ArticlePDF Available

Epidemiology of Recurrent Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease, China, 2008-2015

Authors:

Abstract and Figures

Using China’s national surveillance data on hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) for 2008–2015, we described the epidemiologic and virologic features of recurrent HFMD. A total of 398,010 patients had HFMD recurrence; 1,767 patients had 1,814 cases of recurrent laboratory-confirmed HFMD: 99 reinfections of enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) with EV-A71, 45 of coxsackievirus A16 (CV-A16) with CV-A16, 364 of other enteroviruses with other enteroviruses, 383 of EV-A71 with CV-A16 and CV-A16 with EV-A71, and 923 of EV-A71 or CV-A16 with other enteroviruses and other enteroviruses with EV-A71 or CV-A16. The probability of HFMD recurrence was 1.9% at 12 months, 3.3% at 24 months, 3.9% at 36 months, and 4.0% at 38.8 months after the primary episode. HFMD severity was not associated with recurrent episodes or time interval between episodes. Elucidation of the mechanism underlying HFMD recurrence with the same enterovirus serotype and confirmation that HFMD recurrence is not associated with disease severity is needed. © 2018, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). All rights reserved.
Flowchart showing screening for and analysis of patients with recurrent HFMD from the national HFMD surveillance database, 29 provinces of China, 2008-2015. Percentages do not equal 100% because of rounding. *The number of patients (427,953) with >2 HFMD episodes is higher than expected (528,513-102,540 = 425,973) because of improved patient matching. In some situations, the number of patients with >2 episodes did not change; for example, a patient initially identified with 3 episodes might have been determined to have only 2 episodes, with the third episode being attributed to a different patient. In other situations, the number of patients with >2 episodes decreased; for example, a patient initially identified as having 3 episodes might have been determined to be 3 different patients with 3 different episodes. Therefore, the reduced number of patients (528,513-427,953 = 100,560) with >2 HFMD episodes is smaller than the number of patients (102,540) excluded manually. †The number of patients (398,010) with recurrence of HFMD is higher than expected (427,953-31,029 = 396,924) because some patients needed to be excluded and included. In some situations, patients were completely included or excluded from the recurrent HFMD patient population sample; for example, all 3 episodes of a patient could have been determined to not be independent from each other. In other situations, patients were included and excluded from the recurrent HFMD patient population sample; for example, a patient with 3 episodes might have had 2 episodes that were not independent from each other. In these cases, the patient had 2 episodes included and 1 episode excluded; therefore, the number of included patients plus excluded patients (398,010 + 31,029 = 429,039) exceeded the starting population number (427,953). CV-A16, coxsackievirus A16; EV-A71, enterovirus A71; HFMD, hand, foot and mouth disease; other EVs, other non-EV-A71 and non-CV-A16 enteroviruses.
… 
Content may be subject to copyright.
432 Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018
Using China’s national surveillance data on hand, foot and
mouth disease (HFMD) for 2008–2015, we described the
epidemiologic and virologic features of recurrent HFMD. A
total of 398,010 patients had HFMD recurrence; 1,767 pa-
tients had 1,814 cases of recurrent laboratory-conrmed
HFMD: 99 reinfections of enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) with
EV-A71, 45 of coxsackievirus A16 (CV-A16) with CV-A16,
364 of other enteroviruses with other enteroviruses, 383 of
Epidemiology of Recurrent
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease,
China, 2008–2015
Jiao Huang,1 Qiaohong Liao,1 Mong How Ooi, Benjamin J. Cowling, Zhaorui Chang,
Peng Wu, Fengfeng Liu, Yu Li, Li Luo, Shuanbao Yu, Hongjie Yu,2 Sheng Wei2
Author aliations: Huazhong University of Science and
Technology, Wuhan, China (J. Huang, S. Wei); Chinese
Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
(J. Huang, Q. Liao, Z. Chang, F. Liu, Y. Li, L. Luo, S. Yu,
H. Yu); Sarawak General Hospital, Kuching, Malaysia (M.H. Ooi);
Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, Kota Samarahan, Malaysia
(M.H. Ooi); The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
(B.J. Cowling, P. Wu, Y. Li); Fudan University, Shanghai, China
(H. Yu)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2403.171303
1These rst authors contributed equally to this article.
2These senior authors contributed equally to this article.
Page 1 of 1
In support of improving patient care, this activity has been planned and implemented by Medscape, LLC
and Emerging Infectious Diseases. Medscape, LLC is jointly accredited by the Accreditation Council for
Continuing Medical Education (ACCME), the Accreditation Council for Pharmacy Education (ACPE), and the
American Nurses Credentialing Center (ANCC), to provide continuing education for the
healthcare team.
Medscape, LLC designates this Journal-based CME activity for a maximum of 1.00 AMA PRA
Category 1 Credit(s). Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity.
All other clinicians completing this activity will be issued a certificate of participation. To participate in this journal CME activity: (1)
review the learning objectives and author disclosures; (2) study the education content; (3) take the post -test with a 75% minimum
passing score and complete the evaluation at http://www.medscape.org/journal/eid; and (4) view/print certificate. For CME questions,
see page 614.
Release date: February 16, 2018; Expiration date: February 16, 2019
Learning Objectives
Upon completion of this activity, participants will be able to:
Describe the epidemiologic features of recurrent hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD), using national
surveillance data during 2008 2015 in mainland China
Identify the virologic features of recurrent HFMD
Determine the clinical implications of the epidemiologic and virologic features of recurrent HFMD
CME Editor
Kristina B. Clark, PhD, Copyeditor, Emerging Infectious Diseases. Disclosure: Kristina B. Clark, PhD, has disclosed no relevant
financial relationships.
CME Author
Laurie Barclay, MD, freelance writer and reviewer, Medscape, LLC. Disclosure: Laurie Barclay, MD, has disclosed the following
relevant financial relationships: owns stock, stock options, or bonds from Pfizer.
Authors
Disclosures: Jiao Huang, PhD; Qiaohong Liao, MD; Zhaorui Chang, MD; Peng Wu, PhD; Fengfeng Liu, MD; Yu Li, MSc; Li Luo,
MD; Shuanbao Yu, PhD; and Sheng Wei, PhD, have disclosed no relevant financial relationships. Mong How Ooi, MBBS, MRCP,
PhD, has disclosed the following relevant financial relationships: served as a speaker or a member of a speakers bureau for Sanofi
Pasteur. Benjamin J. Cowling, PhD, has disclosed the following relevant financial relationships: received grants for clinical research
from Sanofi Pasteur. Hongjie Yu, MD, PhD, has disclosed the following relevant financial relationships: received grants for clinical
research from: Shenzhen Sanofi Pasteur Biological Products; GlaxoSmithKline (China) Investment Co.; YiChang HEC ChangJiang
Pharmaceutical Co.
SYNOPSIS
Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018 433
EV-A71 with CV-A16 and CV-A16 with EV-A71, and 923
of EV-A71 or CV-A16 with other enteroviruses and other
enteroviruses with EV-A71 or CV-A16. The probability of
HFMD recurrence was 1.9% at 12 months, 3.3% at 24
months, 3.9% at 36 months, and 4.0% at 38.8 months after
the primary episode. HFMD severity was not associated
with recurrent episodes or time interval between episodes.
Elucidation of the mechanism underlying HFMD recur-
rence with the same enterovirus serotype and conrma-
tion that HFMD recurrence is not associated with disease
severity is needed.
Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common
childhood infectious disease that is mainly caused by
enterovirus A71 (EV-A71), coxsackievirus A16 (CV-A16),
and CV-A6 (1). Most HFMD patients exhibit a benign,
self-limiting illness characterized by skin eruptions on the
hands, feet, or buttocks and ulcers or blisters in the mouth
with or without fever (2). However, some patients develop
neurologic or cardiopulmonary complications or die (3,4).
In the past 2 decades, outbreaks of HFMD have been docu-
mented in countries of the Western Pacic, including Ma-
laysia, Japan, Singapore, Vietnam, and Cambodia (59).
In China, HFMD has been prevalent since 2007. During
2008–2015, ≈13 million HFMD cases were reported, in-
cluding 123,261 severe cases and 3,322 deaths in 31 prov-
inces of mainland China.
Three inactivated monovalent EV-A71 vaccines have
been licensed in China. Phase 3 clinical trials proved these
vaccines had high ecacy (90.0%–97.4%) against EV-
A71–associated HFMD (10,11) but did not confer cross-
protection for HFMD caused by non–EV-A71 enterovirus-
es (11). A natural infection with EV-A71 also confers no
or only short-term (<2 months duration) cross-protection
against CV-A16–associated illness (12,13). Because of
this limited cross-protection from infections of dierent
enterovirus serotypes, multiple HFMD episodes can occur
in a single person. Although observational studies indicate
that the antibody response induced by the EV-A71 vac-
cine could last >2 years, reinfection with an enterovirus of
the same serotype is still possible because the immunity
induced by a natural enterovirus infection might not be
lifelong (14). We accessed the national surveillance data
for HFMD diagnosed during 2008–2015 in China, in an
attempt to describe the epidemiologic features of patients
with recurrent HFMD and examine the relationship be-
tween disease severity and HFMD recurrence.
Materials and Methods
Data Sources
As described previously (1), HFMD cases were reported
voluntarily to the Chinese Center for Disease Control and
Prevention (China CDC) during January 1, 2008–May 1,
2008, and starting May 2, 2008, cases were mandatorily
reported online to China CDC within 24 hours after diag-
nosis. We collected information on basic demographics
(name, sex, national identication number, date of birth,
home address, name of either of the patient’s parents, con-
tact telephone number); case classication (probable or
conrmed); disease severity (severe or mild); date of illness
onset, diagnosis, and death (if applicable); and enterovirus
serotype (for conrmed cases). For virologic surveillance,
clinical specimens were collected from a subsample of cas-
es from each province and tested by PCR with primers and
probes for panenterovirus, EV-A71, and CV-A16. We as-
sumed that the enterovirus identied in HFMD patient sam-
ples was the causative enterovirus of the HFMD episode.
