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ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate whether high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) levels prior to cardioversion (CV) predict recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients randomized to treatment with either atorvastatin or placebo 30 and 180days after CV. METHODS: This was a prespecified substudy of 128 patients with persistent AF randomized to treatment with atorvastatin 80mg/day or placebo, initiated 14days before CV, and continued 30days after CV. HsCRP levels were measured at randomization, at the time of CV, and 2days and 30days after CV. RESULTS: In univariate analysis of those who were in sinus rhythm 2h after CV, hsCRP did not significantly (odds ratio [OR] 1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99-1.25) predict recurrence of AF at 30days. However, after adjusting for treatment with atorvastatin, hsCRP predicted the recurrence of AF (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01-1.27). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis with gender, age, body mass index (BMI), smoking, cholesterol, and treatment with atorvastatin as covariates, the association was still significant (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01-1.29). Six months after CV, hsCRP at randomization predicted recurrence of AF in both univariate analysis (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.06-1.60) and in multivariate logistic regression analysis (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.06-1.67). CONCLUSION: HsCRP was associated with AF recurrence one and six months after successful CV of persistent AF. However, the association at one month was significant only after adjusting for atorvastatin treatment.
International journal of cardiology 06/2012; · 7.08 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: Inflammation, endothelial dysfunction and metabolic pathways provide possible links between the inflammatory and hypofibrinolytic states in atrial fibrillation. Our aim was to explore the role of mass concentrations of PAI-1 and tPA, activities of PAI-1 and tPA as predictors of recurrence of atrial fibrillation adjusted for CRP.
The study included 129 patients with persistent atrial fibrillation. Laboratory analyses were performed including PAI-1 activity, PAI-1 mass, tPA activity, tPA mass and CRP in baseline. Patients were then randomized to atorvastatin (40 mg, two tablets once daily) or placebo, initiated at least 14 days before the elective cardioversion. Further samples and follow-up were made at day 2 and 30 days after cardioversion.
In univariate logistic regression no fibrinolytic variable was significantly correlated with rhythm in day 30. In multivariate analysis lower PAI-1 mass was significantly associated with sinus rhythm in all models including fibrinolytic variables, CRP, metabolic components, age, hypertension and smoking. After adding treatment allocation to the fully adjusted model, PAI-1 mass remained significantly associated with sinus rhythm both at day 2 and 30 (OR 0.98; 95% CI 0.95-1.00).
No fibrinolytic component alone was found to be a predictor of recurrence of atrial fibrillation. In multivariate models lower PAI-1 mass was associated with sinus rhythm even after adjusting for CRP, markers of the metabolic syndrome and treatment with atorvastatin. Our findings suggest a patophysiological link between AF and PAI-1 mass but the relation to inflammation remains unclear.
Thrombosis Research 03/2011; 127(3):189-92. · 2.44 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: Data from prospective studies on blood pressure and prostate cancer risk are limited, and results are inconclusive. Baseline measurements of height, weight and blood pressure were available in 336,159 men in the Swedish Construction Workers cohort. During an average of 22.2 years of follow-up, 10,002 incident cases and 2,601 fatal cases of prostate cancer were identified in National registers. For 5,219 cases, tumor characteristics were available; 2,817 tumors were classified as nonaggressive and 2,402 as aggressive. Relative risks of disease were estimated from Cox regression models, using attained age as time-scale, and adjusting for birth year, smoking status and body mass index (BMI). Top compared to bottom quintile level of systolic or diastolic blood pressure was associated with a significant 15-20% decreased risk of incident prostate cancer (p for trend: systolic < 0.0001, diastolic = 0.3), but blood pressure was not significantly associated with risk of fatal prostate cancer. BMI was not associated with prostate cancer incidence, but was positively associated with fatal prostate cancer; men in the top quintile had a 30% increased risk (p for trend = 0.0004). The associations between blood pressure and BMI and nonaggressive tumors were similar to those of incident prostate cancer, and associations with aggressive tumors were similar to those of fatal prostate cancer. Data from our study suggest that hypertension is associated with a decreased risk of incident prostate cancer, but the explanation for this finding is unclear. Our study support a positive association between overweight and risk of fatal prostate cancer.
