summary) cognitive factor score, or ‘g’. CRP levels were associated with a number of variants in the CRP gene (SNPs), including rs1205, rs1130864, rs1800947, and rs1417938 (P range 4.2e−06 to 0.041). Higher CRP levels were also associated with vocabulary-adjusted cognitive ability, used here to estimate lifetime cognitive change (P range 1.7e−04 to 0.038). After correction for multiple testing and adjustment for age and sex, no statistically significant associations were found between the SNPs and cognition. CRP is unlikely to be a causal determinant of late-life cognitive ability.
    Behavior Genetics 04/2012; 40(1):3-11. · 2.52 Impact Factor
  • Article: Fibrin D-dimer, tissue-type plasminogen activator, von Willebrand factor, and risk of incident stroke in older men.
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    ABSTRACT: Abnormalities in blood coagulation and the fibrinolytic system have been associated with increased risk of stroke, but few prospective studies have studied the associations in older adults. We have examined the associations between fibrin D-dimer, tissue-type plasminogen activator, and von Willebrand factor (vWF) and risk of stroke in older men and examined their predictive roles separately in normotensive and hypertensive men. Prospective study of 3358 men aged 60 to 79 years with no previous diagnosis of myocardial infarction or stroke and without atrial fibrillation followed-up for an average of 9 years, during which there were 187 incident stroke events. Increased levels of D-dimer and vWF were associated with significantly increased risk of major stroke events after adjustment for potential confounders, including systolic blood pressure (adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence interval per standard deviation increase in D-dimer and vWF were 1.24 [95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.44] and 1.25 [95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.45], respectively). No associations were seen with tPA after adjustment. The positive associations between D-dimer and vWF and incident stroke remained after additional adjustment for markers of inflammation (C-reactive protein, IL-6). D-dimer was associated with stroke in both normotensive and hypertensive men; vWF showed stronger associations in normotensive than in hypertensive men (test for interaction: P=0.52 for D-dimer; P<0.01 for vWF). Fibrin D-dimer and vWF are associated with increased risk of stroke in older men. These associations were not explained by their associations with inflammation. D-dimer may be a useful marker to identify those at high risk for stroke among hypertensive men.
    Stroke 03/2012; 43(5):1206-11. · 5.73 Impact Factor
  • Article: The use of blood biomarkers to predict poor outcome after acute transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke.
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    ABSTRACT: The prediction of death or disability ("poor outcome") after stroke by validated clinical models might be improved by the addition of blood biomarker measurements. We investigated whether such measurements improved the classification of patients into 4 categories of predicted risk of poor outcome: very high, intermediate high, intermediate low, and very low. We prospectively recruited symptomatic patients within 24 hours of ischemic cerebrovascular events. We measured clinical prognostic variables in each patient. We drew blood soon after admission and measured markers of inflammation, thrombosis, cardiac strain, and cerebral damage. We assessed poor outcome at 3 months with the modified Rankin Scale and recovery of symptoms at 24 hours. We measured the association between blood marker levels and poor outcome after adjustment for stroke severity and age with multivariate logistic regression. Where these associations were statistically significant, we calculated the net reclassification index. We recruited 270 patients with acute ischemic cerebrovascular events. At 3 months, 112 patients had a poor outcome. After adjustment for stroke severity and age, only interleukin-6 and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide were significantly associated with poor outcome. The addition of either interleukin-6 or N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide to National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and age did not improve the prediction of a poor outcome. Neither interleukin-6 nor N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide had sufficient predictive power to be of clinical use to predict poor outcome after stroke. The search for better markers to improve the classification of patients across clinically relevant boundaries of predicted probabilities of outcome events needs to continue.
    Stroke 01/2012; 43(1):86-91. · 5.73 Impact Factor
  • Article: Genetic variants associated with Von Willebrand factor levels in healthy men and women identified using the HumanCVD BeadChip.
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    ABSTRACT: We have used the gene-centric Illumina HumanCVD BeadChip to identify common genetic determinants of Von Willebrand factor (vWF) levels in healthy men and women. The Whitehall II (WHII) study (n= 5592) and the British Women's Heart and Health Study (BWHHS) (n= 3445) were genotyped using the HumanCVD BeadChip. Replication was conducted in the British Regional Heart Study (n= 3897) and 1958 Birth Cohort (n= 5048). We identified 48 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in four genes/regions associated with vWF at P < 10(-4) . These included 19 SNPs at the ABO blood group locus with the lead variant being rs657152 (P= 9.7 × 10(-233) ). The lead variant in the 24 VWF SNPs was rs1063856 (P= 2.3 × 10(-20) ). SNPs at ESR1 (rs6909023) and NRG1(rs1685103) showed modest associations with vWF, but these were not confirmed in a meta-analysis. Using variable selection, five SNPs at the locus for ABO and two for VWF were found to have independent associations with vWF levels. After adjustment for age and gender, the selected ABO SNPs explained 15% and the VWF SNPs an additional 2% of the variance in vWF levels. Individuals at opposite tails of the additive seven SNP allele score exhibited substantial differences in vWF levels. These data demonstrate that multiple common alleles with small effects make, in combination, important contributions to individual differences in vWF levels.
