Nicole S L Goh

King's College Hospital NHS, London, ENG, United Kingdom

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Publications (7)49.73 Total impact

  • Article: Serum Interleukin 6 Is Predictive of Early Functional Decline and Mortality in Interstitial Lung Disease Associated with Systemic Sclerosis.
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    ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE: Biomarkers of progression of interstitial lung disease (ILD) are needed to allow early therapeutic intervention in patients with scleroderma-associated disease (SSc-ILD). METHODS: A panel of 8 serum cytokines [interleukin 6 (IL-6), IL-8, IL-10, CCL2, CXCL10, vascular endothelial growth factor, fibroblast growth factor 2, and CX3CL1] was assessed by Luminex bead technology in exploratory cohorts of 74 patients with SSc and 58 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Mortality and significant lung function decline [forced vital capacity (FVC) ≥ 10%; DLCO ≥ 15%] from date of serum collection were evaluated by proportional hazards analysis. Based on these findings, the prognostic value of serum IL-6, evaluated by ELISA, was assessed in a larger test cohort of 212 patients with SSc-ILD. RESULTS: In the exploratory cohort, only serum IL-6 was an independent predictor of DLCO decline in both IPF and SSc-ILD. The IL-6 threshold level most predictive of DLCO decline within a year was 7.67 pg/ml. In the larger test cohort, serum IL-6 > 7.67 pg/ml was predictive of decline in FVC (HR 2.58 ± 0.98, p = 0.01) and in DLCO (HR 3.2 ± 1.7, p = 0.02) within the first year, and predictive of death within the first 30 months (HR 2.69 ± 0.96, p = 0.005). When stratified according to severity (FVC < 70%), serum IL-6 > 7.67 pg/ml was predictive of functional decline or death within the first year in patients with milder disease (OR 3.1, 95% CI 1.4-7.2, p = 0.007), but not in those with severe ILD. CONCLUSION: In SSc-ILD, serum IL-6 levels appear to be predictive of early disease progression in patients with mild ILD, and could be used to target treatment in this group, if confirmed by prospective studies.
    The Journal of Rheumatology 02/2013; · 3.69 Impact Factor
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    Article: Interstitial lung disease in systemic sclerosis: a simple staging system.
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    ABSTRACT: In interstitial lung disease complicating systemic sclerosis (SSc-ILD), the optimal prognostic use of baseline pulmonary function tests (PFTs) and high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) is uncertain. To construct a readily applicable prognostic algorithm in SSc-ILD, integrating PFTs and HRCT. The prognostic value of baseline PFT and HRCT variables was quantified in patients with SSc-ILD (n = 215) against survival and serial PFT data. Increasingly extensive disease on HRCT was a powerful predictor of mortality (P < 0.0005), with an optimal extent threshold of 20%. In patients with HRCT extent of 10-30% (termed indeterminate disease), an FVC threshold of 70% was an adequate prognostic substitute. On the basis of these observations, SSc-ILD was staged as limited disease (minimal disease on HRCT or, in indeterminate cases, FVC >or= 70%) or extensive disease (severe disease on HRCT or, in indeterminate cases, FVC < 70%). This system (hazards ratio [HR], 3.46; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.19-5.46; P < 0.0005) was more discriminatory than an HRCT threshold of 20% (HR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.57-3.92; P < 0.0005) or an FVC threshold of 70% (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.34-3.32; P = 0.001). The system was evaluated by four trainees and four practitioners, with minimal and severe disease on HRCT defined as clearly < 20% or clearly > 20%, respectively, and the use of an FVC threshold of 70% in indeterminate cases. The staging system was predictive of mortality for all scorers, with prognostic separation higher for practitioners (HR, 3.39-3.82) than trainees (HR, 1.87-2.60). An easily applicable limited/extensive staging system for SSc-ILD, based on combined evaluation with HRCT and PFTs, provides discriminatory prognostic information.