International Journal of Cancer 10/2010; 127(7):1660-8. · 5.44 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: This article presents a study of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) and its long-term effects on mortality and heart rhythm.
The study cohort consisted of 571 patients with no history of AF who underwent primary aortocoronary bypass surgery from 1999 to 2000. Postoperative AF occurred in 165/571 patients (28.9%). After a median follow-up of 6 years, questionnaires were obtained from 91.6% of surviving patients and an electrocardiogram (ECG) from 88.6% of all patients. Data from hospitalisations due to arrhythmia or stroke during follow-up were analysed. The causes of death were obtained for deceased patients.
In postoperative AF patients, 25.4% had atrial fibrillation at follow-up compared with 3.6% of patients with no AF at surgery (p<0.001). An episode of postoperative AF was the strongest independent risk factor for development of late AF, with an adjusted risk ratio of 8.31 (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.20-16.43). Mortality was 29.7% (49 deaths/165 patients) in the AF group and 14.8% (60 deaths/406 patients) in the non-AF group (p<0.001). Death due to cerebral ischaemia was more common in the postoperative AF group (4.2% vs 0.2%, p<0.001), as was death due to myocardial infarction (6.7% vs 3.0%, p=0.041). Postoperative AF was an age-independent risk factor for late mortality, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.57 (95% CI 1.05-2.34).
Postoperative AF patients have an eightfold increased risk of developing AF in the future, and a doubled long-term cardiovascular mortality.
European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery: official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery 02/2010; 37(6):1353-9. · 2.40 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: To evaluate the effect of atorvastatin in achieving stable sinus rhythm (SR) 30 days after electrical cardioversion (CV) in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF).
The study included 234 patients. The patients were randomized to treatment with atorvastatin 80 mg daily (n = 118) or placebo (n = 116) in a prospective, double-blinded fashion. Treatment was initiated 14 days before CV and was continued 30 days after CV. The two groups were well-balanced with respect to baseline characteristics. Mean age was 65 +/- 10 years, 76% of the patients were male and 4% had ischaemic heart disease. Study medication was well-tolerated in all patients but one. Before primary endpoint 12 patients were excluded. In the atorvastatin group 99 patients (89%) converted to SR at electrical CV compared with 95 (86%) in the placebo group (P = 0.42). An intention-to-treat analysis with the available data, by randomization group, showed that 57 (51%) in the atorvastatin group and 47 (42%) in the placebo group were in SR 30 days after CV (OR 1.44, 95%CI 0.85-2.44, P = 0.18).
Atorvastatin was not statistically superior to placebo with regards to maintaining SR 30 days after CV in patients with persistent AF.
European Heart Journal 03/2009; 30(7):827-33. · 10.48 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: To investigate the impact of postoperative AF on late mortality and cause of death in CABG patients.
All CABG patients without preoperative AF surgically treated between January 1, 1997 and June 30, 2000 were included (N = 1419). Altogether, 419 patients (29.5%) developed postoperative AF. After a median follow-up of 8.0 years, survival data were obtained, causes of death were compared and Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to determine predictors of late mortality.
The total mortality was 140 deaths/419 patients (33.4%) in postoperative AF patients and 191 deaths/1 000 patients (19.1%) in patients without AF. Death due to cerebral ischemia (2.6% vs. 0.5%), myocardial infarction (7.4% vs. 3.0%), sudden death (2.6% vs. 0.9%), and heart failure (6.7% vs. 2.7%) was more common among postoperative AF patients. Postoperative AF was an age-independent risk indicator for late mortality with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.56 (95% confidence interval 1.23-1.98).
Postoperative AF is an age-independent risk factor for late mortality in CABG patients, explained by an increased risk of cardiovascular death.
Scandinavian cardiovascular journal: SCJ 02/2009; 43(5):330-6. · 1.07 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: To study epicardial microwave ablation of concomitant atrial fibrillation and its effects on heart rhythm and atrial function during follow-up.
The study included 20 open-heart surgery patients with concomitant atrial fibrillation. Transthoracic echocardiography with flow and tissue Doppler recordings was performed preoperatively and at 6 months postoperatively. Blood samples were obtained preoperatively and postoperatively for analysis of atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and amino terminal precursor of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).