    Annals of Human Genetics 07/2011; 75(4):456-67. · 2.57 Impact Factor
  • Article: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic Peptide is a more useful predictor of cardiovascular disease risk than C-reactive protein in older men with and without pre-existing cardiovascular disease.
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    ABSTRACT: We aimed to compare the predictive capabilities of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and C-reactive protein (CRP) for risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in older men with and without pre-existing CVD. The clinical utility of NT-proBNP in CVD risk stratification in the general population remains unclear. A prospective study of 3,649 men age 60 to 79 years were followed for a mean of 9 years during which there were 608 major CVD events (major fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease, stroke, and CVD death). NT-proBNP was significantly associated with risk of all major CVD outcomes after adjustment for CV risk factors in both men with and without CVD. The adjusted standardized hazard ratios for CVD events in those without pre-existing CVD and those with pre-existing CVD were 1.49 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.33 to 1.65) and 1.52 (95% CI: 1.33 to 1.75), respectively. CRP was associated with CVD outcomes only in men without pre-existing CVD (adjusted standardized hazard ratios: 1.22 [95% CI: 1.10 to 1.34] and 1.00 [95% CI: 0.86 to 1.38], respectively). NT-proBNP was more strongly associated with CVD outcome than CRP, particularly among those with pre-existing CVD. Inclusion of NT-proBNP in a Framingham-based model yielded significant improvement in C-statistics in both men with and without CVD and resulted in a net reclassification improvement of 8.8% (p = 0.0009) and 8.2% (p < 0.05), respectively, for major CVD events. Inclusion of CRP in the Framingham-based model did not improve prediction in either group (net reclassification improvement 3.8% and 0.6%, respectively). NT-proBNP, but not CRP, improved prediction of major CVD events in older men with and without pre-existing CVD.
    Journal of the American College of Cardiology 06/2011; 58(1):56-64. · 14.16 Impact Factor
  • Article: Haemostatic and inflammatory markers are independently associated with myocardial infarction in men and women.
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    ABSTRACT: Previous studies have shown that plasma levels of haemostatic and inflammatory markers are associated with risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). As haemostatic markers are also acute-phase reactants, it is not clear if their association with CHD is independent of inflammatory markers and established cardiovascular risk factors. We used a prospective incident case-control study design nested in two cohorts from Sweden. Baseline measurements of a panel of cardiovascular risk factors and eight established markers of haemostasis or inflammation were assessed in 469 first-ever myocardial infarction (MI) cases and 895 matched controls. After adjustment for baseline values of established risk factors, von Willebrand factor appeared to have the strongest association with MI among the haemostatic markers assayed, with an odds ratio of 2.52 (95% CI, 1.72-3.67) for a comparison of individuals in extreme thirds of baseline levels. For a similar comparison, after adjustment for established risk factors and haemostatic markers, odds ratios for IL-6 and CRP were 1.67 (95% CI, 1.08-2.60) and 1.58 (95% CI, 1.03-2.41), respectively. The relative predictive ability of the individual markers over and above established risk factors was modest according to comparisons of Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) curves. However, when all eight markers were combined in a single model, the AUROC curve was significantly increased to 0.820 (95% CI, 0.795-0.846) compared to 0.762 (95% CI, 0.732-0.791) for established risk factors only. These findings suggest that haemostasis and inflammation have at least partially separate roles in risk of myocardial infarction.
    Thrombosis Research 06/2011; 129(1):68-73. · 2.44 Impact Factor
  • Article: Genetic predictors of fibrin D-dimer levels in healthy adults.
