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Publications (11)72.25 Total impact

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    ABSTRACT: Previous cost-effectiveness studies of cholinesterase inhibitors have modeled Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression and treatment effects through single or global severity measures, or progression to "Full Time Care". This analysis evaluates the cost-effectiveness of donepezil versus memantine or no treatment in Germany by considering correlated changes in cognition, behavior and function. Rates of change were modeled using trial and registry-based patient level data. A discrete event simulation projected outcomes for three identical patient groups: donepezil 10 mg, memantine 20 mg and no therapy. Patient mix, mortality and costs were developed using Germany-specific sources. Treatment of patients with mild to moderately severe AD with donepezil compared to no treatment was associated with 0.13 QALYs gained per patient, and 0.01 QALYs gained per caregiver and resulted in average savings of €7,007 and €9,893 per patient from the healthcare system and societal perspectives, respectively. In patients with moderate to moderately-severe AD, donepezil compared to memantine resulted in QALY gains averaging 0.01 per patient, and savings averaging €1,960 and €2,825 from the healthcare system and societal perspective, respectively.In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, donepezil dominated no treatment in most replications and memantine in over 70% of the replications. Donepezil leads to savings in 95% of replications versus memantine. Donepezil is highly cost-effective in patients with AD in Germany, leading to improvements in health outcomes and substantial savings compared to no treatment. This holds across a variety of sensitivity analyses.
    BMC Neurology 01/2012; 12:2. DOI:10.1186/1471-2377-12-2 · 2.49 Impact Factor
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    ABSTRACT: Diagnosing and treating patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) at an early stage should improve the quality of life of the patient and caregiver. In the United Kingdom, cost-effectiveness of early assessment of individuals presenting with subjective memory complaints and treating those with AD with donepezil was evaluated. A discrete event simulation of AD progression and the effect of treatment interventions was developed. Patient-level data from donepezil trials and a 7-year follow-up registry were used to model correlated longitudinal rates of change in cognition, behavior, and function. Other epidemiological and health services data, including estimates of undiagnosed dementia and delays in diagnosis, were based on published sources. Simulated individuals were followed up for 10 years. In the base-case estimates, 17 patients need to be assessed to diagnose one patient with AD, resulting in an average assessment cost of £4100 ($6000; $1 US = £0.68 UK) per patient diagnosed (2007 cost year). In comparison with a scenario without early assessment or pharmacologic treatment, early assessment reduces health care costs by £3600 ($5300) per patient and societal costs by £7750 ($11,400). Savings are also substantial compared with treatment without early assessment, averaging £2100 ($3100) in health care costs, and £5700 ($8400) in societal costs. Results are most sensitive to estimates of patient care costs and the probability of patients reporting subjective memory complaints. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, early assessment leads to savings or is highly cost-effective in the majority of cases. Although early assessment has significant up-front costs, identifying AD patients at an early stage results in cost savings and health benefits compared with no treatment or treatment in the absence of early assessment.
    Alzheimer's & dementia: the journal of the Alzheimer's Association 03/2011; 8(1):22-30. DOI:10.1016/j.jalz.2010.07.001 · 14.48 Impact Factor
  • Agnes Benedict, Lara Verdian, Grant Maclaine
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    ABSTRACT: Lennox-Gastaut syndrome (LGS) is a catastrophic childhood form of epilepsy. The syndrome is characterized by mental impairment, frequent seizures of multiple types that are particularly resistant to treatment, and high rates of seizure-related injury. With the introduction of newer, but more costly, antiepileptic drugs (AEDs), it is important that decision makers are able to assess their value in the management of this rare and difficult-to-treat condition. To evaluate the cost effectiveness, from the UK NHS perspective, of rufinamide in patients with LGS. An individual patient-simulation model was developed to estimate the total treatment-related costs and clinical benefits of rufinamide compared with topiramate and lamotrigine over a 3-year time horizon. The model examines the treatment scenarios of adding rufinamide, lamotrigine or topiramate to older AEDs (standard therapy), or standard therapy alone within a primary-care or community setting. Three placebo-controlled clinical trials of adjunctive AED treatment for children with LGS were analysed. There are no head-to-head comparator studies. Between 98 and 139 patients were randomized in each study and the mean age in each study was 10, 11 and 14 years. A mixed-treatment comparison using a random-effects model was carried out on the number of patients in each response category, using the placebo arms of the respective trials. The primary outcome measure was the percentage of successfully treated patients, defined as >50% reduction in the frequency of total seizures and drop attacks. The hypothesis being tested was formulated after data collection. Costs ( pound, year 2006/07 values) of patient monitoring, switching treatments, hospitalization due to seizure, treatment of adverse effects, and personal and social services were included in the analysis. Results of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations were bootstrapped to conduct probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Over 3 years, adjunctive rufinamide resulted in higher total costs than topiramate and lamotrigine; however, with more patients being treated successfully, this leads to acceptable incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. If society is prepared to pay at least 250 pounds for a 1% increase in the number of successfully treated LGS patients, in terms of a 50% reduction in the frequency of drop attacks, the probability of the treatment with rufinamide being cost effective is >80%. This cost-effectiveness analysis suggests that rufinamide results in more LGS patients being treated successfully at a reasonable cost from a UK NHS perspective.
