Ockham's razor and its improper use

Gernert, Dieter

Journal Article: Cognitive Systems 07/2009; 7:133-138.

Abstract

"Ockham's Razor" is a methodological principle, due to the medieval philosopher William of Ockham, who mainly opposed an unjustified creation of new terms in philosophy. Since this principle and its later versions are frequently quoted in discussions about anomalies, it will be discussed here in some detail. After a short look at the historic roots, the principal modern formulations are summarized. It will be shown that a demand for "simplicity" cannot be generally sustained. Rather, striving for simplicity can conflict with other essentials of scientific method. Ockham's principle - no matter whether in its original or in a modified version - cannot help toward a rational decision between competing explanations of the same empirical facts. An incorrect use of Ockham's Razor only leads to a perpetuation and corroboration of existing prejudice, and this principle should not be used to easily get rid of unwelcome data or concepts.
Full text (pdf), a French translation, and an extended Japanese version are
available. Please, see my homepage, e.g. google > dieter gernert

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  • Researcher
    I believe there is quite a bit of improper use of Ockham's Razor (or Parsimony) at a fundamental level in evolutionary science. For example, Geocentric abiogenesis is given the benefit of the doubt over panspermia-based theories despite there being no direct evidence yet of either, nor any mathematical reason (ie predictive value) to choose one location of abiogenesis against any other. Thank you for studying its lack of efficacy with regards to competing theories.

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Cognitive Systems, vol. 7, no. 2 (2009) 133-138



Ockham's Razor and its Improper Use


DIETER GERNERT

Technische Universitaet Muenchen
Arcisstr. 21, D-80333 Muenchen, Germany
t4141ax@mail.lrz-muenchen.de



Abstract – "Ockham's razor" is a methodical principle, due to the medieval philosopher
William of Ockham, who mainly opposed an unjustified creation of new terms in
philosophy. Since this principle and its later versions are frequently quoted in
discussions about anomalies, it will be studied here in some detail. After a short
look on the historical roots, the principal modern formulations are summarized.
It will be shown that a demand for "simplicity" cannot be generally maintained.
Rather, striving for simplicity can conflict with other essentials of scientific
method. Ockham's principle - no matter whether in its original or in a modified
version – cannot be helpful in a rational decision between competing
explanations for the same empirical facts. An incorrect use of Ockham's razor
only leads to a perpetuation and corroboration of existing prejudice, and this
principle should not be used to easily get rid of unwelcome data or concepts.

Keywords: Ockham's razor – anomalies – misinterpretation of empirical facts – principle of
simplicity – economy of thinking – perpetuation of prejudice



1. Misinterpretations of Empirical Facts – a Recurrent Pattern

In discussions about the existence or non-existence of classes of controversial phenomena,
about a correct interpretation of empirical data, but also about the adequacy of newly created
terms, intended for purposes of explanation, permanently a principle is quoted which is
generally known as "Ockham's Razor". In the sequel – after a short glimpse on the historical
roots – the reach and the limitations of this principle will be explored, particularly in its
modern understanding.

Among the many dysfunctions of science, one specific pattern shall be scrutinized in more
detail. A significant proportion of the errors and misunderstandings in the history of science –
until very recent times – can be understood as misinterpretations of empirical facts. In a first
approach, one can identify two categories:
- The erroneous recognition of phenomena (e.g., N-rays, polywater, Piltdown man),
- The unjustified rejection (e.g., meteorites, ball lightning, continental drift, inverse
transscriptase).
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2. Ockham's Principle – Original and Revised Versions

William of Ockham (about 1280 – 1349) is deemed one of the most important philosophers of
the 14th century. Ockham's Razor is a "methodical principle, particularly in the context of
ontological issues, according to which philosophy and science should assume as few
theoretical entities as possible for purposes of explanation, explication, definition, etc."
(Gehtmann, 2004). It appears in two versions: "Pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate" (A
plurality should not be claimed without necessity) and "Frustra fit per plura, quod potest fieri
per pauciora" (In vain is done by many things, what can be done by few); the frequently cited
form "Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem (sine necessitate)" (Entities must not
be multiplied beyond necessity) does not occur in Ockham (Thorburn, 1918; Schwemmer,
2004).

The original meaning of this principle can be understood only in the context of the
philosophical and theological debates of the time of Ockham, especially on the "problem of
universals". Above all, Ockham opposes pseudo-explanatory or otherwise meaningless and
superfluous terms. But a clear view of the authentic intention is blocked by modifications and
re-interpretations of later times not consonant with the primary source. Essentially three basic
patterns of the later versions can be identified, which, of course, partially overlap:

- The principle of parsimony comes closest to the original version by demanding cautious
discretion before the creation of new terms and concepts.
- The principle of simplicity (economy of thinking, according to Ernst Mach) aims at
explanations, reasons, theories, etc., which should be as simple as possible.
- Closely related with the latter is the demand for an exclusion of unnecessary additional
hypotheses.