We included the HFMD surveillance data of 29 prov-
inces of mainland China collected during January 1, 2008–
December 31, 2015. We excluded data from Hunan and
Hubei Provinces from this study because (since 2010 for
Hunan Province and 2012 for Hubei Province) most of the
hospitals in these provinces reported EV-A71 infection on
the basis of EV-A71 IgM antibody detection assays, which
are unreliable tests (1517).
Case Denitions
We dened a probable HFMD patient as a patient who had
rashes on the hands, feet, mouth, or buttocks and ulcers or
vesicles in the mouth with or without fever. We dened
a laboratory-conrmed patient as a probable patient with
laboratory evidence of infection with EV-A71, CV-A16,
or other enteroviruses. The diagnostic tests used for entero-
virus detection were reverse transcription PCR and real-
time reverse transcription PCR. Patients were classied as
having severe HFMD if they had any complications (i.e.,
aseptic meningitis, brainstem encephalitis, encephalitis,
encephalomyelitis, acute accid paralysis or autonomic
nervous system dysregulation, pulmonary edema, pulmo-
nary hemorrhage, or cardiorespiratory failure). Otherwise,
patients were classied as having mild HFMD.
We identied patients with >2 episodes of HFMD
reported in the national HFMD surveillance system by
matching records using any of the following 3 screen-
ing criteria: 1) having identical identication number and
identical or highly similar patient name; 2) having identi-
cal patient’s parent name, home address, and birth date
and identical or highly similar patient name; and 3) hav-
ing identical contact telephone number, home address,
and birth date and identical or highly similar patient
name (online Technical Appendix, https://wwwnc.cdc.
gov/EID/article/24/3/17-1303-Techapp1.pdf). We con-
sidered patients to have recurrent HFMD if they experi-
enced >2 independent episodes of HFMD. We dened in-
dependent episodes as consecutive episodes separated by
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease, China
SYNOPSIS
434 Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018
an interval of >14 days if the previous episode was mild
and >23 days if the previous episode was severe. We had
estimated the time intervals dening 2 independent epi-
sodes by adding the longest duration of HFMD reported
(7 days for mild illness and 16 days for severe illness)
(1821) plus the longest incubation period reported (7
days) (4,2226). We classied patients with >2 indepen-
dent episodes of laboratory-conrmed HFMD as having
recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD. Otherwise, we
classied patients as having recurrent probable HFMD.
When counting the number of cases of reinfection with
EV-A71, CV-A16, or other enteroviruses (Figure 1;
Table 1), we considered any 2 laboratory-conrmed epi-
sodes as 1 case of reinfection; therefore, we classied
patients with 3 laboratory-conrmed HFMD episodes as
having 3 cases of reinfection (i.e., we grouped episodes
1 and 2, 1 and 3, and 2 and 3 together) and 4 laboratory-
conrmed HFMD episodes as having 6 cases of reinfec-
tion (i.e., we grouped episodes 1 and 2, 1 and 3, 1 and 4,
2 and 3, 2 and 4, and 3 and 4 together).
Data Analysis
We used medians and interquartile ranges (IQRs) to de-
scribe continuous variables and numbers and percentages
to summarize categorical variables. We used logistic re-
gression with the forward stepwise selection approach to
explore the association between HFMD recurrence and se-
vere disease. We denoted the results as odds ratios (ORs)
with 95% CIs. All statistical tests were 2-sided, and we
considered an α of 0.05 statistically signicant.
We dened the probability of HFMD recurrence as the
probability of occurrence of HFMD among children who
previously had HFMD and estimated recurrence using sur-
vival analysis (the Kaplan-Meier method). To calculate the
probability of HFMD recurrence, we took only the event of
interest into account and censored other events at the end
of observation. When estimating the probability of HFMD
recurrence, we enrolled all patients with recurrent HFMD
(whether probable or laboratory-conrmed) in the analysis.
We censored patients with only 1 HFMD episode. When
estimating the probability of reinfection after EV-A71 with
EV-A71, we included only the case-patients with a primary
episode of EV-A71 infection who were later reinfected
with EV-A71. We censored case-patients who had just 1
infection with EV-A71 (i.e., case-patients who were infect-
ed with EV-A71 then infected with CV-A16 or other en-
teroviruses, case-patients who were infected with EV-A71
then had probable HFMD, and case-patients with a single
episode of EV-A71 infection). We used similar analyses to
estimate the probability of reinfection with the same sero-
type for other serotypes of enterovirus.
We also conducted a sensitivity analysis to account for
the uncertainty of the intervals used to dene 2 independent
HFMD episodes; in this analysis, we used 16 days (for pre-
vious mild episodes) and 61 days (for previous severe epi-
sodes) as cuto values, which were derived from another in-
vestigation conducted in China that also investigated HFMD
recurrence (27). We conducted data cleaning and analyses
using R Project version 3.2.5 (http://cran.r-project.org) and
ArcGIS 10.2 (http://www.esri.com/arcgis/about-arcgis).
This study was approved by the ethics review committees of
China CDC (Beijing, China).
Results
During 2008–2015, a total of 12,256,102 HFMD episodes
occurring in 29 provinces of China were reported to the Chi-
na CDC surveillance system. When using >14-day and >23-
day intervals for dening independent infections, 398,010
patients (having 820,355 [7%] episodes) were identied as
having recurrent HFMD, of which 1,767 (0.4%) patients
(having 3,717 episodes) had recurrent laboratory-conrmed
HFMD (Figure 1). The number of patients with recurrent
HFMD was similar when we repeated this analysis using
the 16-day and 61-day cuto values in the sensitivity analy-
sis, indicating that our estimation of HFMD recurrence was
robust (online Technical Appendix Figure). Compared with
patients with only 1 laboratory-conrmed HFMD episode,
patients with recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD had
a similar seasonal pattern, presenting semiannual peaks of
activity with a ma-jor peak in the spring and early summer
(April–June) followed by a smaller peak in autumn (Septem-
ber–October) (Figure 2, panels A, B). Similar seasonality
was also observed for patients with a single episode of and
recurrent probable HFMD (Figure 2, panels C, D).
We next focused on analyzing the 1,767 patients with
recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD. During the study
period, 90.3% (1,595) of these patients had 2 episodes and
9.7% (172) had >2 episodes: 161 (9.1%) patients had 3 epi-
sodes and 11 (0.6%) patients had 4 episodes. In total, 9%
(154/1,767) of the patients with recurrent laboratory-con-
rmed HFMD still had >1 episode of probable HFMD, and
1,613 patients had only episodes of laboratory-conrmed
HFMD. Of the 157 (8.9%) patients with >1 severe HFMD
episode (183 total severe episodes), 26 patients (20 with 2
episodes, 3 with 3 episodes, and 3 with 4 episodes) experi-
enced 2 severe HFMD episodes. A total of 1,814 cases of
recurrence occurred among the 1,767 patients with recur-
rent HFMD. Only 144 (8%) of these 1,814 cases involved
reinfection with an enterovirus of the same serotype: 99
(5.5%) with EV-A71 and 45 (2.5%) with CV-A16 (Figure
1). Most recurrent HFMD cases were caused by enterovi-
ruses of dierent serotypes. Of the 1,767 patients, 5 (0.3%)
were found to have an interval of <20 days between con-
secutive HFMD episodes: 2 patients who were reinfected
with enteroviruses of dierent serotypes and 3 patients who
were reinfected with enteroviruses of the same serotype.
Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018 435
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease, China
Figure 1. Flowchart showing
screening for and analysis of
patients with recurrent HFMD from
the national HFMD surveillance
database, 29 provinces of China,
2008–2015. Percentages do not
equal 100% because of rounding.
*The number of patients (427,953)
with >2 HFMD episodes is higher
than expected (528,513 – 102,540
= 425,973) because of improved
patient matching. In some situations,
the number of patients with >2
episodes did not change; for
example, a patient initially identied
with 3 episodes might have been
determined to have only 2 episodes,
with the third episode being attributed
to a dierent patient. In other
situations, the number of patients
with >2 episodes decreased; for
example, a patient initially identied
as having 3 episodes might have
been determined to be 3 dierent
patients with 3 dierent episodes.
Therefore, the reduced number
of patients (528,513 – 427,953 =
100,560) with >2 HFMD episodes is
smaller than the number of patients
(102,540) excluded manually.
†The number of patients (398,010)
with recurrence of HFMD is higher
than expected (427,953 – 31,029
= 396,924) because some patients
needed to be excluded and included.
In some situations, patients were
completely included or excluded
from the recurrent HFMD patient
population sample; for example,
all 3 episodes of a patient could
have been determined to not be
independent from each other. In
other situations, patients were
included and excluded from the
recurrent HFMD patient population
sample; for example, a patient
with 3 episodes might have had 2
episodes that were not independent
from each other. In these cases, the
patient had 2 episodes included and
1 episode excluded; therefore, the
number of included patients plus
excluded patients (398,010 + 31,029
= 429,039) exceeded the starting
population number (427,953).
CV-A16, coxsackievirus A16;
EV-A71, enterovirus A71; HFMD,
hand, foot and mouth disease; other
EVs, other non–EV-A71 and
non–CV-A16 enteroviruses.
SYNOPSIS
436 Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018
Demographic Characteristics
The median ages of patients with recurrent laboratory-con-
rmed HFMD were 22.6 (IQR 14.2–34.0) months for the
rst episode and 36.5 (IQR 25.7–48.7) months for the second
episode. Younger children had more episodes of recurrent
laboratory-conrmed HFMD (p<0.001) and recurrent proba-
ble HFMD (p = 0.001) (online Technical Appendix Table 1).