Fourteen of 19 patients (74%) were in sinus rhythm with no antiarrhythmic drugs at 12 months. All patients in sinus rhythm had preserved left and right atrial-filling waves through atrioventricular valves during atrial contraction. Tissue velocity echocardiography on patients in sinus rhythm showed preserved atrial wall velocities, atrial strain, and atrial strain rate. Levels of natriuretic peptides tended to decrease in patients with stable sinus rhythm at one year compared to patients in atrial fibrillation.
Epicardial microwave ablation results in sinus rhythm in a majority of patients and seems to preserve atrial mechanical function.
Scandinavian Cardiovascular Journal 07/2008; 42(3):192-201. · 0.93 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: Although Scandinavian moist snuff ("snus"), no doubt, is a safer alternative to smoking, there is limited evidence against an association with gastroesophageal cancers. In a retrospective cohort study, we investigated esophageal and stomach cancer incidence among 336,381 male Swedish construction workers who provided information on tobacco smoking and snus habits within a health surveillance program between 1971 and 1993. Essentially complete follow-up through 2004 was accomplished through linkage to several nationwide registers. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Compared to never-users of any tobacco, smokers had increased risks for adenocarcinoma (RR = 2.3, 95% CI 1.4-3.7) and squamous cell carcinoma (RR = 5.2, 95% CI 3.1-8.6) of the esophagus, as well as cardia (RR = 2.1, 95% CI 1.5-3.0) and noncardia stomach (RR = 1.3, 95% CI 1.2-1.6) cancers. We also observed excess risks for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (RR = 3.5, 95% CI 1.6-7.6) and noncardia stomach cancer (RR = 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.9) among snus users who had never smoked. Although confounding by unmeasured exposures, and some differential misclassification of smoking, might have inflated the associations, our study provides suggestive evidence for an independent carcinogenic effect of snus.
International Journal of Cancer 04/2008; 122(5):1095-9. · 5.44 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: The purpose of this study was to assess the independent contribution of left bundle branch block (LBBB) on long-term mortality in a large cohort with symptomatic heart failure (HF) requiring hospitalization.
We studied a prospective cohort of 21 685 cases of symptomatic HF requiring hospitalization in the Register of Information and Knowledge about Swedish Heart Intensive care Admissions in 1995-2003. Long-term mortality was evaluated by Logistic regression analysis, adjusted for multiple covariates that could influence long-term prognosis. LBBB was present in 20% (4395 of 21 685) of HF admissions. Patients with LBBB had a higher prevalence of cardiac comorbid conditions than patients with no LBBB. 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality was 31.5 vs. 28.4%, 69.3 vs. 61.3%, and 90.1 vs. 84.7% for HF patients with and without respectively LBBB. When adjusting for comorbidity, LBBB was associated with increased 5-year mortality (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.10-1.35; P < 0.001). When left ventricular ejection fraction was included in the analysis LBBB had no longer any independent influence on 5-mortality (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.62-1.56; P = 0.953).
LBBB occurs in 1/5 in HF patients requiring hospitalization and is associated with a very high mortality. However, the high long-term mortality appears to be caused by cardiac comorbidities and myocardial dysfunction rather than the LBBB per se.
European Heart Journal 10/2007; 28(20):2449-55. · 10.48 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: Ablation procedures in the left atrium for treatment of atrial fibrillation are becoming increasingly common. The procedure often involves placing one or two circular mapping catheters in the left atrium. Entrapment of an ablation catheter in the mitral valve during ablations of left-sided accessory pathways by the retrograde approach has been described in two earlier published reports. More recently, several reports describe similar entrapment of a mapping catheter. In a recently published review, however, only one case of unspecified valve damage was registered among 8745 atrial fibrillation procedures.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate patients with entrapment.
Retrospective analysis of electrophysiological results.
We describe three patients with entrapment during ablations for atrial fibrillation. The entrapments occurred with three different operators at three different electrophysiological laboratories within 2 years. The complication described here may be more common than is widely appreciated.
From our figures, we estimate the incidence of the complication to 0.9% (95% confidence interval, 0.2-2.5%).
