Article

Comparison of power between randomized discontinuation design and upfront randomization design on progression-free survival.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Case Western Reserve University, 10900 Euclid Ave, Cleveland, OH 44106, USA.
Journal of Clinical Oncology (impact factor: 18.37). 08/2009; 27(25):4135-41. DOI:10.1200/JCO.2008.19.6709 pp.4135-41
Source: PubMed

ABSTRACT Enrichment based on molecular characteristics has emerged as an important inclusion criterion in phase II trials of targeted anticancer agents. In this study, we evaluate a well-described method of population enrichment by tumor growth characteristics in the early development stage of targeted cytostatic agents.
For some solid tumors, such as pancreatic carcinoma, using a time-to-event end point (eg, time to disease progression) to evaluate the efficacy of a cytostatic agent in a phase II trial is more relevant than clinical response by Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. In this setting, we compared the power of the randomized discontinuation and upfront randomization designs under two previously proposed tumor growth models for treatment effect when the end point is time-to-event.
By selecting patients with more homogeneous tumor growth characteristics, the randomized discontinuation design is more efficient than the upfront randomization design when treatment benefit is restricted to slow-growing tumors. Under a model where only a subset of patients expressing the molecular target are sensitive to the agent, the randomized discontinuation design is more powerful than the upfront randomization design when the treatment effect is small; and vice versa when the treatment effect is moderate to large.
For selected targeted agents where a bioassay to select patients expressing the specific molecular target is not available, the randomized discontinuation design is a feasible alternative patient enrichment strategy in certain disease settings and provides a reasonable platform to evaluate drugs before phase III testing.

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Keywords

certain disease settings
 
clinical response
 
cytostatic agent
 
homogeneous tumor growth characteristics
 
molecular characteristics
 
phase II trial
 
phase II trials
 
phase III testing
 
population enrichment
 
randomized discontinuation design
 
reasonable platform
 
Response Evaluation Criteria
 
specific molecular target
 
time-to-event end point
 
treatment benefit
 
tumor growth characteristics
 
tumor growth models
 
upfront randomization design
 
upfront randomization designs
 
well-described method
 

Pingfu Fu