Few patients (1.5%) had their rst episode of HFMD after 5
years of age. Approximately two thirds (68% or 1,208) of the
patients aected were boys, and 41% were residents of rural
areas. The demographic characteristics age, sex, and rural
residence and the frequency of episodes were similar among
patients with recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD, regard-
less of the enterovirus serotypes of reinfections (Table 1).
Geographic Distribution
Patients with recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD were
observed in all of the 29 provinces of China we examined
except Tibet. The number of recurrent laboratory-conrmed
HFMD cases varied substantially, ranging from 7 cases in
Qinghai Province to 658 cases in Guangdong Province. Half
of the cases with recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD
were reported in 3 provinces: Guangdong (658 cases), Yun-
nan (153 cases), and Sichuan (107 cases) (Figure 3).
Table 1. Demographic characteristics of patients with recurrent probable and laboratory-confirmed HFMD in 29 provinces of China,
20082015*
Characteristic
Patients
with
recurrent
probable
HFMD,
N = 396,243
Patients with recurrent laboratory-confirmed HFMD, N = 1,814†
Patients
with
recurrent
laboratory-
confirmed
HFMD,
N = 1,767
Reinfection
after EV-
A71 with
EV-A71,
n = 99
Reinfection
after CV-
A16 with
CV-A16,
Reinfection
after other
EVs with
other EVs,
n = 364
Reinfection
after EV-A71
with CV-A16
or after CV-
A61 with EV-
A71, n = 383
Reinfection
after EV-A71
with other EVs
or after other
EVs with EV-
A71, n = 469
Reinfection
after CV-A16
with other EVs
or after other
EVs with CV-
A16, n = 454
Age at first episode
Age, mo,
median
(IQR)
20.8
(12.231.4)
24.2
(15.636.5)
(20.939.4)
18.8
(12.231.4)
26.3
(17.736.8)
22.6
(14.534.4)
22.8
(14.232.8)
22.6
(14.234.0)
Age group
<6 mo
7,279 (2)
1 (1)
10 (3)
1 (0.3)
4 (1)
7 (2)
23 (1)
611 mo
80,982 (20)
10 (12)
77 (21)
39 (10)
76 (16)
72 (16)
283 (16)
1223 mo
155,973
(39)
46 (46)
144 (40)
132 (35)
181 (39)
176 (38)
696 (39)
2459 mo
145,289
(37)
39 (39)
129 (35)
203 (53)
204 (43)
192 (42)
738 (42)
59 y
6,526 (2)
2 (2)
4 (1)
8 (2)
4 (1)
7 (2)
26 (2)
1014 y
158 (0.04)
1 (1)
0
0
0
0
1 (0.05)
>15 y
36 (0.01)
0
0
0
0
0
0
Age at second episode
Age, mo,
median
(IQR)
36.4
(24.348.5)
40.0
(27.450.2)
(25.755.8)
34.7
(24.245.9)
42.3
(32.553.2)
37.1
(26.849.4)
36.8
(26.849.2)
36.5
(25.748.7)
Age group
<6 mo
236 (0.06)
0
1 (0.3)
0
0
0
1 (0.05)
611 mo
14,239 (4)
2 (2)
12 (3)
3 (1)
14 (3)
13 (3)
47 (3)
1223 mo
83,568 (21)
17 (17)
89 (25)
35 (9)
73 (16)
73 (16)
309 (17)
2459 mo
257,729
(65)
69 (70)
232 (64)
298 (78)
335 (71)
315 (69)
1,234 (70)
59 y
39,786 (10)
10 (10)
29 (8)
47 (12)
45 (10)
52 (12)
170 (10)
1014 y
640 (0.16)
1 (1)
1 (0.3)
0
2 (0.4)
1 (0.2)
6 (0.33)
>15 y
45 (0.01)
0
0
0
0
0
0
Male sex
259,028
(65)
74 (75)
247 (68)
270 (70)
326 (70)
291 (64)
1,208 (68)
Rural residence
186,700
(47)
49 (49)
115 (32)
187 (49)
190 (41)
167 (37)
716 (41)
Frequency of episodes
2
373,745
(95)
91 (92)
303 (83)
356 (93)
404 (86)
400 (88)
1,595 (90)
3
21,023 (5)
7 (7)
54 (15)
22 (6)
59 (13)
49 (11)
161 (9)
>4‡
1,475 (0.4)
1 (1)
7 (2)
5 (1)
6 (1)
5 (1)
11 (1)
Death
20 (0.005)
0
0
0
0
0
0
*Data are no. (%) patients unless otherwise indicated. CV-A16, coxsackievirus A16; EV-A71, enterovirus A71; HFMD, hand, foot and mouth disease; IQR,
interquartile range; other EVs, other nonEV-A71 and nonCV-A16 enteroviruses.
†For patients with laboratory-confirmed recurrence of 3 or 4 HFMD episodes, any 2 laboratory-confirmed HFMD epis odes were combined to form a case
of recurrence of laboratory-confirmed HFMD. For example, patients with 3 episodes were categorized as having 3 reinfections, with the first and sec ond,
first and third, and second and third infections being grouped together.
‡For patients with recurrence of laboratory-confirmed HFMD, the hi ghest number of episo des was 4. For patient s with recurrence of probable HFMD, the
highest number of episodes was 8.
Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018 437
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease, China
Probability of HFMD Recurrence
Patients in this cohort were under observation for a me-
dian of 38.0 (range 0–97.4) months after their rst HFMD
diagnosis (online Technical Appendix Table 2). The recur-
rent episode occurred 0.5–93.4 (median 11.7) months after
the primary HFMD episode in patients with recurrence of
probable HFMD and 0.5–62.1 (median 12.0) months in pa-
tients with recurrence of laboratory-conrmed HFMD. The
probability of HFMD recurrence was 1.9% at 12 months,
3.3% at 24 months, and 3.9% at 36 months; however, re-
currence remained at 4.0% at 38.8 months after the primary
episode of HFMD (Figure 4, panel A). For patients with
primary EV-A71 infections, the probability of reinfection
with CV-A16 (0.11% [95% CI 0.10%–0.13%]) or other
enteroviruses (0.14% [95% CI 0.13%–0.16%]) was high-
er than that of reinfection with EV-A71 (0.05% [95% CI
0.04%–0.07%]; p<0.001) (Figure 4, panel B). For patients
with primary CV-A16 infections, the probability of rein-
fection with EV-A71 (0.18% [95% CI 0.15%–0.20%]) or
other enteroviruses (0.21% [95% CI 0.18%–0.23%]) was
higher than that of reinfection with CV-A16 (0.04% [95%
CI 0.03%–0.05%]; p<0.001) (Figure 4, panel C). These
ndings suggest that risk for reinfection with dierent en-
terovirus serotypes might be higher than that for reinfection
with identical enterovirus serotypes.
Relationship between HFMD Recurrence
and Severe Illness
Unsurprisingly, we found that illness severity was in-
versely associated with age and onset-to-diagnosis interval.
EV-A71 infections (OR 7.2, 95% CI 4.0–13.0) and other
enterovirus infections (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.5–5.0) were more
severe than CV-A16 infections. Patients who lived in ur-
ban areas also had increased risk for severe illness (OR 1.8,
95% CI 1.3–2.5). After adjusting for these risk factors, re-
current HFMD episodes were not found to be associated
with illness severity, which means the second and third
HFMD episodes did not appear to be more or less severe
Figure 2. Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) episodes in 29 provinces of China, 2008–2015. A) Patients with recurrent laboratory-
conrmed HFMD. B) Patients with single episode of laboratory-conrmed HFMD. C) Patients with recurrent probable HFMD. D) Patients
with single episode of probable HFMD.
SYNOPSIS
438 Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018
than the rst episode. In addition, the interval between the
2 episodes was not related to disease severity of the latter
episode (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95–1.01) (Table 2).
Discussion
During 2008–2015, we found that 398,010 HFMD pa-
tients with >2 episodes (a total of ≈820,000 episodes)
were reported among children in China; 1,767 of these
recurrences were laboratory-conrmed. The patients who
were reinfected with dierent enterovirus serotypes had
similar age, sex, residence, and frequency of episodes.
Recurrence of HFMD mainly occurred 0–38.8 months
after the primary episode, with a recurrence probability
of 4% at 38.8 months. Reinfection with a dierent en-
terovirus serotype was more likely than reinfection with
an identical enterovirus serotype. The severity of HFMD
Figure 3. Geographic distribution of patients with recurrent HFMD (A) and episodes of enterovirus infection (B) in 29 provinces of China,
2008–2015. A) Pie charts correspond to the number of recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD cases. B) Pie charts correspond to the
number of laboratory-conrmed HFMD episodes. CV-A16, coxsackievirus A16; EV-A71, enterovirus A71; HFMD, hand, foot and mouth
disease; other EVs, non–EV-A71 and non–CV-A16 enteroviruses.
Figure 4. Kaplan-Meier analysis of survival from HFMD recurrence after primary HFMD diagnosis, 29 provinces of China, 2008–2015.
A) Probability of HFMD recurrence among all patients who had probable and laboratory-conrmed HFMD. B) Probability of HFMD
recurrence among case-patients whose primary episode was an infection with EV-A71. C) Probability of HFMD recurrence among
case-patients whose primary episode was an infection with CV-A16. CV-A16, coxsackievirus A16; EV-A71, enterovirus A71; other EVs,
non–EV-A71 and non–CV-A16 enteroviruses; HFMD, hand, foot and mouth disease.
Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018 439
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease, China
was not associated with recurrent infections or the time
interval between HFMD episodes.
