Further Evidence on Closed-End Country Fund Prices and International Capital Flows
ABSTRACT Using cointegration analysis I establish a long-run relationship between country fund premiums and international capital flows in six out of 10 emerging markets and in two out of seven developed markets examined. This relationship is explored to derive an intuitive measure of capital market segmentation that accounts for investment barriers and does not rely on a specific asset pricing model. I find that most emerging markets are segmented, but some exhibit a clear trend toward integration, whereas most developed countries exhibit no evidence of segmentation. The segmentation measure reveals that the process toward integration is gradual and can be reversed.
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ABSTRACT: This paper analyzes the effectiveness of capital controls, in particular the Chilean experience with the use of the unremunerated reserve requirement. We examine the effects on interest rates, real exchange rate, and the volume and composition of capital inflows. The effects are elusive and it is difficult to pin down long-run effects. Although after the unremunerated reserve requirement was introduced there was an increase in the interest rate differential, the econometric evidence does not show it has a significant long-run effect on interest rate differentials. There are also no effects on the real exchange rate. However, the more persistent and significant effect is on the composition of capital inflows, tilting composition toward longer maturity.Journal of Development Economics 02/2000; 63(1):59-83. · 2.13 Impact Factor