Heart Rhythm 02/2007; 4(1):17-9. · 4.10 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: Transient high-degree atrioventricular (AV) block is a common cause of syncope in patients with bifascicular block (BFB) but the intermittent nature of AV block makes ECG documentation a challenge. A sensitive and safe tool to investigate BFB patients with syncope would be a bradycardia-detecting pacemaker, which provides a possibility of studying the time relation between the index syncopal episode and the development of high-degree AV block.
Twenty-seven patients with BFB and syncope were studied prospectively. All patients received a single-chamber ventricular-based pacemaker with bradycardia-detecting ability. A bradycardia episode was defined as a heart rate of < 30 beats/min lasting > or = 6 s.
During a median follow-up of 60 months, a bradycardia event was detected in 14 patients (52%), of whom 13 also had documented high-degree AV block on ECG. The median time between the syncopal episode and the first pacemaker-detected bradycardia event was 5 months and after an additional median time of 6 months, high-degree AV block was documented on the ECG. In 10 of 13 patients (77%) high-degree AV block was documented within 24 months of the syncopal episode corresponding to an annual incidence of 19% during the first 2 years of follow-up in the study population.
In this group of BFB patients a syncopal episode was highly predictive of the development of high-degree AV block within 24 months, justifying pacemaker therapy without prior ECG verification.
Cardiology 01/2007; 108(2):138-43. · 1.71 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: The non-dipolar content of the T-wave, i.e. the component of the signal, which cannot be explained by a dipolar model, has been suggested as a measure of the local repolarization inhomogeneity. Our purpose was to study the non-dipolar content of the T-wave during the initial course of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), when local repolarization inhomogeneity presumably is markedly increased. Twelve-lead ECG was semicontinuously collected in 211 patients with STEMI, treated with a thrombolytic agent. The T-wave was processed by principal component analysis. The absolute and relative T-wave residues were used as measures of the non-dipolar content. The median values for each hour and for the entire monitoring time were computed. Changes in the parameters were closer studied in two windows, 0-10 respectively, 11-24 h after start of ECG-monitoring. The median of the absolute T-wave residue during the entire monitoring period was 25 000 units in the STEMI-group and 13 500 units in the comparison group. The median for hour 1 was 36 500 units and 28 800 units for hour 2. The decrease was greater in patients with >or=50% resolution of the ST-elevation at 60 min. The moment of change, identified by cumulative sum-method, showed no correlation to the time for 50% ST-resolution. We conclude, that patients with thrombolysed STEMI have an increased non-dipolar content of the T-wave. Resolution of the ST-elevation is associated with a decrease. The increased non-dipolar content reflects a property of the repolarization phase, which is related to but separated from the ST-elevation.
Clinical physiology and functional imaging 12/2006; 26(6):362-70. · 1.21 Impact Factor
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Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 10/2006; 1076:388-93. · 3.15 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: The aim of this study was to analyze the incidence of pleural tumors among various categories of Swedish construction workers and to determine to what extent its change over time differs from that of the general male population.
Traditional methods have been used to study cancer incidence through 1998 in a cohort comprising 370 165 male workers examined in 1971-1992 by Bygghälsan, an organization at the time providing nationwide occupational health service. Incidence was assessed by linkage to the national cancer register.
Swedish construction workers, particularly those heavily exposed to asbestos, had an excess incidence of pleural tumors in 1975-1998 [standardized incidence ratio (SIR) 3.16, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 2.55-3.88]. The excess declined with subsequent follow-up periods and birth cohorts with the exception of the most recent period (SIR 3.83, 95% CI 2.64-5.38) and those borne in the 1930s.
A possible decline in pleural tumors among men following the cessation of asbestos use 25 years earlier in the population at large may not be applicable to an end-user sector like construction work. In occupations charged with repairing and refurbishing work, there may even have been an increase lately.