In a report on a phase 3 clinical trial, an EV-A71 neu-
tralizing antibody titer of 1:16 was associated with protec-
tion against EV-A71–associated HFMD (28). In addition,
EV-A71 was observed to confer cross-neutralization activ-
ity against major global EV-A71 genotypes (A, B1, B3–
B5, C1–C5), although the degree of cross-neutralization
varied (2931). In an EV-A71 vaccine study, participants
were observed for only 2 years, but results suggested that
the vaccine can provide protection against EV-A71–associ-
ated HFMD for >2 years (14). Infection with enteroviruses
seems to confer lifelong immunity to HFMD, given that
adult cases are rare (1). The reasons underlying the cases
of HFMD recurrence caused by reinfections with the same
serotype, which have a 12-month median interval to re-
infection, are not clear. Measles has been deemed to pro-
vide long-lasting protection against reinfection. However,
measles reinfections have occurred in vaccinated and pre-
sumptively immune persons, either because of insucient
primary antigenic stimulation or inadequate duration of an-
tibody response (32). Study results have suggested the in-
volvement of multiple cellular deciencies, including low
memory B-cell count, reduced polyclonal naive and memo-
ry T-cell responses, and suboptimal antigen-presenting cell
responses, in children with low vaccine responses (33,34).
Agammaglobulinemia is another condition of immunode-
ciency associated with recurrent infections (35). In patients
with inuenza, suboptimal immune responses after the pri-
mary infection led to the failure to generate a protective im-
mune response that could have prevented reinfection (36).
Children with immature immunity or immunodeciency
(37) probably are not able to induce sucient immune
responses (or might induce low-level serologic responses
that wane rapidly) after infection with EV-A71 or CV-A16;
thus, these children are likely susceptible to reinfection
with an enterovirus of the same serotype as their primary
episode. Another possibility (though less likely) is that high
neutralizing antibody titers might not protect some persons
from illnesses induced by enteroviruses. Further investiga-
tions are needed to provide a scientic explanation.
Even though the genotypes of EV-A71 and CV-A16
were not available in this study, previous studies have
shown that the predominant EV-A71 and CV-A16 geno-
types circulating in China have been consistent. Phyloge-
netic analysis of viral protein 1 gene sequences revealed
that the EV-A71 genotype circulating in China since 2008
has been C4 (3842); hence, the monovalent EV-A71 vac-
cines licensed in China were designed to target the C4
genotype. B1 has been reported to be the predominant
genotype of CV-A16 circulating in China (4043). There-
fore, we reasonably conclude that in our cohort HFMD re-
currences involving reinfections with enteroviruses of the
same serotype were also highly likely reinfections with the
same genotype.
Recurrent laboratory-conrmed HFMD was largely
(at least 72% of cases) attributable to dierent serotypes
of enterovirus; thus, undoubtedly hundreds of thousands
of patients with HFMD recurrence with dierent serotypes
should have occurred, given clinical samples were collect-
ed from only 4.2% of the patients with probable HFMD
episodes for virologic diagnosis. Our results support
Table 2. Risk factors associated with severe illness in cases of recurrent laboratory-confirmed HFMD, China, 20082015*
Risk factor
Mild, N = 3,187, no. (%)
Severe, N = 172, no. (%)
Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Age at HFMD onset, mo
>23
2,054 (96.9)
66 (3.1)
Reference
1223
836 (91.5)
78 (8.5)
2.4 (1.73.6)
<12
297 (91.4)
28 (8.6)
2.6 (1.64.4)
Sex
F
1,010 (95.5)
48 (4.5)
Reference
M
2,177 (94.6)
124 (5.4)
0.9 (0.61.2)
Enterovirus serotype
CV-A16
857 (98.5)
13 (1.5)
Reference
Other EVs
1,452 (96.0)
61 (4.0)
2.7 (1.55.0)
EV-A71
878 (90.0)
98 (10.0)
7.2 (4.013.0)
Residence
Rural
1,342 (92.8)
104 (7.2)
Reference
Urban
1,845 (96.4)
68 (3.6)
1.8 (1.32.5)
Order episode occurred
First
1,523 (93.9)
99 (6.1)
Reference
Second or after
1,664 (95.8)
73 (4.2)
0.8 (0.51.2)
Onset-to-diagnosis interval, d
<1
1,443 (96.3)
55 (3.7)
Reference
23
896 (94.0)
57 (6.0)
1.6 (1.12.4)
>4
848 (93.4)
60 (6.6)
1.8 (1.22.7)
Interval between successive episodes
0.97 (0.951.01)
*CV-A16, coxsackievirus A16; EV-A71, ent erovirus A71; HFMD, hand, foot and mouth di sease; OR, odds ratio; other EVs, other non EV-A71 and non
CV-A16 enteroviruses.
SYNOPSIS
440 Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018
the notion that limited or no cross-protection against dif-
ferent serotypes of enterovirus occurs after natural infec-
tion, which is consistent with observations from the EV-
A71 vaccine study (12,14) and a modeling study of natural
infections (13). Antibody-dependent enhancement, which
has been commonly seen in dengue, was also observed
in EV-A71 and CV-B3 infections in mouse models; the
severity of the subsequent episode of infection was en-
hanced by a subneutralizing level of antibody after pri-
mary infection (44,45). However, we did not observe
that HFMD recurrence or the interval between successive
episodes had any eect on disease severity in humans.
It seems that antibody-dependent enhancement does not
happen in human infections with enterovirus, further im-
plying that no or short-term cross-reactivity develops for
dierent serotypes of enterovirus.
Three monovalent EV-A71 vaccines are administered
in China (46). Our study indicates that children who receive
an EV-A71 vaccine can still develop HFMD after vaccina-
tion, which is a challenge for monovalent EV-A71 vac-
cines. Even though the EV-A71 vaccine protects against
>90% of the EV-A71 infections that occur in children, chil-
dren still face the risk for infection with other enterovirus
serotypes after vaccination. Hence, public health authori-
ties should inform parents and caregivers about the risk for
the development of HFMD after EV-A71 vaccination, and
multivalent vaccines for HFMD (e.g., EV-A71 combined
with other prevalent circulating serotypes CV-A16 and
CV-A6) are needed for the HFMD epidemic.
This study has several limitations. First, the burden of
HFMD recurrence was underestimated because the disease
is substantially underreported in the surveillance system
(16%–36% estimated) (47) and the observation period for
assessing recurrence was insucient, especially among
patients identied in more recent years. Although the re-
currence of HFMD is rarely reported in other countries
(48,49), our study suggests that it is not uncommon. Sec-
ond, because clinical samples were not collected from all
patients during each HFMD episode and tested, we could
not determine the real number of recurrent HFMD cases;
thus, the probabilities of reinfection with an identical en-
terovirus serotype (i.e., EV-A71 and CV-A16) we calculat-
ed might be underestimated. It is not favorable to estimate
the number of patients with reinfections of the same sero-
type because only a small proportion (4.2%) of HFMD epi-
sodes have been tested for enterovirus diagnosis, although
mathematical modeling methods could be used to solve
this problem. This topic requires further exploration. Third,
we were unable to describe the features of patients with
reinfection of non–EV-A71 and non–CV-A16 serotypes.
Fourth, the short interval between consecutive episodes in
some patients suggests the potential for co-infections rather
than reinfections; thus, co-infections might have occurred
and caused a slight overestimation of the recurrence rate
for HFMD. However, patients with short intervals between
consecutive episodes accounted for a small proportion of
the patients with recurrent HFMD, so the eect that co-
infections played is relatively limited.
In conclusion, our 8-year surveillance study indicates a
high burden of HFMD recurrence among children in China
and shows that each episode of recurrent HFMD is more
likely caused by a dierent enterovirus serotype than that
of the primary episode (both for patients with EV-A71 and
CV-A16 primary infections). Further studies in which vi-
rologic diagnosis is performed for all HFMD episodes are
needed to better quantify the probability of HFMD recur-
rence and probability of reinfection by enterovirus sero-
type, including non–EV-A71 and non–CV-A16 serotypes.
Further investigations are also warranted to elucidate the
mechanism underlying HFMD recurrences resulting from
reinfections with enteroviruses of the same serotype; the
protective antibody levels for EV-A71, CV-A16, and other
enterovirus serotypes; and the duration of immunity and
cross-immunity between serotypes. Finally, more work is
needed to study the eect of HFMD recurrence on disease
severity, even though no association was observed in this
patient cohort.
Acknowledgments
We thank sta members at the Bureau of Disease Control and
Prevention, the National Health and Family Planning
Commission of China, and provincial and local departments of
health for providing assistance in coordinating the data
collection. We also thank sta members at the county,
prefecture, and provincial levels of CDCs and hospitals for
data collection.
This study was supported by grants from the National Science
Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars (no. 81525023 to H.Y.),
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no. 81473031
to. H.Y.), the Li Ka Shing Oxford Global Health Programme
(no. B9RST00-B900.57 to H.Y.), and TOTAL Foundation
(no. 2015-099 to H.Y.). The funders had no role in study design,
data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation
of the manuscript.
About the Author
Ms. Huang is a doctoral candidate at Tongji Medical College,
Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Her research interests are focused on the epidemiology of HFMD.
References
1. Xing W, Liao Q, Viboud C, Zhang J, Sun J, Wu JT, et al. Hand,
foot, and mouth disease in China, 2008-12: an epidemiological
study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2014;14:308–18. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1016/S1473-3099(13)70342-6
Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018 441
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease, China
2. Tseng FC, Huang HC, Chi CY, Lin TL, Liu CC, Jian JW, et al.;
CDC-Taiwan Virology Reference Laboratories and Sentinel
Physician Network. Epidemiological survey of enterovirus
infections occurring in Taiwan between 2000 and 2005: analysis
of sentinel physician surveillance data. J Med Virol. 2007;79:
1850–60. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jmv.21006
3. Huang CC, Liu CC, Chang YC, Chen CY, Wang ST, Yeh TF.
Neurologic complications in children with enterovirus 71
infection. N Engl J Med. 1999;341:936–42. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1056/NEJM199909233411302
4. Ooi MH, Wong SC, Lewthwaite P, Cardosa MJ, Solomon T.
Clinical features, diagnosis, and management of enterovirus 71.
