Herd immunity and pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: A quantitative model

Department of Biostatistics, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA.
Vaccine (Impact Factor: 3.49). 08/2007; 25(29):5390-8. DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2007.04.088
Source: PubMed

ABSTRACT Invasive pneumococcal disease in older children and adults declined markedly after introduction in 2000 of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for young children. An empirical quantitative model was developed to estimate the herd (indirect) effects on the incidence of invasive disease among persons ≥5 years of age induced by vaccination of young children with 1, 2, or ≥3 doses of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, Prevnar® (PCV7), containing serotypes 4, 6B, 9V, 14, 18C, 19F and 23F. From 1994 to 2003, cases of invasive pneumococcal disease were prospectively identified in Georgia Health District-3 (eight metropolitan Atlanta counties) by Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs). From 2000 to 2003, vaccine coverage levels of PCV7 for children aged 19-35 months in Fulton and DeKalb counties (of Atlanta) were estimated from the National Immunization Survey (NIS). Based on incidence data and the estimated average number of doses received by 15 months of age, a Poisson regression model was fit, describing the trend in invasive pneumococcal disease in groups not targeted for vaccination (i.e., adults and older children) before and after the introduction of PCV7.


Available from: Walter A Orenstein, May 30, 2015
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    ABSTRACT: Seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV7) have been used in children for more than a decade. Given the observed increase in disease caused by pneumococcal serotypes not covered by PCV7, an increasing number of countries are switching from 7-valent to 10- and 13-valent PCVs ("PCV10" and "PCV13"). Economic evaluations are important tools to inform decisions and price negotiations to make such a switch. This review aims to provide a critical assessment of economic evaluations involving PCV10 or PCV13, published since 2006. We searched Scopus, ISI Web of Science (SCI and SSCI) and Pubmed to retrieve, select and review relevant studies, which were archived between 1st January 2006 and 31st January 2014. The review protocol involved standard extraction of assumptions, methods, results and sponsorships from the original studies. Sixty-three economic evaluations on PCVs published since January 2006 were identified. About half of these evaluated PCV10 and/or PCV13, the subject of this review. At current prices, both PCV13 and PCV10 were likely judged preferable to PCV7. However, the combined uncertainty related to price differences, burden of disease, vaccine effectiveness, herd and serotype replacement effects determine the preference base for either PCV10 or PCV13. The pivotal assumptions and results of these analyses also depended on which manufacturer sponsored the study. A more thorough exploration of uncertainty should be made in future analyses on this subject, as we lack understanding to adequately model herd and serotype replacement effects to reliably predict the population impact of PCVs. The introduction of further improved PCVs in an environment of evolving antibiotic resistance and under the continuing influence of previous PCVs implies that the complexity and data requirements for relevant analyses will further increase. Decision makers using these analyses should not just rely on an analysis from a single manufacturer. Copyright © 2015. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
    Vaccine 02/2015; 33(14). DOI:10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.01.081 · 3.49 Impact Factor
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    ABSTRACT: Streptococcus pneumoniae infections are a major cause of morbidity and mortality in children <5 years old worldwide. To increase serotype coverage globally, a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has been developed and approved in many countries worldwide. Assess the safety and immunogenicity of PCV13 in healthy older infants and children naïve to previous pneumococcal vaccination. This was a phase 3, open-label, multicenter study conducted in Polish children (N=354) who were vaccinated according to 3 age-appropriate catch-up schedules: Group 1 (aged 7 to <12 months) received two PCV13 doses with a booster at 12-16 months of age; Group 2 (aged 12 to <24 months) received two vaccine doses only; and Group 3 (aged 24 to <72 months) received a single dose of PCV13. Statistical analyses were descriptive. The proportion of immunological "responders" achieving serotype-specific antipneumococcal polysaccharide concentrations ≥0.35μg/mL, 1-month after the last dose of vaccine, was determined for each vaccine serotype. In addition, antipolysaccharide immunoglobulin (Ig) G geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) were calculated. Safety assessments included systemic and local reactions, and adverse events. The proportion of immunological responders was ≥88% across groups for all serotypes. Antipolysaccharide IgG GMCs were generally similar across groups. Each schedule elicited immune response levels against all 13 serotypes comparable to or greater than levels previously reported in infants after a 3-dose series. The 3 catch-up schedules had similar tolerability and safety profiles; a trend was present towards greater local tenderness with increasing age and subsequent dose administration. Immunological responses and safety results support the use of PCV13 for catch-up schedules in older infants and children naïve to pneumococcal vaccination. Copyright © 2015. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
    Vaccine 02/2015; 33(14). DOI:10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.02.005 · 3.49 Impact Factor
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