Scandinavian journal of work, environment & health 02/2005; 31 Suppl 2:27-30. · 3.12 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: In recent years in several countries a deceleration or leveling off of pleural mesothelioma rates has been observed. The impact of asbestos used was analysed by comparing a country with a relative modest incidence rate of mesothelioma (Sweden) and an early response to asbestos use with a country with one of the highest incidence rates of mesothelioma in Western Europe (The Netherlands). In Sweden the Cancer Register provided information on the annual incidence of pleural mesothelioma, whereas in The Netherlands mortality data were provided by Statistics Netherlands for the period 1969-2001. In The Netherlands among men the incidence rate was consistently higher (1.5-2 times) than in Sweden, whereas among women similar rates were observed. Assuming that none of the female cases was caused by occupational exposure to asbestos, minimum estimates of the etiologic fraction for occupational exposure to asbestos in men would be 82% in Sweden and 92% in The Netherlands. Possible explanations for the consistently higher incidence rates in the Netherlands than in Sweden include differences in exposure levels, the proportion of exposed subjects in the workforce and types of asbestos fibres used. Measures to decrease the exposure to asbestos seem to have decreased the risk of pleural mesothelioma in both countries among age groups below 60 years. This effect will result in a leveling off of the increase in pleural mesothelioma in both countries in the next decade.
International Journal of Cancer 02/2005; 113(2):298-301. · 5.44 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: There is a need for markers reflecting the increased risk in patients with conduction disturbances. Conduction disturbances presumably cause inhomogeneous repolarization that may create an arrhythmogenic substrate. In patients with normal conduction, parameters derived from principal components analysis (PCA) of the T wave contain prognostic information. The nondipolar PCA components are assumed to reflect repolarization inhomogeneity. This study examined the PCA parameters in relation to conduction disturbances. PCA was performed on continuously recorded 12-lead ECGs in 800 patients with chest pain and nondiagnostic ECG on admission. The patients with conduction disturbance on admission were classified into separate groups and related to comparison groups without conduction disturbance recruited from the same series. For each patient, the dipolar and nondipolar components were quantified by medians of the ratio of the two largest eigenvalues (S2/S1 Median), the residue that summarizes the eigenvalues S4-S8 (TWRabsMedian) and the ratio of this residue to the total power of the T wave (TWRrelMedian). The parameters were assessed with respect to common clinical and ECG parameters, discharge diagnosis, and total mortality during a 35-month follow-up. TWRabsMedian increased with increasing conduction disturbance. In 135 patients with conduction disturbances, ROC curves for TWRabsMedian as indicator of mortality exhibited areas under a curve of 0.66, 0.65, and 0.56 at 6-month, 24-month, and 35-month follow-up. Conduction disturbances were associated with increased nondipolar PCA component and, thus, with increased repolarization inhomogeneity. The nondipolar PCA component contained a moderate amount of prognostic information not present in a simple ECG diagnosis of a conduction disturbance.
Pacing and Clinical Electrophysiology 11/2004; 27(10):1378-87. · 1.35 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: The purpose of this study was to assess the independent contribution of left bundle-branch block (LBBB) on cause-specific 1-year mortality in a large cohort with acute myocardial infarction (MI).
We studied a prospective cohort of 88,026 cases of MI from the Register of Information and Knowledge about Swedish Heart Intensive care Admissions in 72 hospitals in 1995 to 2001. Long-term mortality was calculated by Cox regression analysis, adjusted for multiple covariates that affect mortality by calculation of a propensity score. LBBB was present in 9% (8041 of 88,026) of the MI admissions. Patients with LBBB were older and had a higher prevalence of comorbid conditions than patients with no LBBB. The unadjusted relative risk of death within 1 year was 2.16 (95% CI, 2.08 to 2.24; P<0.001) for LBBB (42%, 3350 of 8041) compared with those with no LBBB (22%, 17,044 of 79,011). After adjustment for a propensity score that takes into account differences in risk factors and acute intervention, LBBB was associated with a relative risk of death of 1.19 (95% CI, 1.14 to 1.24; P<0.001). In a subgroup of 11,812 patients for whom left ventricular ejection fraction was available and could be added to the analysis, the contributing relative risk of LBBB for death was only 1.08 (95% CI, 0.93 to 1.25; P=0.33). The most common cause of death in both groups was ischemic heart disease.
MI patients with LBBB have more comorbid conditions and an increased unadjusted 1-year mortality. When adjusted for age, baseline characteristics, concomitant diseases, and left ventricular ejection fraction, LBBB does not appear to be an important independent predictor of 1-year mortality in MI.