    American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine 06/2008; 177(11):1248-54. · 11.08 Impact Factor
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    Article: Bronchoalveolar lavage cellular profiles in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease are not predictive of disease progression.
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    ABSTRACT: To evaluate the prognostic value of bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) cellular profiles in patients with systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD). BAL cellularity was examined in relation to mortality (n = 141), serial pulmonary function findings (n = 134), and "progression-free survival" (n = 134), by proportional hazards analysis. Baseline severity was quantified according to the extent of disease on high-resolution computed tomography, the diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide, and the presence or absence of pulmonary hypertension. Mortality was subclassified into overall mortality (during 10 years of followup), early mortality (occurring within 2 years of presentation), and late mortality (occurring 2-10 years after presentation). Overall mortality was associated with neutrophilia on BAL (hazard ratio 2.23 [95% confidence interval 1.20-4.14], P = 0.01), but this effect was lost when disease severity was taken into account. Early mortality was associated with neutrophilia on BAL (hazard ratio 8.40 [95% confidence interval 1.91-36.95], P = 0.005), independent of disease severity. Late mortality was not associated with neutrophilia on BAL. The presence of neutrophilia on BAL was not associated with time to decline in pulmonary function or progression-free survival. Neither eosinophilia nor lymphocytosis on BAL was associated with mortality, rapidity of functional deterioration, or progression-free survival. These findings were unaltered when treatment status was taken into account. BAL findings provide only limited prognostic information in SSc-ILD. Neutrophilia on BAL is linked to early mortality, but BAL findings are not linked to long-term survival or the rapidity of progression of lung disease. The usefulness of BAL to define alveolitis in SSc is questionable.
    Arthritis & Rheumatism 07/2007; 56(6):2005-12. · 7.87 Impact Factor
  • Article: A multicenter, prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of corticosteroids and intravenous cyclophosphamide followed by oral azathioprine for the treatment of pulmonary fibrosis in scleroderma.
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    ABSTRACT: The lack of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in pulmonary fibrosis in systemic sclerosis (SSc) has hampered an evidence-based approach to treatment. This RCT was undertaken to investigate the effects of intravenous (IV) cyclophosphamide (CYC) followed by azathioprine (AZA) treatment in pulmonary fibrosis in SSc. Forty-five patients were randomized to receive low-dose prednisolone and 6 infusions (monthly) of CYC followed by oral AZA, or placebo. Primary outcome measures were change in percent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC) and change in single-breath diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO). Secondary outcome measures included changes in appearance on high-resolution computed tomography and dyspnea scores. An intent-to-treat statistical analysis was performed. At baseline, there were no significant group differences in factors linked to outcome, including severity of pulmonary fibrosis and autoantibody status. Sixty-two percent of the patients completed the first year of treatment. Withdrawals included 9 patients (6 from the placebo group) with significant decline in lung function, 2 with treatment side effects (both from the active treatment group), and 6 with non-trial-related comorbidity. No hemorrhagic cystitis or bone marrow suppression was observed. Estimation of the relative treatment effect (active treatment versus placebo) adjusted for baseline FVC and treatment center revealed a favorable outcome for FVC of 4.19%; this between-group difference showed a trend toward statistical significance (P = 0.08). No improvements in DLCO or secondary outcome measures were identified. This trial did not demonstrate significant improvement in the primary or secondary end points in the active treatment group versus the group receiving placebo. However, for FVC there was a trend toward statistical significance between the 2 groups. This suggests that treatment of pulmonary fibrosis in SSc with low-dose prednisolone and IV CYC followed by AZA stabilizes lung function in a subset of patients with the disease. Therapy was well tolerated with no increase in serious adverse events.
    Arthritis & Rheumatism 01/2007; 54(12):3962-70. · 7.87 Impact Factor
  • Article: CT features of lung disease in patients with systemic sclerosis: comparison with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and nonspecific interstitial pneumonia.
