Long-term prognosis of bipolar I disorder

Department of Psychiatry, University of Iowa, Iowa City 52242-1000, USA.
Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica (Impact Factor: 5.61). 03/1999; 99(2):110-9. DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0447.1999.tb07208.x
Source: PubMed


This study examined the contribution of demographic, syndromal and longitudinal course variables to the long-term prognosis of 165 bipolar patients prospectively observed over 10 years as part of the National Institute of Mental Health Collaborative Study of Depression. Although most baseline clinical and demographic variables were not strong prognostic indicators, switching polarity within episodes was. Most episodes among the poor-prognosis patients were polyphasic, while most episodes among the comparison group with a better prognosis were monophasic. There was no evidence of shortening of cycle lengths over follow-up for either the poor-prognosis group or the entire sample. The relevance of these findings to the 'kindling' model is discussed.

1 Follower
9 Reads
  • Source
    • "Transitions between manic or depressive states are common, as previously demonstrated in a longitudinal study.107 Polyphasic episodes, in which state changes occur without a euthymic mood period, resemble mixed states.108 Interestingly, Sit et al.17 reported that mixed states were induced by morning light treatment in women with bipolar depression; however, midday light therapy did not induce mixed states. "
    [Show abstract] [Hide abstract]
    ABSTRACT: Numerous hypotheses have been put forth over the years to explain the development of bipolar disorder. Of these, circadian rhythm hypotheses have gained much importance of late. While the hypothalamus-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis hyperactivation hypothesis and the monoamine hypothesis somewhat explain the pathogenic mechanism of depression, they do not provide an explanation for the development of mania/hypomania. Interestingly, all patients with bipolar disorder display significant disruption of circadian rhythms and sleep/wake cycles throughout their mood cycles. Indeed, mice carrying the Clock gene mutation exhibit an overall behavioral profile that is similar to human mania, including hyperactivity, decreased sleep, lowered depression-like behavior, and lower anxiety. It was recently reported that monoamine signaling is in fact regulated by the circadian system. Thus, circadian rhythm instability, imposed on the dysregulation of HPA axis and monoamine system, may in turn increase individual susceptibility for switching from depression to mania/hypomania. In addition to addressing the pathophysiologic mechanism underlying the manic switch, circadian rhythm hypotheses can explain other bipolar disorder-related phenomena such as treatment resistant depression and mixed features.
    Psychiatry investigation 09/2013; 10(3):225-232. DOI:10.4306/pi.2013.10.3.225 · 1.28 Impact Factor
  • Source
    • "Bipolar disorder; mania; mixed-states; morbidity; onset; prediction Bipolar disorder (BPD) is characterized by episodic major recurrences of mania, hypomania, major-depression, or mixed-states, less severe intermittent or sustained morbidity, and variable intervals of approximate euthymia, with substantial risks of disability and mortality, even following an initial episode (Turvey et al., 1999; Perugi et al., 2000; Tohen et al., 2000, 2003; Paykel et al., 2006; Huxley and Baldessarini, 2007; Forty et al., 2009; Baldessarini et al., 2010a). Mixed-states involve complex admixtures or rapidly alternations of mainly excited or mainly depressive states (Salvatore et al. 2002). "
    [Show abstract] [Hide abstract]
    ABSTRACT: Mixed-states of bipolar disorders (BPD) may predict worse future illness and more depressive than manic morbidity, challenging a tendency to conflate mixed-states and mania. Patients (N=247) were followed-up systematically for 24 months following hospitalization for initial major episodes of DSM-IV type-I BPD and scored for weekly interval morbidity-types. Overall morbidity during follow-up was 1.6-times greater following mixed (n=97) versus manic (n=150) first-episodes of BPD (60.0 vs. 37.8%-of-weeks; p<0.0001). Patients with initial mixed-states had a nearly 12-fold later excess of mixed-states, 6.5-times more major depression, and 69% more dysthymia during follow-up than those presenting in mania. In contrast, manic first-episodes were followed by over 10-times more mania, 6-times more hypomania, and 35% more psychotic illness. Estimates of longitudinal morbidity may be inaccurate, and ongoing treatment may distort them. Based on detailed, prospective assessments among first-episode BPD patients, those presenting in mixed-states were more ill, and much more likely to experience mixed, depressive and dysthymic morbidity during follow-up, versus much more mania, hypomania, and perhaps more psychosis following mania. The findings support two markedly dissimilar subtypes of BPD, and call for more explicit therapeutic studies of mixed-states.
    Journal of Affective Disorders 10/2010; 126(1-2):299-302. DOI:10.1016/j.jad.2010.03.014 · 3.38 Impact Factor
  • Source
    • "pattern among bipolar type I (BP-I) and type II patients (BP- II), as it has been shown in several studies that both types of patients differ in terms of course patterns [7] [8] [9]. "
    [Show abstract] [Hide abstract]
    ABSTRACT: To determine the clinical and long-term implications of mood polarity at illness onset. During a 10-year follow-up prospective study, systematic clinical and outcome data were collected from 300 bipolar I and II patients. The sample was split into 2 groups according to the polarity of the onset episode (depressive onset [DO] vs manic/hypomanic onset [MO]). Clinical features and social functioning were compared between the 2 groups of patients. In our sample, 67% of the patients experienced a depressive onset. Depressive onset patients were more chronic than MO patients, with a higher number of total episodes and a longer duration of illness. Depressive onset patients experienced a higher number of depressive episodes than MO patients, who in turn had more manic episodes. Depressive onset patients made more suicide attempts, had a later illness onset, were less often hospitalized, and were less likely to develop psychotic symptoms. Depressive onset was more prevalent among bipolar II patients. Bipolar I patients with DO had more axis II comorbidity and were more susceptible to have a history of psychotic symptoms than bipolar II patients with DO. The polarity at onset is a good predictor of the polarity of subsequent episodes over time. A depressive onset is twice as frequent as MO and carries more chronicity and cyclicity.
    Comprehensive Psychiatry 11/2006; 47(6):433-7. DOI:10.1016/j.comppsych.2006.03.009 · 2.25 Impact Factor
Show more