Circulation 10/2004; 110(14):1896-902. · 14.74 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: QT dispersion (QTd) contains prognostic information in several patient groups. The variable increases in several conditions with ischemia. Originally, it was thought to reflect the local repolarization inhomogeneity. Even though this explanation has been questioned lately, it continues to be put forward. In order to elucidate a possible local mechanism, we investigated the relation between QT dispersion, an ECG parameter reflecting the local dispersion, and angiographical measures in a population with unstable coronary artery disease.
The 276 patients were recruited from the FRISC II trial. As the QTd parameter we used the mean value of automatically measured QTd during 27 hours after admission (QTdMean). As a local repolarization measure we used the maximal difference in QT between two adjacent ECG leads (QTdiffMean). The computations were performed on all available ECG leads and on a restricted set without the V1-V2 combination. Previously published angiographic scoring tools were adapted for rating and localizing the coronary pathology by two approaches and applied on 174 patients undergoing angiography.
QTdMean was significantly higher than that reported in previous material with unselected chest pain patients (55 vs 40 ms). QTdiffMean correlated strongly with QTdMean. No differences in QTdMean were detected between patients with different angiographical scores. No relation could be shown between the region with dominating coronary pathology as expressed by the scoring tools and the localization of QTdiffMean.
QTd in ischemia seems to be increased by a mechanism unrelated to localization and severity of coronary disease.
Annals of Noninvasive Electrocardiology 02/2003; 8(1):22-9. · 1.10 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: There is a need for risk markers in patients with acute chest pain. QT dispersion (QTd) is a prognostic marker in several groups of patients. A problem with the manual measurement of QTd is operator dependency. This can be avoided by using an automatic method. We investigated QTd, derived from multiple automatic measurements, as a risk marker in a population with chest pain.
In 548 patients admitted to the coronary care unit for chest pain and nondiagnostic ECG, 12-lead ECG recordings were collected each minute during the initial 17 h. From recordings with > or =10 valid leads, mean QTd (QTdMean), QTd in the first satisfactory recording and estimates of variability of QTd were computed and correlated to outcome.
In the group with QTdMean > or =40 ms (n=277), 10 patients died during the initial 30 days; one patient died in the group with QTdMean <40 ms (n=271) (P=0.07). During follow-up (median 6 months), 19 vs. five patients died in each group (P=0.03). The figures for the triple endpoint death/myocardial infarction/revascularisation were 52 vs. 27 events during the initial 30 days (P=0.018) and 76 vs. 41 events during follow-up (P=0.003). QTd in the first recording did not predict new cardiac events.
QTd measured as the mean value of multiple recordings was found to be a powerful marker for cardiac events during follow-up. It was superior to the analysis of QTd in a single ECG. It can be used for the selection of low-risk patients, but was not effective in identifying high-risk patients.
International Journal of Cardiology 11/2002; 85(2-3):217-24; discussion 225-7. · 7.08 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: We evaluated the hypothesis that smoking increases the incidence of and mortality from prostate cancer. High-quality smoking information was collected in 1971–1975 in a nationwide cohort of 135,006 male construction workers in Sweden. We achieved virtually complete follow-up through record linkages and ascertained as of December 1991 2,368 incident cases of prostate cancer and 709 deaths due to this disease. Rate ratios (RR) of prostate cancer incidence and mortality, with 95% confidence intervals (CI), were estimated in Poisson-based age-adjusted models, with amount and duration of smoking as independent variables. We found no convincing association between current smoking status, number of cigarettes smoked or years since onset and risk of prostatic cancer. The age-adjusted incidence RR among previous smokers was 1.09 and among current smokers 1.11 compared with non-smokers. Weak and inconsistent trends were seen with increasing number of cigarettes smoked per day and increasing duration among current smokers. Smokers of 15 or more cigarettes daily for at least 30 years experienced an incidence RR of 1.30. Mortality in ex-smokers was similar to that in never-smokers; it was, however, slightly increased among current smokers without any trend with amount smoked or duration. The weak and inconsistent associations between smoking and prostate cancer could easily have arisen due to bias or confounding. We therefore conclude that smoking is most likely not causally linked to the occurrence of prostate cancer. © 1996 Wiley-Liss, Inc.
International Journal of Cancer 12/1998; 67(6):764 - 768. · 5.44 Impact Factor