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    ABSTRACT: To evaluate computed tomographic (CT) patterns of lung disease in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) and compare them with CT appearance in patients with biopsy-proved idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and idiopathic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP). The CT features of consecutive patients with SSc (n = 225; male patients, 44; female patients, 181; median age, 47 years; age range, 16-78 years), IPF (n = 40; men, 26; women, 14; median age, 54.5 years; age range, 36-77 years) and NSIP (n = 27; men, 18; women, nine; median age, 53 years; age range, 32-68 years) were quantified separately by two observers. The extent of interstitial lung disease, ground-glass opacification, emphysema, and the coarseness of a reticular pattern were quantified. Group comparisons were made nonparametrically with the Wilcoxon rank sum test. Differences in CT features were identified with multiple logistic regression analysis. The coarseness of fibrosis was similar in patients with SSc and idiopathic NSIP but strikingly different between patients with SSc (median coarseness score, 5.5; range, 0.0-13.3) and IPF (median coarseness score, 8.8; range, 2.5-15.0) (P <.001). The proportion of ground-glass opacification at CT was similar in patients with SSc and idiopathic NSIP but differed significantly between patients with SSc (median proportion, 49.9%; range, 0.0%-100.0%) and IPF (median proportion, 23.5%; range, 0.0%-97.2%) (P <.001). At logistic regression analysis, there were no differences in the CT features between patients with SSc and those with NSIP after controlling for age, disease extent, and the percentage predicted forced vital capacity and carbon monoxide diffusing capacity. Interstitial lung disease in patients with SSc is less extensive, less coarse, and characterized by a greater proportion of ground-glass opacification than that in patients with IPF. The CT features of lung disease in patients with SSc closely resemble those in patients with idiopathic NSIP.
    Radiology 09/2004; 232(2):560-7. · 5.73 Impact Factor
  • Article: Successful treatment of Langerhans cell histiocytosis with 2-chlorodeoxyadenosine.
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    ABSTRACT: Langerhans cell histiocytosis (LCH) is a rare disorder which frequently involves the lungs of affected adults. Recent evidence suggests it is a clonal neoplastic disorder. Prognosis in this disease is variable, but in its multisystem form or when associated with progressive respiratory dysfunction, prognosis is poor. Recent case reports and a phase II trial of the antimonocyte drug 2-chlorodeoxy-adenosine (2CDA) have described success in treating LCH. We used 2CDA to treat a young Australian man with LCH involving lungs and bone. A complete symptomatic remission was achieved with no evidence of recurrence some 5 years after completion of chemotherapy.
    Respirology 04/2003; 8(1):91-4. · 2.42 Impact Factor
  • Article: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a composite physiologic index derived from disease extent observed by computed tomography.
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    ABSTRACT: In idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, the quantitation of disease severity using pulmonary function tests is often confounded by emphysema. We have identified the composite physiologic index (CPI) most closely reflecting the morphologic extent of pulmonary fibrosis. Consecutive patients with a clinical/computed tomography (CT) diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n = 212) were divided into group I (n = 106) and group II (n = 106). The CPI was derived in group I (by fitting pulmonary function tests against disease extent on CT) and was tested in Group II. The formula for the CPI was as follows: extent of disease on CT = 91.0 - (0.65 x percent predicted diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide [DLCO]) - (0.53 x percent predicted FVC) + (0.34 x percent predicted FEV1). In group II, the CPI correlated more strongly with disease extent on CT (r2 = 0.51) than the individual pulmonary function test (DLCO the highest value, r2 = 0.38). A subanalysis demonstrated that the better fit of the CPI was ascribable to a correction of the confounding effects of emphysema. Mortality was predicted more accurately by the CPI than by a pulmonary function test in all clinical subgroups, including a separate cohort of 36 patients with histologically proven usual interstitial pneumonia (CPI, p < 0.0005; FVC, p = 0.002; PO2, p = 0.002). In conclusion, a new CPI, derived against CT and validated using split sample testing, is a more accurate prognostic determinant in usual interstitial pneumonia than an individual pulmonary function test.
    American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine 04/2003; 167(7):962-9. · 11.08 Impact Factor