Article
Common nonstationary components of asset prices
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (impact factor:
0.86).
01/1988;
12(2-3):347-364.
pp.347-364
Source: RePEc
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Citations (0)
- Cited In (1)
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Article: Do Business Cycles Exhibit Beneficial Information for Portfolio Management? An Empirical Application of Statistical Arbitrage
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ABSTRACT: An advantageous statistical arbitrage strategy should exhibit a zero-cost trading strategy for which the expected payoff should be positive. In practical applications, however, the abnormal returns often are out-of-sample not significant. The statistical model being suggested here results in an estimated portfolio exhibiting in-sample a cointegration relationship with the artificial stock index. The portfolio returns exhibited out-of-sample a mean of 10.44% p.a., whereas the volatility was one third lower in comparison to the benchmark's volatility. Accounting for trading costs of 2.94% p.a. on average, the annual returns of the estimated portfolio are out-of-sample still 6.83% higher than the market returns. As a result, the model involves implicitly advantageous market timing.The Review of Finance and Banking. 01/2010; 02(1):041-056.
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Keywords
effective demand
financial fragility
financial sectors
Hopf bifurcation theorem
household sectors evolves endogenously
households' financial practices
labor market dynamics
limit cycles
paper presents
periodic economic crises
real
stable limit cycles