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ABSTRACT: We consider whether popular moving average and trading range breakout technical trading rules are profitable on a subset of the US stocks with certain size, liquidity and industry characteristics. We find these rules are rarely profitable during the period 1990 to 2004, however there is some evidence that they are more profitable for smaller, less liquid stocks. There is no evidence to any industry bias in applying these rules and when a rule does produce statistically significant profits on a stock, these profits tend to be greater for longer decision period rules.
Applied Financial Economics. 01/2009; 19(15):1213-1221.
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Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 02/2008; 31(2):191-207.
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ABSTRACT: We investigate the profitability of the quantitative market timing technique of candlestick technical analysis in the U.S. equity market. Despite being used for centuries in Japan and now having a wide following amongst market practitioners globally, there is little research documenting its profitability or otherwise. We find that these strategies are not generally profitable when applied to large U.S. stocks. Basing trading decisions solely on these techniques does not seem sensible but we cannot rule out the possibility that they compliment some other market timing techniques.
Journal of Financial Transformation. 01/2007; 20:18-25.