3. Simple or Fitting Systems of Terms?

Already in Ockham's lifetime, Walter of Chatton, his fellow in the Franciscan order, voiced
contradiction: "If three things are not enough to verify an affirmative proposition about things,
a fourth must be added, and so on". Later on, other authors in a similar manner advocated a
"principle of plenitude" (Maurer, 1984). The mathematician Karl Menger (1960) formulates a
"law against miserliness" and demonstrates that occasionally too many different concepts are
united under one single term (e.g. "variable").

The demand for a functional, sufficiently differentiated system of terms is generally accepted
meanwhile, as well as the warning against neologisms "beyond a necessary scale". Stupidities
in terminology sometimes occur as a "show vocabulary" within new fields of science
struggling for recognition, and as an in-group slang pursuing motives of group dynamics and
not of scientific logic. Still controversial, however, are concepts like "simpler theory" and
"unnecessary additional hypothesis".


4. The Myth of Simplicity

4.1. The Scientist and the "Unknown Unknown"

Normally, an explanation becomes necessary when a surprising and unexpected phenomenon
is observed, and an explanation has to do away with this element of surprise. (Kim, 1967, p.
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162). The philosopher of science Henry H. Bauer (1992, p. 74-76) disputes the common view
that scientists are open-minded and strive for new cognition and insight. By way of contrast,
he states that open-mindedness for the new exists only as long as the new things are not too
new. Bauer makes a distinction between the "known unknown" which can be derived from
secured knowledge (and hence is suitable for research proposals), and the "unknown
unknown" that cannot be expected on the basis of the state of knowledge. On the basis of
psychological experiments, Krelle (1968, p. 344-347) characterizes a limitation to the human
capacity of information processing under the term "conservative distortion". Particular and
deviant features are perceived insufficiently, and "valuations accepted before" are maintained.

So it becomes understandable why the existence of meteorites and ball lightning originally
was rejected. The scepticism against reports supplied by laymen (Westrum, 1978) induced a
persistent deterioration of the faculty of judgement, such that later on also substantiated
evidence and expert's reports – like specimens of meteorites and chemical analyses – were
dismissed under the same prejudice. Being accustomed to categorize phenomena within the
usual conceptual and explanatory schemes, scientists easily run the risk of a reductionist trap,
finally being content with a sloppy categorization, however wrong it may be.

As victims of this characteristic mechanism, scientists have acted dramatically against their
own interests. We find the recurrent pattern of the "discovery before the discovery". At least
three renowned chemists produced oxygen before its detection was generally accepted, but
erroneously classified it as some well-known gas. In at least 17 cases a new celestial object
was registered before it was finally recognized as a new planet (Uranus), and similar errors
happened before the "definitive discovery" of the planet Neptune and the X-rays (Kuhn,
1962). In 1995, two American astronomers made observations suggestive for a planet outside
our solar system, but did not further pursue their discovery. So other astronomers could be the
first to publish their independent discovery and claim to have identified the first extrasolar
planet (Schneider, 1977).


4.2. Nearness Distortion – a Characteristic Pattern of Misunderstanding

When humans try to interpret a phenomenon, they are always at risk of "falling short", of
adopting explanations close to their individual range of prior experience. This can be
documented by a series of episodes from history.

Galilei categorically opposed the idea that the tides have something to do with the moon
(gravitational theory of tides), and tried to develop his own, purely terrestrial theory instead
(Harris, 1967, p. 228). A explanation was highly desired also in the meteorite controversy.
The true debate began in 1794 when the German physicist Chladni published a small book
advocating the reality of meteorites, and in the same year a widely publicized case took place
in Siena, Italy. But Chladni and all other advocates of the reality of meteorites were under
permanent attack. Even scholars who were up to the standards oft their time tried to contrive
explanations which were destined to circumvent the idea that material can fall from sky: e.g.,
meteorites "were caused by the ignition of long trains of gas in the atmosphere", or by
"hurricanes and volcanic explosions". (Westrum, 1978)

The "Nördlinger Ries" is a singular geological formation in Bavaria (Southern Germany). In
our modern understanding it is an impact crater, nearly circular, with a diameter of about 24
kilometers. For a long time the problem of its origin had puzzled the experts. For this puzzle,
too, a lot of possible terrestrial interpretations were thought up, e.g., a volcano that had
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meanwhile disappeared, an "explosion hypothesis", a "glacier-grinding theory", etc. Only
after 1960 was the impact of a cosmic object ("metereorite theory") – now generally accepted
– seriously discussed. (Dehm, 1969)

This recurrent pattern of misinterpretation can be dubbed the nearness distortion for short. As
a matter of symmetry, there is also a trend towards "far-fetched reasons", particularly in some
groups that are inclined to quickly assume extraterrestrial or subterranean origins.


