Article
A land surface data assimilation framework using the land information system: Description and applications.
DOI:IND44157603
Source: OAI
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Article: Assimilating remotely sensed snow observations into a macroscale hydrology model
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ABSTRACT: Accurate forecasting of snow properties is important for effective water resources management, especially in mountainous areas like the western United States. Current model-based forecasting approaches are limited by model biases and input data uncertainties. Remote sensing offers an opportunity for observation of snow properties, like areal extent and water equivalent, over larger areas. Data assimilation provides a framework for optimally merging information from remotely sensed observations and hydrologic model predictions. An ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was used to assimilate remotely sensed snow observations into the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrologic model over the Snake River basin. The snow cover extent (SCE) product from the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) flown on the NASA Terra satellite was used to update VIC snow water equivalent (SWE), for a period of four consecutive winters (1999–2003). A simple snow depletion curve model was used for the necessary SWE–SCE inversion. The results showed that the EnKF is an effective and operationally feasible solution; the filter successfully updated model SCE predictions to better agree with the MODIS observations and ground surface measurements. Comparisons of the VIC SWE estimates following updating with surface SWE observations (from the NRCS SNOTEL network) indicated that the filter performance was a modest improvement over the open-loop (un-updated) simulations. This improvement was more evident for lower to middle elevations, and during snowmelt, while during accumulation the filter and open-loop estimates were very close on average. Subsequently, a preliminary assessment of the potential for assimilating the SWE product from the advanced microwave scanning radiometer (AMSR-E, flown on board the NASA Aqua satellite) was conducted. The results were not encouraging, and appeared to reflect large errors in the AMSR-E SWE product, which were also apparent in comparisons with SNOTEL data.Advances in Water Resources. -
Article: The assimilation of remotely sensed soil brightness temperature imagery into a land surface model using Ensemble Kalman filtering: a case study based on ESTAR measurements during SGP97
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ABSTRACT: An Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used to assimilate airborne measurements of 1.4 GHz surface brightness temperature (TB) acquired during the 1997 Southern Great Plains Hydrology Experiment (SGP97) into the TOPMODEL-based Land–Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (TOPLATS). In this way, the potential of using EnKF-assimilated remote measurements of TB to compensate land surface model predictions for errors arising from a climatological description of rainfall is assessed. The use of a real remotely sensed data source allows for a more complete examination of the challenges faced in implementing assimilation strategies than previous studies where observations were synthetically generated. Results demonstrate that the EnKF is an effective and computationally competitive strategy for the assimilation of remotely sensed TB measurements into land surface models. The EnKF is capable of extracting spatial and temporal trends in root-zone (40 cm) soil water content from TB measurements based solely on surface (5 cm) conditions. The accuracy of surface state and flux predictions made with the EnKF, ESTAR TB measurements, and climatological rainfall data within the Central Facility site during SGP97 are shown to be superior to predictions derived from open loop modeling driven by sparse temporal sampling of rainfall at frequencies consistent with expectations of future missions designed to measure rainfall from space (6–10 observations per day). Specific assimilation challenges posed by inadequacies in land surface model physics and spatial support contrasts between model predictions and sensor retrievals are discussed.Advances in Water Resources. -
Article: Data assimilation in the presence of forecast bias
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ABSTRACT: Statistical-analysis methods are generally derived under the assumption that forecast errors are strictly random and zero in the mean. If the short-term forecast, used as the background field in the statistical-analysis equation, is in fact biased, so will the resulting analysis be biased. The only way to account properly for bias in a statistical analysis is to do so explicitly, by estimating the forecast bias and then correcting the forecast prior to analysis.We present a rigorous method for estimating forecast bias by means of data assimilation, based on an unbiased subset of the observing system. The result is a sequential bias estimation and correction algorithm, whose implementation involves existing components of operational statistical-analysis systems. The algorithm is designed to perform on-line, in the context of suboptimal data-assimilation methods which are based on approximate information about forecast- and observation-error covariances. The added computational cost of incorporating online bias estimation and correction into an operational system roughly amounts to one additional solution of the statistical-analysis equation, for a limited number of observations. Off-line forecast-bias estimates based on previously produced assimilated-data sets can be produced as well, using an existing analysis system.We show that our sequential bias estimation algorithm fits into a broader theoretical framework provided by the separate-bias estimation approach of estimation theory. In this framework the bias parameters are defined rather generally and can be used to describe systematic model errors and observational bias as well. We illustrate the performance of the algorithm in a simulated data-assimilation experiment with a one-dimensional forced dissipative shallow-water model. A climate error is introduced into the forecast model via topographic forcing. while random errors are generated by stochastic forcing. In this simple setting our algorithm is well able to estimate and correct the forecast bias caused by this systematic error, and the climate error in the assimilated-data set is virtually eliminated as a result.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 12/1997; 124(545):269 - 295. · 2.91 Impact Factor
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Keywords
assimilating different types
assimilation algorithms
careful choice
data assimilation enhancements
data management tools
different land surface models
ensemble Kalman filter
ground measurements
individual system components
integrates various community land surface models
Land Information System
land surface models
model error parameters
satellite-based observations
sequential data assimilation extension
snow water equivalent
soil moisture experiment
temporal scales
various data types
various spatial