Predictors of readmission among elderly survivors of admission with heart failure

Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, the Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
American Heart Journal (Impact Factor: 4.46). 01/2000; 139(1 Pt 1):72-7. DOI: 10.1016/S0002-8703(00)90311-9
Source: PubMed


Readmission rates for patients discharged with heart failure approach 50% within 6 months. Identifying factors to predict risk of readmission in these patients could help clinicians focus resource-intensive disease management efforts on the high-risk patients.
The study sample included patients 65 years of age or older with a principal discharge diagnosis of heart failure who were admitted to 18 Connecticut hospitals in 1994 and 1995. We obtained patient and clinical data from medical record review. We determined outcomes within 6 months after discharge, including all-cause readmission, heart failure-related readmission, and death, from the Medicare administrative database. We evaluated 2176 patients, including 1129 in the derivation cohort and 1047 in the validation cohort.
Of 32 patient and clinical factors examined, 4 were found to be significantly associated with readmission in a multivariate model. They were prior admission within 1 year, prior heart failure, diabetes, and creatinine level >2.5 mg/dL at discharge. The event rates according to number of risk predictors were similar in the derivation and the validation sets for all outcomes. In the validation cohort, rates for all-cause readmission and combined readmission or death were 26% and 31% in patients with no risk predictors, 48% and 54% in patients with 1 or 2 risk predictors, and 59% and 65% in patients with 3 or all risk predictors.
Few patient and clinical factors predict readmission within 6 months after discharge in elderly patients with heart failure. Although we were unable to identify a group of patients at very low risk, a group of high-risk patients were identified for whom resource-intensive interventions designed to improve outcomes may be justified.

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    • "Heart diseases are one of the main causes of death worldwide; heart failure is associated with a significantly reduced physical and mental health, resulting in a decreased quality of life [1,2]. Although many patients with cardiovascular diseases survive for many years, progressive disease is associated with an overall annual mortality rate of 10% [3]; heart failure is the leading cause of hospitalisation in people older than 65 years [4]. One of the outstanding achievements at the end of the last century are the studies on properties of biological and synthetic materials in nanometre. "
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    ABSTRACT: The article overviews the potential biomedical applications of nanoscale gold particles for predictive, preventive and personalised nanomedicine in cardiology. The review demonstrates the wide opportunities for gold nanoparticles due to their unique biological properties. The use of gold nanoparticles in cardiology is promising to develop fundamentally new methods of diagnosis and treatment. The nanotheranostics in cardiovascular diseases allows the non-invasive imaging associated with simultaneous therapeutic intervention and predicting treatment outcomes. Imaging may reflect the effectiveness of treatment and has become a fundamental optimisation setting for therapeutic protocol. Combining the application of biomolecular and cellular therapies with nanotechnologies foresees the development of complex integrated nanodevices. Nanocardiology may challenge existing healthcare system and economic benefits as cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of morbidity and mortality at present.
    06/2013; 4(1):18. DOI:10.1186/1878-5085-4-18
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    • "There are approximately 125,000 acute myocardial infarctions (AMI) in the UK per year (BHF statistics 2008 ( Whilst advances in reperfusion therapies such as primary percutaneous coronary angiography (PPCI) have reduced early mortality from AMI [1] morbidity, most commonly resulting from heart failure, which may occur early or long after the MI, remains high [2]. Paradoxically, the act of reperfusion leads to further tissue damage, a process described as ischaemia-reperfusion-injury (IRI) which can account for up to 50% of the final infarct size [3]. "
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    Journal of Translational Medicine 05/2013; 11(1):116. DOI:10.1186/1479-5876-11-116 · 3.93 Impact Factor
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    • "We also found that comorbidities, ICU stay during hospitalization for ARF and site of operation within one month prior to ARF hospitalization were associated with higher risks of ARF, findings consistent with previous reports [36,37]. Our finding, however, that dysrhythmia was not associated with a risk of ARF, differed from those showing associations between cardiac diseases and ARF [38-40]. Our result may have been because of the inclusion of too many cardiac comorbidities in our logistic regression analysis. "
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    BMC Nephrology 08/2012; 13(1):96. DOI:10.1186/1471-2369-13-96 · 1.69 Impact Factor
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