Lancet Neurol. 2010;9:1097–105. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
S1474-4422(10)70209-X
5. Chan LG, Parashar UD, Lye MS, Ong FG, Zaki SR, Alexander JP,
et al.; Outbreak Study Group. Deaths of children during an
outbreak of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Sarawak, Malaysia:
clinical and pathological characteristics of the disease. Clin Infect
Dis. 2000;31:678–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/314032
6. Fujimoto T, Chikahira M, Yoshida S, Ebira H, Hasegawa A,
Totsuka A, et al. Outbreak of central nervous system disease
associated with hand, foot, and mouth disease in Japan during the
summer of 2000: detection and molecular epidemiology of
enterovirus 71. Microbiol Immunol. 2002;46:621–7.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1348-0421.2002.tb02743.x
7. Ho M, Chen ER, Hsu KH, Twu SJ, Chen KT, Tsai SF, et al.;
Taiwan Enterovirus Epidemic Working Group. An epidemic of
enterovirus 71 infection in Taiwan. N Engl J Med. 1999;341:929–
35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/NEJM199909233411301
8. Chan KP, Goh KT, Chong CY, Teo ES, Lau G, Ling AE. Epidemic
hand, foot and mouth disease caused by human enterovirus 71,
Singapore. Emerg Infect Dis. 2003;9:78–85. http://dx.doi.org/
10.3201/eid1301.020112
9. Tu PV, Thao NTT, Perera D, Truong KH, Tien NTK, Thuong TC,
et al. Epidemiologic and virologic investigation of hand, foot,
and mouth disease, southern Vietnam, 2005. Emerg Infect Dis.
2007;13:1733–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1311.070632
10. Li R, Liu L, Mo Z, Wang X, Xia J, Liang Z, et al. An
inactivated enterovirus 71 vaccine in healthy children. N Engl J Med.
2014;370:829–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1303224
11. Zhu FC, Meng FY, Li JX, Li XL, Mao QY, Tao H, et al.
Ecacy, safety, and immunology of an inactivated alum-adjuvant
enterovirus 71 vaccine in children in China: a multicentre,
randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial.
Lancet. 2013;381:2024–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
S0140-6736(13)61049-1
12. Huang WC, Huang LM, Kao CL, Lu CY, Shao PL, Cheng AL,
et al. Seroprevalence of enterovirus 71 and no evidence of cross-
protection of enterovirus 71 antibody against the other enteroviruses
in kindergarten children in Taipei city. J Microbiol Immunol Infect.
2012;45:96–101. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmii.2011.09.025
13. Takahashi S, Liao Q, Van Boeckel TP, Xing W, Sun J, Hsiao VY,
et al. Hand, foot, and mouth disease in China: modeling epidemic
dynamics of enterovirus serotypes and implications for vaccination.
PLoS Med. 2016;13:e1001958. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/
journal.pmed.1001958
14. Li JX, Song YF, Wang L, Zhang XF, Hu YS, Hu YM, et al.
Two-year ecacy and immunogenicity of Sinovac enterovirus 71
vaccine against hand, foot and mouth disease in children. Expert
Rev Vaccines. 2016;15:129–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1586/
14760584.2016.1096782
15. Yu N, Guo M, He SJ, Pan YX, Chen XX, Ding XX, et al.
Evaluation of human enterovirus 71 and coxsackievirus A16
specic immunoglobulin M antibodies for diagnosis of hand-
foot-and-mouth disease. Virol J. 2012;9:12. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1186/1743-422X-9-12
16. Xu F, Yan Q, Wang H, Niu J, Li L, Zhu F, et al. Performance of
detecting IgM antibodies against enterovirus 71 for early
diagnosis. PLoS One. 2010;5:e11388. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/
journal.pone.0011388
17. Zhang J, Weng Z, Du H, Xu F, He S, He D, et al. Development and
evaluation of rapid point-of-care tests for detection of enterovirus
71 and coxsackievirus A16 specic immunoglublin M antibodies.
J Virol Methods. 2016;231:44–7. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
j.jviromet.2016.01.015
18. Wong SS, Yip CC, Lau SK, Yuen KY. Human enterovirus 71
and hand, foot and mouth disease. Epidemiol Infect.
2010;138:1071–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268809991555
19. Wang Y, Feng Z, Yang Y, Self S, Gao Y, Longini IM, et al.
Hand, foot, and mouth disease in China: patterns of spread and
transmissibility. Epidemiology. 2011;22:781–92. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1097/EDE.0b013e318231d67a
20. Chia MY, Chiang PS, Chung WY, Luo ST, Lee MS. Epidemiology
of enterovirus 71 infections in Taiwan. Pediatr Neonatol.
2014;55:243–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pedneo.2013.07.007
21. Zhou H, Guo SZ, Zhou H, Zhu YF, Zhang LJ, Zhang W. Clinical
characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease in Harbin and the
prediction of severe cases. Chin Med J (Engl). 2012;125:1261–5.
22. Liao Y, Ouyang R, Wang J, Xu B. A study of spatiotemporal delay
in hand, foot and mouth disease in response to weather variations
based on SVD: a case study in Shandong Province, China.
BMC Public Health. 2015;15:71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/
s12889-015-1446-6
23. Onozuka D, Hashizume M. The inuence of temperature and
humidity on the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in
Japan. Sci Total Environ. 2011;410-411:119–25. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.09.055
24. Hii YL, Rocklöv J, Ng N. Short term eects of weather on
hand, foot and mouth disease. PLoS One. 2011;6:e16796.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0016796
25. Wu H, Wang H, Wang Q, Xin Q, Lin H. The eect of
meteorological factors on adolescent hand, foot, and mouth disease
and associated eect modiers. Glob Health Action. 2014;7:24664.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/gha.v7.24664
26. Yi L, Lu J, Kung HF, He ML. The virology and developments
toward control of human enterovirus 71. Crit Rev Microbiol.
2011;37:313–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.3109/1040841X.2011.580723
27. Sun L, Wand J. System review of hand, foot, and mouth disease
recurrence [in Chinese]. Anhui J Prev Med. 2013;19:5.
28. Zhu F, Xu W, Xia J, Liang Z, Liu Y, Zhang X, et al. Ecacy,
safety, and immunogenicity of an enterovirus 71 vaccine in China.
N Engl J Med. 2014;370:818–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1056/
NEJMoa1304923
29. Mao Q, Cheng T, Zhu F, Li J, Wang Y, Li Y, et al. The cross-
neutralizing activity of enterovirus 71 subgenotype c4 vaccines in
healthy Chinese infants and children. PLoS One. 2013;8:e79599.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0079599
30. Liu L, Mo Z, Liang Z, Zhang Y, Li R, Ong KC, et al. Immunity and
clinical ecacy of an inactivated enterovirus 71 vaccine in healthy
Chinese children: a report of further observations. BMC Med.
2015;13:226. http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12916-015-0448-7
31. Chou AH, Liu CC, Chang JY, Jiang R, Hsieh YC, Tsao A, et al.
Formalin-inactivated EV71 vaccine candidate induced cross-
neutralizing antibody against subgenotypes B1, B4, B5 and
C4A in adult volunteers. PLoS One. 2013;8:e79783.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0079783
32. Linnemann CC, Hegg ME, Rotte TC, Phair JP, Schi GM.
Measles IgM response during reinfection of previously vaccinated
children. J Pediatr. 1973;82:798–801. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
S0022-3476(73)80069-1
33. Surendran N, Nicolosi T, Kaur R, Morris M, Pichichero M.
Prospective study of the innate cellular immune response in low
SYNOPSIS
442 Emerging Infectious Diseases • www.cdc.gov/eid • Vol. 24, No. 3, March 2018
vaccine responder children. Innate Immun. 2017;23:89–96.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1753425916678471
34. Pichichero ME. Challenges in vaccination of neonates, infants
and young children. Vaccine. 2014;32:3886–94. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.05.008
35. Sugimoto M, Takeichi T, Muramatsu H, Kojima D, Osada Y, Kono M,
et al. Recurrent cellulitis caused by Helicobacter cinaedi in a
patient with X-linked agammaglobulinaemia. Acta Derm Venereol.
2017;97:277–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.2340/00015555-2501
36. Trakulsrichai S, Watcharananan SP, Chantratita W. Inuenza
A (H1N1) 2009 reinfection in Thailand. J Infect Public Health.
2012;5:211–4. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jiph.2011.10.010
37. Koch RM, Kox M, de Jonge MI, van der Hoeven JG, Ferwerda G,
Pickkers P. Patterns in bacterial- and viral-induced
immunosuppression and secondary infections in the ICU. Shock.
2017;47:5–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/SHK.0000000000000731
38. Zhang Y, Wang J, Guo W, Wang H, Zhu S, Wang D, et al.
Emergence and transmission pathways of rapidly evolving
evolutionary branch C4a strains of human enterovirus 71
in the Central Plain of China. PLoS One. 2011;6:e27895.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027895
39. Li J, Sun Y, Du Y, Yan Y, Huo D, Liu Y, et al. Characterization of
coxsackievirus A6- and enterovirus 71-associated hand foot and
mouth disease in Beijing, China, from 2013 to 2015. Front
Microbiol. 2016;7:391.