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    ABSTRACT: Fibrin fragment D-dimer, one of several peptides produced when crosslinked fibrin is degraded by plasmin, is the most widely used clinical marker of activated blood coagulation. To identity genetic loci influencing D-dimer levels, we performed the first large-scale, genome-wide association search. A genome-wide investigation of the genomic correlates of plasma D-dimer levels was conducted among 21 052 European-ancestry adults. Plasma levels of D-dimer were measured independently in each of 13 cohorts. Each study analyzed the association between ≈2.6 million genotyped and imputed variants across the 22 autosomal chromosomes and natural-log–transformed D-dimer levels using linear regression in additive genetic models adjusted for age and sex. Among all variants, 74 exceeded the genome-wide significance threshold and marked 3 regions. At 1p22, rs12029080 (P=6.4×10(-52)) was 46.0 kb upstream from F3, coagulation factor III (tissue factor). At 1q24, rs6687813 (P=2.4×10(-14)) was 79.7 kb downstream of F5, coagulation factor V. At 4q32, rs13109457 (P=2.9×10(-18)) was located between 2 fibrinogen genes: 10.4 kb downstream from FGG and 3.0 kb upstream from FGA. Variants were associated with a 0.099-, 0.096-, and 0.061-unit difference, respectively, in natural-log–transformed D-dimer and together accounted for 1.8% of the total variance. When adjusted for nonsynonymous substitutions in F5 and FGA loci known to be associated with D-dimer levels, there was no evidence of an additional association at either locus. Three genes were associated with fibrin D-dimer levels. Of these 3, the F3 association was the strongest, and has not been previously reported.
    Circulation 05/2011; 123(17):1864-72. · 14.74 Impact Factor
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    Article: Interleukin 18 and coronary heart disease: prospective study and systematic review.
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    ABSTRACT: Previous studies suggest that circulating levels of interleukin-18 (IL-18) may be prospectively related to risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population. We report new data from the largest prospective study to date, which are combined with data from all published prospective studies in a meta-analysis. We measured baseline IL-18 levels in stored serum samples of subjects from a case-control study nested within a prospective study of 5661 men aged 40-59 years recruited from general practices in 18 British towns in 1978-1980 and followed-up for up to 16 years (median time to event 8.4 years) for fatal CHD and non-fatal myocardial infarction (595 cases, 1238 controls). IL-18 concentrations were strongly related to cigarette smoking, triglyceride, HDL-cholesterol (inversely) and to circulating levels of several inflammatory and haemostatic markers. Men in the top third of baseline IL-18 levels had an age-adjusted odds ratio (OR) for CHD of 1.55 (95% CI 1.21, 1.98) compared with those in the lowest third; this was reduced to 1.30 (95% CI 0.99, 1.69) after additional adjustment for vascular risk factors and 1.12 (95% CI 0.84, 1.49) after further adjustment for CRP and IL-6. In meta-analyses of CVD, associations (or effect sizes) were consistent between studies; RRs were 1.64 [corrected] (95% CI 1.48, 1.83) [corrected] after age adjustment, 1.39 (95% CI 1.25, [corrected] 1.55) after additional risk factor adjustment and 1.34 (95% CI 1.17, 1.53) [corrected] after additional adjustment for inflammatory markers. Circulating IL-18 is prospectively and independently associated with CVD risk.
    Atherosclerosis 04/2011; 217(1):227-33. · 3.79 Impact Factor
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    Article: Incident venous thromboembolic events in the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER).
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    ABSTRACT: Venous thromboembolic events (VTE), including deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, are common in older age. It has been suggested that statins might reduce the risk of VTE however positive results from studies of middle aged subjects may not be generalisable to elderly people. We aimed to determine the effect of pravastatin on incident VTE in older people; we also studied the impact of clinical and plasma risk variables. This study was an analysis of incident VTE using data from the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER), a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of pravastatin in men and women aged 70-82. Mean follow-up was 3.2 years. Risk for VTE was examined in non-warfarin treated pravastatin (n = 2834) and placebo (n = 2865) patients using a Cox's proportional hazard model, and the impact of other risk factors assessed in a multivariate forward stepwise regression analysis. Baseline clinical characteristics, blood biochemistry and hematology variables, plasma levels of lipids and lipoproteins, and plasma markers of inflammation and adiposity were compared. Plasma markers of thrombosis and hemostasis were assessed in a nested case (n = 48) control (n = 93) study where the cohort was those participants, not on warfarin, for whom data were available. There were 28 definite cases (1.0%) of incident VTE in the pravastatin group recipients and 20 cases (0.70%) in placebo recipients. Pravastatin did not reduce VTE in PROSPER compared to placebo [unadjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 1.42 (0.80, 2.52) p = 0.23]. Higher body mass index (BMI) [1.09 (1.02, 1.15) p = 0.0075], country [Scotland vs Netherlands 4.26 (1.00, 18.21) p = 0.050 and Ireland vs Netherlands 6.16 (1.46, 26.00) p = 0.013], lower systolic blood pressure [1.35 (1.03, 1.75) p = 0.027] and lower baseline Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) score [1.19 (1.01, 1.41) p = 0.034] were associated with an increased risk of VTE, however only BMI, country and systolic blood pressure remained significant on multivariate analysis. In a nested case control study of definite VTE, plasma Factor VIII levels were associated with VTE [1.52 (1.01, 2.28), p = 0.044]. However no other measure of thrombosis and haemostasis was associated with increased risk of VTE. Pravastatin does not prevent VTE in elderly people at risk of vascular disease. Blood markers of haemostasis and inflammation are not strongly predictive of VTE in older age however BMI, country and lower systolic blood pressure are independently associated with VTE risk. Not applicable when study undertaken.