    PharmacoEconomics 03/2010; 28(3):185-99. DOI:10.2165/11313640-000000000-00000 · 3.34 Impact Factor
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    Denis Getsios, Steve Blume, K Jack Ishak, Grant D H Maclaine
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    ABSTRACT: Recommendations in the UK suggest restricting treatment of Alzheimer's disease with cholinesterase inhibitors, on cost-effectiveness grounds, to patients with moderate cognitive decline. As the economic analyses that informed these recommendations have been the subject of debate, we sought to address the potential limitations of existing models and produce estimates of donepezil treatment cost effectiveness in the UK using the most recent available data and simulation techniques. A discrete-event simulation was developed that predicts progression of Alzheimer's disease through correlated changes in cognition, behavioural disturbance and function. Patient-level data from seven randomized, placebo-controlled donepezil trials and a 7-year follow-up registry provided the basis for modeling longitudinal outcomes. Individuals in the simulation were assigned unique demographic and clinical characteristics and then followed for 10 years, with severity of disease tracked on continuous scales. Patient mix and costs were developed from UK-specific literature. Analyses were run for severity subgroups to evaluate outcomes for sub-populations with disease of mild versus moderate severity from both a healthcare payer and societal perspective. All costs are reported in pound, year 2007 values, and all outcomes are discounted at 3.5% per annum. Over 10 years, treatment of all patients with mild to moderate disease reduces overall direct medical costs by an average of over pound2300 per patient. When unpaid caregiver time is also taken into consideration, savings increase to over pound4700 per patient. Compared with untreated patients, patients receiving donepezil experience a discounted gain in QALYs averaging 0.11, with their caregivers gaining, on average, 0.01 QALYs. For the subset of patients starting treatment with more severe disease, savings are more modest, averaging about pound1600 and pound3750 from healthcare and societal perspectives, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, donepezil dominated no treatment between 57% and 62% of replications when only medical costs were considered, and between 74% and 79% of replications when indirect costs were included, with results more favourable for treatment initiation in the mild versus moderate severity stages of the disease. Although the simulation results are not definitive, they suggest that donepezil leads to health benefits and cost savings when used to treat mild to moderately severe Alzheimer's disease in the UK. They also indicate that both benefits and savings may be greatest when treatment is started while patients are still in the mild stages of Alzheimer's disease.
    PharmacoEconomics 01/2010; 28(5):411-27. DOI:10.2165/11531870-000000000-00000 · 3.34 Impact Factor
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    ABSTRACT: There is an absence of data on public preferences for health states (HSs) associated with severe chronic pain. The aim of this study was to develop accurate HS descriptions for severe chronic pain requiring intrathecal (IT) therapy and to derive utility weights that describe the health-related quality of life (HRQL) impact of chronic pain associated with malignant (MP) and non-malignant (NMP) aetiologies. Eight visual analogue scale pain index (VAS-PI) HSs were defined using ranges 0-40, 41-60, 61-80 and 81-100 applied to both MP and NMP. Additionally, eight HSs representing common adverse events associated with IT therapy were identified. The content and description of the HSs were ascertained by interviews with five United Kingdom clinical experts. In total, 16 HSs were compiled. These HS descriptions and HS questionnaires were administered to 102 members of the public, utilising a time trade off (TTO) approach to estimate utilities for the HSs. Participants generally were well matched to the general public in England and Wales, with some differences in mean age, race and education. A substantial decline in utility was observed with more severe VAS-PI values. The mean TTO utility values also decreased from mild pain to severe pain. Participants were able to differentiate between the side effects. The study shows a clear decrement in utility moving from different severity levels of severe chronic pain.
    The European Journal of Health Economics 09/2009; 11(3):323-30. DOI:10.1007/s10198-009-0178-x · 2.10 Impact Factor
  • Alzheimer's and Dementia 07/2009; 5(4). DOI:10.1016/j.jalz.2009.04.997 · 17.47 Impact Factor
  • Alzheimer's and Dementia 07/2009; 5(4). DOI:10.1016/j.jalz.2009.04.353 · 17.47 Impact Factor
  • D Getsios, S Blume, K. J. Ishak, G MacLaine
    Value in Health 05/2009; 12(3). DOI:10.1016/S1098-3015(10)74018-3 · 2.89 Impact Factor
  • D Getsios, S Blume, K. J. Ishak, G MacLaine
    Value in Health 05/2009; 12(3). DOI:10.1016/S1098-3015(10)74017-1 · 2.89 Impact Factor
  • Value in Health 11/2007; 10(6). DOI:10.1016/S1098-3015(10)65606-9 · 2.89 Impact Factor
  • Value in Health 11/2007; 10(6). DOI:10.1016/S1098-3015(10)65348-X · 2.89 Impact Factor