40. He SZ, Chen MY, Xu XR, Yan Q, Niu JJ, Wu WH, et al. Epidemics
and aetiology of hand, foot and mouth disease in Xiamen, China,
from 2008 to 2015. Epidemiol Infect. 2017;145:1865–74.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268817000309
41. Huang X, Wei H, Wu S, Du Y, Liu L, Su J, et al. Epidemiological
and etiological characteristics of hand, foot, and mouth disease in
Henan, China, 2008–2013. Sci Rep. 2015;5:8904. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1038/srep08904
42. Xu M, Su L, Cao L, Zhong H, Dong N, Xu J. Enterovirus
genotypes causing hand foot and mouth disease in Shanghai,
China: a molecular epidemiological analysis. BMC Infect Dis.
2013;13:489. http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-13-489
43. Yong W, Qiao M, Shi L, Wang X, Wang Y, Du X, et al. Genetic
characteristics of coxsackievirus A16 associated with hand,
foot, and mouth disease in Nanjing, China. J Infect Dev Ctries.
2016;10:168–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.3855/jidc.6876
44. Han JF, Cao RY, Deng YQ, Tian X, Jiang T, Qin ED, et al.
Antibody dependent enhancement infection of enterovirus 71
in vitro and in vivo. Virol J. 2011;8:106. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1186/1743-422X-8-106
45. Kishimoto C, Kurokawa M, Ochiai H. Antibody-mediated
immune enhancement in coxsackievirus B3 myocarditis.
J Mol Cell Cardiol. 2002;34:1227–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/
jmcc.2002.2087
46. China Food and Drug Administration. Announcement on licensed
drugs approved by China Food and Drug Administration. 2016
[cited 2017 May 20]. http://app2.sfda.gov.cn/datasearchp/
gzcxSearch.do?searchcx=71&optionType=V1&formRender=cx
47. Wu JT, Jit M, Zheng Y, Leung K, Xing W, Yang J, et al. Routine
pediatric enterovirus 71 vaccination in China: a cost-eectiveness
analysis. PLoS Med. 2016;13:e1001975. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/
journal.pmed.1001975
48. Dias EDM, Dias M. Recurring hand foot mouth disease in a child.
Ann Trop Med Public Health. 2012;5:40-1. http://dx.doi.org/
10.4103/1755-6783.92879
49. Sutton-Hayes S, Weisse ME, Wilson NW, Ogershok PR. A
recurrent presentation of hand, foot, and mouth disease. Clin
Pediatr (Phila). 2006;45:373–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/
000992280604500412
Address for correspondence: Hongjie Yu, School of Public Health,
Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan
University, Shanghai 200032, China; email: cfetpyhj@vip.sina.com;
Sheng Wei, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Ministry of
Education, Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, School of Public
Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and
Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430030, China; email: ws1998@hotmail.com
EID Adds Advanced Search Features for Articles
Emerging Infectious Diseases now has an advanced
search feature that makes it easier to find articles by using
keywords, names of authors, and specified date ranges.
You can sort and refine search results by manuscript
number, volume or issue number, or article type. A quick
start guide and expandable help section show you how to
optimize your searches.
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/AdvancedSearch
EID’s new mapping feature allows you to search for
articles from specific countries by using a map or table
to locate countries. You can refine search results by
article type, volume and issue, and date, and book-
mark your search results.
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/ArticleMap

Supplementary resource (1)

... Enterovirus 71 (EV71) stands out as a significant contributor to hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) among the pediatric population [1,2]. Since the early 1980s, EV71 has triggered numerous extensive global outbreaks among children, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, evolving into a significant public health concern within the impacted nations [3,4]. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background During Enterovirus type 71 (EV71) infection, the structural viral protein 1 (VP1) activates endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress associated with peripheral myelin protein 22 (PMP22) accumulation and induces autophagy. However, the specific mechanism behind this process remains elusive. Methods In this research, we used the VP1-overexpressing mouse Schwann cells (SCs) models co-transfected with a PMP22 silencing or Autocrine motility factor receptor (AMFR/gp78) overexpressing vector to explore the regulation of gp78 on PMP22 and its relationship with autophagy and apoptosis. Results The activity of gp78 could be influenced by EV71-VP1, leading to a decrease in the ubiquitination and degradation of PMP22, resulting in PMP22 accumulation in ER. In VP1-overexpressing mouse SCs, all three ER stress sensors, including pancreatic endoplasmic reticulum kinase (PERK), activating transcription factor 6 (ATF6) and inositol-requiring enzyme 1 (IRE1) and the related downstream signals (C/EBP-homologous protein (CHOP) and Caspase 12) were activated, as well as the ER-resident chaperone Glucose-regulated protein 78 (GRP78). In addition, VP1 upregulated the autophagy marker Microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3 beta (LC3B), while PMP22 silencing or gp78 overexpression reversed the phenomenon. Meanwhile, PMP22 silencing or gp78 overexpression increased proliferation of EV71-VP1-transfected mouse SCs. Conclusion Gp78 could regulate PMP22 accumulation through ubiquitination degradation and cause ER stress and autophagy in EV71-VP1-overexpressing mouse SCs. Therefore, the gp78/PMP22/ER stress axis might emerge as a promising therapeutic target for myelin and neuronal damage induced by EV71 infection.
... Previous epidemiological studies have found that significant changes in meteorological factors such as temperature, humidity, and precipitation can alter the exposure level of the population to certain meteorological factors, thereby increasing the risk of illness, injury, and death (12,(34)(35)(36)(37); The change in meteorological environment can create suitable conditions for the parasitism, reproduction, and transmission of mosquitoes and other vectors and parasitic pathogens, and change the density and seasonal distribution of parasites and vectors, thus affecting the epidemic process of insect vectors and parasitic infectious diseases, expanding the epidemic degree and scope, and increasing the harm to the population (9,(38)(39)(40)(41). Research in China also shows that meteorological factors can also affect the incidence rate of infectious diseases, such as bacillary dysentery (42) and hand-foot mouth (43,44). In addition, extreme weather events can also induce some chronic non-infectious diseases (such as cardio-cerebral vascular disease, respiratory disease, genitourinary system disease, and metabolic system disease), injuries (such as traffic accidents, drowning, and suicide), psychological/mental diseases (such as depression, schizophrenia, and emotional and behavioral abnormalities), and adverse pregnancy outcomes (28,33,(45)(46)(47). ...
Article
Full-text available
Introduction Meteorological and environmental factors can affect people’s lives and health, which is crucial among the older adults. However, it is currently unclear how they specifically affect the physical condition of older adults people. Methods We collected and analyzed the basic physical examination indicators of 41 older adults people for two consecutive years (2021 and 2022), and correlated them with meteorological and environmental factors. Partial correlation was also conducted to exclude unrelated factors as well. Results We found that among the physical examination indicators of the older adults for two consecutive years, five indicators (HB, WBC, HbAlc, CB, LDL-C) showed significant differences across the population, and they had significantly different dynamic correlation patterns with six meteorological (air pressure, temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind speed, and sunshine duration) and seven air quality factors (NO2, SO2, PM10, O3-1h, O3-8h, CO, PM2.5). Discussion Our study has discovered for the first time the dynamic correlation between indicators in normal basic physical examinations and meteorological factors and air quality indicators, which will provide guidance for the future development of policies that care for the healthy life of the older adults.
Article
Full-text available
Background An accelerated epidemiological transition, spurred by economic development and urbanization, has led to a rapid transformation of the disease spectrum. However, this transition has resulted in a divergent change in the burden of infectious diseases between urban and rural areas. The objective of our study was to evaluate the long-term urban–rural disparities in infectious diseases among children, adolescents, and youths in China, while also examining the specific diseases driving these disparities. Methods and findings This observational study examined data on 43 notifiable infectious diseases from 8,442,956 cases from individuals aged 4 to 24 years, with 4,487,043 cases in urban areas and 3,955,913 in rural areas. The data from 2013 to 2021 were obtained from China’s Notifiable Infectious Disease Surveillance System. The 43 infectious diseases were categorized into 7 categories: vaccine-preventable, bacterial, gastrointestinal and enterovirus, sexually transmitted and bloodborne, vectorborne, zoonotic, and quarantinable diseases. The calculation of infectious disease incidence was stratified by urban and rural areas. We used the index of incidence rate ratio (IRR), calculated by dividing the urban incidence rate by the rural incidence rate for each disease category, to assess the urban–rural disparity. During the nine-year study period, most notifiable infectious diseases in both urban and rural areas exhibited either a decreased or stable pattern. However, a significant and progressively widening urban–rural disparity in notifiable infectious diseases was observed. Children, adolescents, and youths in urban areas experienced a higher average yearly incidence compared to their rural counterparts, with rates of 439 per 100,000 compared to 211 per 100,000, respectively (IRR: 2.078, 95% CI [2.075, 2.081]; p < 0.001). From 2013 to 2021, this disparity was primarily driven by higher incidences of pertussis (IRR: 1.782, 95% CI [1.705, 1.862]; p < 0.001) and seasonal influenza (IRR: 3.213, 95% CI [3.205, 3.220]; p < 0.001) among vaccine-preventable diseases, tuberculosis (IRR: 1.011, 95% CI [1.006, 1.015]; p < 0.001), and scarlet fever (IRR: 2.942, 95% CI [2.918, 2.966]; p < 0.001) among bacterial diseases, infectious diarrhea (IRR: 1.932, 95% CI [1.924, 1.939]; p < 0.001), and hand, foot, and mouth disease (IRR: 2.501, 95% CI [2.491, 2.510]; p < 0.001) among gastrointestinal and enterovirus diseases, dengue (IRR: 11.952, 95% CI [11.313, 12.628]; p < 0.001) among vectorborne diseases, and 4 sexually transmitted and bloodborne diseases (syphilis: IRR 1.743, 95% CI [1.731, 1.755], p < 0.001; gonorrhea: IRR 2.658, 95% CI [2.635, 2.682], p < 0.001; HIV/AIDS: IRR 2.269, 95% CI [2.239, 2.299], p < 0.001; hepatitis C: IRR 1.540, 95% CI [1.506, 1.575], p < 0.001), but was partially offset by lower incidences of most zoonotic and quarantinable diseases in urban areas (for example, brucellosis among zoonotic: IRR 0.516, 95% CI [0.498, 0.534], p < 0.001; hemorrhagic fever among quarantinable: IRR 0.930, 95% CI [0.881, 0.981], p = 0.008). Additionally, the overall urban–rural disparity was particularly pronounced in the middle (IRR: 1.704, 95% CI [1.699, 1.708]; p < 0.001) and northeastern regions (IRR: 1.713, 95% CI [1.700, 1.726]; p < 0.001) of China. A primary limitation of our study is that the incidence was calculated based on annual average population data without accounting for population mobility. Conclusions A significant urban–rural disparity in notifiable infectious diseases among children, adolescents, and youths was evident from our study. The burden in urban areas exceeded that in rural areas by more than 2-fold, and this gap appears to be widening, particularly influenced by tuberculosis, scarlet fever, infectious diarrhea, and typhus. These findings underscore the urgent need for interventions to mitigate infectious diseases and address the growing urban–rural disparity.