    BMC Geriatrics 02/2011; 11:8. · 2.34 Impact Factor
  • Article: Association of circulating inflammatory markers with recurrent vascular events after stroke: a prospective cohort study.
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    ABSTRACT: inflammatory markers may be associated with recurrent vascular events after stroke. We aimed to determine the association between IL-6, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen and white cell count, with recurrent vascular events after stroke, and to compare the association between circulating inflammatory markers with the risk of death from vascular vs nonvascular causes. we prospectively recruited patients with acute stroke (n=817) and followed them for up to 4 years for the occurrence of fatal or nonfatal recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction or fatal vascular events, and death from any cause (n=159). the delay to assessment was a median of 10 days. The adjusted incidence of the outcome cluster recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction or vascular death after stroke was significantly higher with higher levels of IL-6 (75(th) to 25(th) percentile hazard ratio, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.37-1.77), C-reactive protein (75(th) to 25(th) percentile hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.11), and fibrinogen (75(th) to 25(th) percentile hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.24-1.72). The associations between inflammatory markers and death were stronger than with recurrent vascular events. The associations of inflammatory markers with vascular and nonvascular deaths were similar. although inflammatory markers were associated with an increased risk of recurrent vascular events and vascular death after stroke, they were also associated with nonvascular causes of death, suggesting that inflammatory markers do not play a causal role specifically in the generation of recurrent vascular events after stroke. Future studies of the prediction of recurrent vascular events after stroke should concentrate on clinical variables or different blood markers.
    Stroke 01/2011; 42(1):10-6. · 5.73 Impact Factor
  • Article: Genetic associations between fibrinogen and cognitive performance in three Scottish cohorts.
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    ABSTRACT: There is increasing evidence to suggest that elevated plasma levels of fibrinogen are associated with late-life cognitive performance. This study tested the association of single nucleotide polymorphisms in the fibrinogen α (FGA) and β (FGB) genes with cognitive performance. Data were analysed from three community-dwelling populations of older persons (>50 years) in central Scotland: the Aspirin for Asymptomatic Atherosclerosis (AAA) Trial (n = 2,091), the Edinburgh Type 2 Diabetes Study (ET2DS, n = 1,066), and the Lothian Birth Cohort 1936 (LBC1936, n = 1,091). Cognition was assessed using a battery of five, seven, and four psychometric tests, respectively. This information was used to derive a general cognitive factor. Weakly significant associations were found between the rs4220 (FGB), and rs2227412 (FGB) SNPs and a single test of cognitive performance in the AAA Trial (p < 0.05). These findings did not replicate in the LBC1936 or ET2DS cohorts, except for the rs2227412 SNP, which was significantly associated with the general cognitive factor in the ET2DS (p = 3.3 × 10(-4)). A summary term that combined results from all three studies suggested that the rs2227412 genotype associated with reduced cognitive ability also associated with higher plasma fibrinogen levels. These findings suggest a tentative role for fibrinogen as a determinant of late-life cognitive performance and justify further attempts at replication in older persons.
    Behavior Genetics 01/2011; 41(5):691-9. · 2.52 Impact Factor

Institutions

  • 2005–2012
    • The University of Edinburgh
      • • Centre for Population Health Sciences
      • • Medical Genetics Unit
      • • Division of Health Sciences
      Edinburgh, SCT, United Kingdom
  • 2002–2012
    • University of Glasgow
      • Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences
      Glasgow, SCT, United Kingdom
  • 2003–2011
    • University College London
      • • Department of Primary Care and Population Health (PCPH)
      • • Department of Epidemiology and Public Health
      London, ENG, United Kingdom
    • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
      London, ENG, United Kingdom
  • 2009
    • Mount Sinai School of Medicine
      • Department of Medicine
      Manhattan, NY, USA
    • University of Dundee
      Dundee, SCT, United Kingdom
  • 2005–2009
    • Queen's University Belfast
      Belfast, NIR, United Kingdom
  • 2005–2008
    • University of Bristol
      • MRC Centre for Causal Analyses in Translational Epidemiology
      Bristol, ENG, United Kingdom
  • 2004–2008
    • University of Cambridge
      • Department of Public Health and Primary Care
      Cambridge, ENG, United Kingdom
    • Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry
      London, ENG, United Kingdom
  • 2007
    • Swansea University
      Swansea, WLS, United Kingdom
  • 2006
    • Royal Prince Alfred Hospital
      Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia
  • 1999–2003
    • NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde
      Glasgow, SCT, United Kingdom