4.3. In Search of a Simplicity Criterion

The symmetrical terms "simplicity" and "complexity" are perspective notions: their meaning
in a single case depends – beyond the well-known context-dependence of any word meaning
– on the context of application and the user's prior understanding (Gernert, 2000). For the
present purpose, a comparative measure would suffice that marks one of two possible
explanations of an empirical fact as the "simpler" one. But even such a comparative measure
is feasible only in limited contexts within a formal science (e.g., in the comparison of two
formulas of a logic calculus); a measure of complexity will immediately provoke reservations
as soon as relationships with empirical data come into play.

The degree of simplicity of a curve equation can be defined by the number of free parameters:
a circle in the plane gets the measure 3, and an ellipse gets the number 5. On the basis of
simplicity we would have to prefer circular planet orbits to Kepler's ellipses. Simplicity and
precision are conflicting demands. Furthermore, a measure of simplicity depends upon a
predefined scheme. In a task of curve fitting, given a set of measurement points, a reasonable
curve is to be determined. If a fixed task requires, in a first step, to express such a curve by a
polynomial, whereas in a second step also sin(x), log(x), etc., will be permitted, than the latter
representation will be "simpler", but at the price of more complex means of expression. On
the other hand, the simplest answer – maybe a straight or slightly curved line – is not always
useful: for the quantum Hall effect just the extrema of the curve are relevant. The theory of
complexity is not helpful here. In the literature we find various definitions of "complexity",
each of which is tailored to a specific purpose of application; each of them is related to its
specific class of formally defined constructs, like algorithms or series of signs.

The problem to decide between competing explanations for empirical facts cannot be solved
with formal tools. Can a neutral procedure be imagined, to assess the issue of ball lightning,
still controversial some decades ago: Is ball lightning real, or are the reports by laymen
altogether based upon deception?

In an extensive monograph, Mario Bunge (1963) reveals the diverse shortcomings and
limitations of a principle of simplicity. In detail he demonstrates that a demand for simplicity
(in any of its facets) will conflict with other essentials of science (as exemplified in the case of
curves above by a conflict between simplicity and precision). Finally he speaks of a "cult" or
"myth of simplicity". With respect to Ockham's Razor, Bunge recommends caution: "In
science, as in the barber shop, better alive and bearded than cleanly shaven but dead." (p. 115)


4.4. What Ockham's Principle Cannot Accomplish

The principle of simplicity, no matter in which version, does not make a contribution to a
selection of theories. Beyond trivial cases, the term "simplicity" remains a subjective term.
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What is compatible with somebody's own pre-existing world-view, will be considered simple,
clear, logical, and evident, whereas what is contradicting that world-view will quickly be
rejected as an unnecessarily complex explanation and a senseless additional hypothesis. In
this way, the principle of simplicity becomes a mirror of prejudice, and, still worse, a
distorting mirror, since just this origin is camouflaged.

As an example, an advocate of the geocentric system could argue: some easiness in the
calculation of planetary orbits is irrelevant, because we are not obliged to adapt our world
system to the mathematicians' wishes for comfort, and the hypothesis of a moving Earth is an
unnecessary – and adventurous – additional hypothesis, not at all supported by any sensual
perception.

Walach and Schmidt (2005) propose to complement Ockham's Razor by "Plato's lifeboat".
This principle, with its origin in the Platonic Academy, claims that a theory must be
comprehensive enough "to save the phenomena"; this was triggered by observed anomalies in
planetary motion.

Our world is more multi-faceted than some people may imagine. The critical point is not only
the frequently cited "more things in heaven and earth…", but simply the adequate explanation
of material at hand. Further misinterpretations are certain to come. But the principle of that
honourable mediaeval philosopher should not be misused as a secret weapon destined to
smuggle prejudice into the discussion and to easily dismiss unwelcome concepts.


Acknowledgments

The author is thankful to two anonymous referees. This text is a revised and extended
translation of a German text published in the journal "Erwägung – Wissen - Ethik", vol. 14,
no. 1 (2007) 27-29, with kind permission of Lucius & Lucius Publ. Comp., Stuttgart.


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