Chapter
Recently, the number of HFMD outbreaks in the Asia–Pacific region has been increasing every year. Relationship between EVs and activation of the host immune response is still not completely clear. In addition to the innate immune response, the host may launch an adaptive immune response, which the virus can escape to proliferate and replicate within the host. EVs have evolved multiple strategies to interfere with the recognition by these receptors that developed during evolution with the host. EVs also encode host cytokines and receptor mimetic factors to create a favorable microenvironment for pathogen survival and to escape the protective immune response of the host. During the coevolution of humans with other organisms, viruses participated in many host functions through viral encoded proteins or microRNAs (miRNAs), which can adapt to a new environment or host. The antiviral immune responses induced by different EVs are different. To answer these questions, more research is needed. In this chapter, EV-A71 and CV-A16 virus infections were analyzed to understand the characteristics of EV infections.
Chapter
Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is caused by the enterovirus family, which includes EV-A71 and more than 10 other members. The disease involves a complex pathological mechanism that includes intricate and finely-tuned interactions between these pathogens and the host. The research on vaccines that can effectively be used to prevent HFMD caused by major pathogens suggested that the viruses presenting with the same structure but different antigenic traits in response to the immune system interactions enable to interact dynamically to cell surface receptors and to lead to similar pathological outcome through diverse mechanisms. This suggests that further understanding of the whole process of signal stimulation by viral antigen molecules and innate immune receptor molecules could improve our recognition about the events of pathological injury to the body and the characterization of antiviral immune responses with phenotypic differences during the pathogenesis. The accumulated data about process of interaction between virus structure and host in molecular level might provide the theoretical and technical support for next generation of vaccine against HFMD for public health initiatives.
Chapter
HFMD is a viral contagious disease that occurs most often in children under 5 years old (Zhang et al. Emerg Microbes Infect 4(2):e12, 2015). It is a self-limiting disease with common clinical manifestations, including sores in the mouth, rash with blisters on the hands and/or feet, herpangina, and fever. It has a good prognosis, and some patients with severe cases may further develop neurological diseases (He et al., Epidemiol Infect 145(9):1865–1874, 2017). Substantial molecular etiological and epidemiological studies have demonstrated that the common pathogens that cause HFMD are enterovirus A 71 (EV-A71), coxsackie virus A 16 (CV-A16), A10 (CV-A10), and A6 (CV-A6), and coxsackie virus B 3 (CV-B3) and B5 (CV-B5). EV-A71 and CV-A16 infections are the most common, with the identified cases accounting for over 60% of all HFMD cases (Koh et al., Pediatr Infect Dis J 35(10):285–300, 2016; Chang et al., Pediatrics 109(6):e88, 2002). Furthermore, EV-A71 is recognized as the major pathogen for fatal cases (Wong et al., Epidemiol Infect 138(8):1071–1089, 2010).
Chapter
Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is generally recognized as a contagious viral disease that commonly occurs in children worldwide, with a high incidence in Asia–Pacific regions in the past 20 years (Koh et al., Pediatr Infect Dis J 35(10):e285–e300, 2016; Puenpa et al., J Biomed Sci 26(1):75, 2019). Since 2000, major epidemics have emerged in East Asia (Huang et al., Emerg Infect Dis 24(3):432, 2018), and numerous large outbreaks have been reported in Taiwan (Chang et al., Pediatrics 109(6):e88, 2002), China; Anhui Province, mainland China; Australia (McMinn et al., Clin Infect Dis 32(2):236–242, 2001); and Southeast Asia (Khanh et al., Emerg Infect Dis 18(12):2002–2005, 2012). Several million HFMD cases have been reported in children. In approximately 1.5–2% of fatal cases, evidence of neurological disorders is identified (Koh et al., BMJ Glob Health 3(1):e000442, 2018; Gonzalez et al., Int J Mol Sci 20(20):5201, 2019), and in some cases, death may be potentially attributed to neurogenic pulmonary edema (PE) or cardiovascular complications occurring within a short time of damage to the nervous system (Wang et al., Pathology 48(3):267–274, 2016). Although cases of fatal HFMD account for only 0.1% of all cases, because HFMD primarily affects children under 2 years of age (Chan et al., Clin Infect Dis 31(3):678–683, 2000), HFMD, especially fatal HFMD, is a public health issue worthy of attention.
Chapter
Since the mid-twentieth century, hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) was seen as a common cause of viral rash, typically self-limited syndrome in children and adults with classic skin findings. Till the past two decades, HFMD has received new attention because it has led to millions of attacks and several outbreaks across the world. This disease may have completely different clinical epidemiological and etiological characteristics from what was initially believed. Especially, HFMD can be associated with severe complications, such as brainstem encephalitis, meningitis, acute flaccid paralysis (AFP), pulmonary edema (NPE), severe neurological sequelae, and high case-fatality rates. In recent years, it has become a serious health threat and economic burden across the Asia–Pacific region. Historically, outbreaks of HFMD were mainly caused by various enteroviruses. Different pathogens are prevalent in different countries. Vaccines have been developed to provide protection against the most common pathogens in specific countries (e.g., vaccine against enterovirus 71 in China). However, the epidemic of HFMD is complex, such as simultaneous circulation of more than one causative virus and modification of the molecular epidemiology of infectious agents. Awareness of the epidemiological situation and patterns may lead providers to appropriate diagnosis and management.
Article
Full-text available
We recently reported our findings from a longitudinal, prospective study where we identified 10% infants who were low vaccine responders (LVR) at age 9-12 mo following routine primary series vaccine schedule. We found multiple cellular deficiencies in LVR children, including low number of memory B cells, reduced polyclonal stimulation of naïve/memory T cell response and suboptimal APC response. These children outgrew their poor vaccine response by the time they received booster doses of vaccine. Studies in human infant innate immunity are rare because of the unique challenges in specimen collection. As innate immunity instructs adaptive immunity, we hypothesized that the primary immune defect lies with innate immunity and in this study we sought to determine the ontogeny of innate immune response in LVR children between 6 and 36 mo of age. Interestingly, suboptimal APC response observed in LVR children at 6-9 mo of age characterized by significantly (P < 0.05) low basal MHC II expression, low R848 induced IRF7 fold change, as well as low IFN-α, IL-12p70 and IL-1β levels, came to parity with normal vaccine responders by 12-15 mo of age, suggesting that the observed immune deficiency in LVR children may be the result of delayed maturation of immune system.
Article
Full-text available
Background: Etiology surveillance of Hand Foot and Mouth disease (HFMD) in Beijing showed that Coxsackievirus A6 (CVA6) became the major pathogen of HFMD in 2013 and 2015. In order to understand the epidemiological characteristics and clinical manifestations of CVA6-associated HFMD, a comparison study among CVA6-, EV71- (Enterovirus 71), and CVA16- (Coxsackievirus A16) associated HFMD was performed. Methods: Epidemiological characteristics and clinical manifestations among CVA6-, EV71- and CVA16-associated mild or severe cases were compared from 2013 to 2015. VP1 gene of CVA6 and EV71 from mild cases, severe cases were sequenced, aligned, and compared with strains from 2009 to 2015 in Beijing and strains available in GenBank. Phylogenetic tree was constructed by neighbor-joining method. Results: CVA6 became the predominant causative agent of HFMD and accounted for 35.4 and 36.9% of total positive cases in 2013 and 2015, respectively. From 2013 to 2015, a total of 305 severe cases and 7 fatal cases were reported. CVA6 and EV71 were responsible for 57.5% of the severe cases. Five out six samples from fatal cases were identified as EV71. High fever, onychomadesis, and decrustation were the typical symptoms of CVA6-associated mild HFMD. CVA6-associated severe cases were characterized by high fever with shorter duration and twitch compared with EV71-associated severe cases which were characterized by poor mental condition, abnormal pupil, and vomiting. Poor mental condition, lung wet rales, abnormal pupil, and tachycardia were the most common clinical features of fatal cases. The percentage of lymphocyte in CVA6-associated cases was significantly lower than that of EV71. High percentage of lymphocyte and low percentage of neutrophils were the typical characteristics of fatal cases. VP1 sequences between CVA6- or EV71-associated mild and severe cases were highly homologous. Conclusion: CVA6 became one of the major pathogens of HFMD in 2013 and 2015 in Beijing. Epidemiological characteristics, clinical manifestations of CVA6-, EV71- and CVA16-associated cases in this study enriched the definition of HFMD caused by different pathogens and shed light to accurate diagnosis, appropriate treatment and effective prevention of HFMD.
Article
Full-text available
Background: China accounted for 87% (9.8 million/11.3 million) of all hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) cases reported to WHO during 2010-2014. Enterovirus 71 (EV71) is responsible for most of the severe HFMD cases. Three EV71 vaccines recently demonstrated good efficacy in children aged 6-71 mo. Here we assessed the cost-effectiveness of routine pediatric EV71 vaccination in China. Methods and findings: We characterized the economic and health burden of EV71-associated HFMD (EV71-HFMD) in China using (i) the national surveillance database, (ii) virological surveillance records from all provinces, and (iii) a caregiver survey on the household costs and health utility loss for 1,787 laboratory-confirmed pediatric cases. Using a static model parameterized with these data, we estimated the effective vaccine cost (EVC, defined as cost/efficacy or simply the cost of a 100% efficacious vaccine) below which routine pediatric vaccination would be considered cost-effective. We performed the base-case analysis from the societal perspective with a willingness-to-pay threshold of one times the gross domestic product per capita (GDPpc) and an annual discount rate of 3%. We performed uncertainty analysis by (i) accounting for the uncertainty in the risk of EV71-HFMD due to missing laboratory data in the national database, (ii) excluding productivity loss of parents and caregivers, (iii) increasing the willingness-to-pay threshold to three times GDPpc, (iv) increasing the discount rate to 6%, and (v) accounting for the proportion of EV71-HFMD cases not registered by national surveillance. In each of these scenarios, we performed probabilistic sensitivity analysis to account for parametric uncertainty in our estimates of the risk of EV71-HFMD and the expected costs and health utility loss due to EV71-HFMD. Routine pediatric EV71 vaccination would be cost-saving if the all-inclusive EVC is below US$10.6 (95% CI US$9.7-US$11.5) and would remain cost-effective if EVC is below US$17.9 (95% CI US$16.9-US$18.8) in the base case, but these ceilings could be up to 66% higher if all the test-negative cases with missing laboratory data are EV71-HFMD. The EVC ceiling is (i) 10%-14% lower if productivity loss of parents/caregivers is excluded, (ii) 58%-84% higher if the willingness-to-pay threshold is increased to three times GDPpc, (iii) 14%-19% lower if the discount rate is increased to 6%, and (iv) 36% (95% CI 23%-50%) higher if the proportion of EV71-HFMD registered by national surveillance is the same as that observed in the three EV71 vaccine phase III trials. The validity of our results relies on the following assumptions: (i) self-reported hospital charges are a good proxy for the opportunity cost of care, (ii) the cost and health utility loss estimates based on laboratory-confirmed EV71-HFMD cases are representative of all EV71-HFMD cases, and (iii) the long-term average risk of EV71-HFMD in the future is similar to that registered by national surveillance during 2010-2013. Conclusions: Compared to no vaccination, routine pediatric EV71 vaccination would be very cost-effective in China if the cost of immunization (including all logistical, procurement, and administration costs needed to confer 5 y of vaccine protection) is below US$12.0-US$18.3, depending on the choice of vaccine among the three candidates. Given that the annual number of births in China has been around 16 million in recent years, the annual costs for routine pediatric EV71 vaccination at this cost range should not exceed US$192-US$293 million. Our results can be used to determine the optimal vaccine when the prices of the three vaccines are known.
Article
Full-text available
Background: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common childhood illness caused by serotypes of the Enterovirus A species in the genus Enterovirus of the Picornaviridae family. The disease has had a substantial burden throughout East and Southeast Asia over the past 15 y. China reported 9 million cases of HFMD between 2008 and 2013, with the two serotypes Enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) and Coxsackievirus A16 (CV-A16) being responsible for the majority of these cases. Three recent phase 3 clinical trials showed that inactivated monovalent EV-A71 vaccines manufactured in China were highly efficacious against HFMD associated with EV-A71, but offered no protection against HFMD caused by CV-A16. To better inform vaccination policy, we used mathematical models to evaluate the effect of prospective vaccination against EV-A71-associated HFMD and the potential risk of serotype replacement by CV-A16. We also extended the model to address the co-circulation, and implications for vaccination, of additional non-EV-A71, non-CV-A16 serotypes of enterovirus. Methods and findings: Weekly reports of HFMD incidence from 31 provinces in Mainland China from 1 January 2009 to 31 December 2013 were used to fit multi-serotype time series susceptible-infected-recovered (TSIR) epidemic models. We obtained good model fit for the two-serotype TSIR with cross-protection, capturing the seasonality and geographic heterogeneity of province-level transmission, with strong correlation between the observed and simulated epidemic series. The national estimate of the basic reproduction number, R0, weighted by provincial population size, was 26.63 for EV-A71 (interquartile range [IQR]: 23.14, 30.40) and 27.13 for CV-A16 (IQR: 23.15, 31.34), with considerable variation between provinces (however, predictions about the overall impact of vaccination were robust to this variation). EV-A71 incidence was projected to decrease monotonically with higher coverage rates of EV-A71 vaccination. Across provinces, CV-A16 incidence in the post-EV-A71-vaccination period remained either comparable to or only slightly increased from levels prior to vaccination. The duration and strength of cross-protection following infection with EV-A71 or CV-A16 was estimated to be 9.95 wk (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.31, 23.40) in 68% of the population (95% CI: 37%, 96%). Our predictions are limited by the necessarily short and under-sampled time series and the possible circulation of unidentified serotypes, but, nonetheless, sensitivity analyses indicate that our results are robust in predicting that the vaccine should drastically reduce incidence of EV-A71 without a substantial competitive release of CV-A16. Conclusions: The ability of our models to capture the observed epidemic cycles suggests that herd immunity is driving the epidemic dynamics caused by the multiple serotypes of enterovirus. Our results predict that the EV-A71 and CV-A16 serotypes provide a temporary immunizing effect against each other. Achieving high coverage rates of EV-A71 vaccination would be necessary to eliminate the ongoing transmission of EV-A71, but serotype replacement by CV-A16 following EV-A71 vaccination is likely to be transient and minor compared to the corresponding reduction in the burden of EV-A71-associated HFMD. Therefore, a mass EV-A71 vaccination program of infants and young children should provide significant benefits in terms of a reduction in overall HFMD burden.
Article
Over the past 8 years, human enteroviruses (HEVs) have caused 27 227 cases of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Xiamen, including 99 severe cases and six deaths. We aimed to explore the molecular epidemiology of HFMD in Xiamen to inform the development of diagnostic assays, vaccines and other interventions. From January 2009 to September 2015, 5866 samples from sentinel hospitals were tested using nested reverse transcription PCR that targeted the HEV 5' untranslated region and viral protein 1 region. Of these samples, 4290 were tested positive for HEV and the amplicons were sequenced and genotyped. Twenty-two genotypes were identified. Enterovirus 71 (EV71) and coxsackieviruses A16, A6 and A10 (CA16, CA6 and CA10) were the most common genotypes, and there were no changes in the predominant lineages of these genotypes. EV71 became the most predominant genotype every 2 years. From 2013, CA6 replaced CA16 as one of the two most common genotypes. The results demonstrate the vast diversity of HFMD pathogens, and that minor genotypes are able to replace major genotypes. We recommend carrying-out long-term monitoring of the full spectrum of HFMD pathogens, which could facilitate epidemic prediction and the development of diagnostic assays and vaccines.
Article
Immunosuppression renders the host increased susceptible for secondary infections. It is becoming increasingly clear that not only bacterial sepsis, but also respiratory viruses with both severe and mild disease courses such as influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, and the human rhinovirus may induce immunosuppression. In this review, the current knowledge on (mechanisms of) bacterial- and virus-induced immunosuppression and the accompanying susceptibility toward various secondary infections is described. In addition, the frequently encountered secondary pathogens and their preferred localizations are presented. Finally, future perspectives in the context of the development of diagnostic markers and possibilities for personalized therapy to improve the diagnosis and treatment of immunocompromised patients are discussed.
Article
Introduction: Coxsackievirus A16 (CVA16) is a main pathogen in hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) worldwide. This study intended to clarify the genetic characteristics of CVA16 associated with HFMD in a defined area in Nanjing, China. Methodology: A total of 175 CVA16 strains isolated from throat swabs between 2011 and 2013 were obtained through sentinel hospitals in Nanjing. Multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) was used to amplify the VP1 sequence of local CVA16 strains, and their genetic relationship with 138 CVA16 strains isolated in China and other countries of the world was compared. Results: Phylogenetic analysis based on complete VP1 sequences revealed that subgenotype B1a and B1b were predominantly circulating in Nanjing and B1b strains were spread more widely. The evolution of CVA16 strains is very conservative, with a mean distance of less than 9%. Moreover, six reported conservative regions in VP1 protein were examined, and three of them exhibited high conservation in all CVA16 genotypes except the G-10 prototype and may serve for further vaccine research. Conclusions: The CVA16 strains circulating in Nanjing, China, in 2011 to 2013 belonged to different genotypes and evolved in a conservative way. To provide further evidence for epidemiological linkage and evolutionary recombination events in CVA16, persistent surveillance of HFMD-associated pathogens is required.
Article
Two colloidal gold immunochromatographic assays (CGIAs) for detection of EV71- and CA16- immunoglobulin M (IgM) were developed and evaluated. A total of 1465 sera collected from children with hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD), non-HFMD patients and healthy children. The sensitivity of IgM CGIA tests for EV71 and CA16 were 97.6% (330/338) and 91.6% (296/323) respectively, compared to those who were viral RNA positive by PCR. Their performances were comparable to those of commercial ELISA kits, with agreement of 98.1% for EV71-IgM and 97.3% for CA16-IgM. In addition, for EV71- and CA16-IgM CGIAs, the results of whole blood samples were 99.6% (248/249) and 100% (191/191) concordant to those with serum samples, respectively. As rapid point-of-care (POC) tests, the two CGIAs were suitable to be used in community clinic units, especially in resource-poor areas and will facilitate the control of HFMD.