The pace of modern life II: from rates to pattern and process
ABSTRACT We compiled a database of microevolution on contemporary time scales in nature (47 source articles; 30 animal species), comprising 2649 evolutionary rates in darwins (proportional change per million years) and 2151 evolutionary rates in haldanes (standard deviations per generation). Here we demonstrate how quantitative rate measures can provide general insights into patterns and processes of evolution. The frequency distribution of evolutionary rates was approximately log-normal, with many slow rates and few fast rates. Net selection intensities estimated from haldanes were on average lower than selection intensities commonly measured directly in natural populations. This difference suggests that natural selection could easily accomplish observed microevolution but that the intensities of selection typically measured in nature are rarely maintained for long (otherwise observed evolutionary rates would be higher). Traits closely associated with fitness (life history traits) appear to evolve at least as fast as traits less closely tied to fitness (morphology). The magnitude of evolutionary difference increased with the length of the time interval, particularly when maximum rates from a given study were considered. This pattern suggests a general underlying tendency toward increasing evolutionary diversification with time. However, evolutionary rates also tended to decrease with time, perhaps because longer time intervals average increasingly disparate rates over time, or because evolution slows when populations approach new optima or as genetic variation is depleted. In combination, our results suggest that macroevolutionary transitions may ultimately arise through microevolution occasionally 'writ large' but are perhaps temporally characterized by microevolution 'writ in fits and starts'.
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- "The absence of a clear relationship between environment and morphology could be the result of selection-driven adaptation lagging behind environmental change, where populations may exhibit maladaptive morphologies during transitional response periods (Maynard Smith, 1978). For example, a population of stream fish inhabiting a recently impounded river may not exhibit morphological characteristics typical of a species found in a lentic environment because it may require many generations for advantageous attributes to emerge after impoundment (Kinnison & Hendry, 2001; Smith & Bernatchez, 2008; Cureton & Broughton, 2014). Alternatively, an environmental condition might not exhibit sufficient variation to serve as a significant driver of phenotypic change or diversification (Binning & Chapman, 2010). "
ABSTRACT: Performance-related variation in fitness can manifest as morphological responses to ecological and evolutionary pressures. Eco-morphological studies often utilize stark binary comparisons, such as lentic to lotic populations of freshwater fishes, to characterize relationships between form and function despite possible complications from confounding factors. In the present study, we compared body shape variation among lotic populations of a stream fish (Cyprinella venusta Girard) to disentangle the influence of ecological and evolutionary drivers of phenotypic change. We assessed the extent to which body shape corresponded to three key environmental factors (mean channel velocity, mean discharge, and mean annual run-off), phylogeny (mitochondrial DNA divergence), and body size (centroid size). We also examined relationships between these parameters and a fineness index, which is a measure of streamlining and morphological optimization for steady swimming performance. All three environmental variables had some explanatory power, although morphological characteristics were predominantly associated with variation in mean annual run-off. Phylogeny was also a strong predictor of morphological variation, whereas body size had little predictive power. Populations experiencing higher mean annual run-off exhibited a shorter base of the dorsal fin, a more slender body and caudal peduncle, a smaller head in both horizontal and vertical dimensions, and a more anterior placement of the eye. With some exceptions, such as variation in jaw length, differences in body shape associated with phylogenetic history were similar to those associated with run-off. Notably, all clades exhibited parallel responses to variation in run-off. Populations experiencing high mean annual run-off approached a hydrodynamic optimum, suggesting a morphology optimized for steady swimming performance. In contrast to previous studies that emphasize the importance of average water velocity, the findings of the present study indicate that morphological variation among populations of stream fishes is tightly linked to more complex aspects of hydrology and evolutionary history. © 2015 The Linnean Society of London, Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 2015, ●●, ●●–●●.Biological Journal of the Linnean Society 05/2015; 115(4). DOI:10.1111/bij.12539 · 2.54 Impact Factor
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- "STATISTICAL ANALYSES Analyses for the first two questions were performed separately on each of four different metrics: Darwins, Darwin numerators, Haldanes, and Haldane numerators. The reason for using both rates and numerators is that phenotypic changes sometimes scale with time interval and sometimes do not (Kinnison and Hendry 2001; Westley 2011). The data did not meet assumptions of normality (Shapiro–Wilks test; 0.279 ࣘ W ࣘ 0.953; P < 0.001), and so nonparametric tests were performed to address the first question. "
ABSTRACT: Cope's rule, wherein a lineage increases in body size through time, was originally motivated by macro-evolutionary patterns observed in the fossil record. More recently, some authors have argued that evidence exists for generally positive selection on individual body size in contemporary populations, providing a micro-evolutionary mechanism for Cope's rule. If larger body size confers individual fitness advantages as the selection estimates suggest, thereby explaining Cope's rule, then body size should increase over micro-evolutionary time scales. We test this corollary by assembling a large database of studies reporting changes in phenotypic body size through time in contemporary populations, as well as studies reporting average breeding values for body size through time. Trends in body size were quite variable with an absence of any general trend, and many populations trended toward smaller body sizes. Although selection estimates appear to support Cope's rule, our results suggest that actual rates of phenotypic change for body size do not. We discuss potential reasons for this discrepancy and its implications for the understanding of Cope's rule. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.Evolution 03/2015; 69(5). DOI:10.1111/evo.12653 · 4.66 Impact Factor
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- "Results indicate that contemporary evolution frequently operates at rates consistent with management concerns (months to a few hundred years) and in ways that can influence management outcomes (Stockwell et al. 2003). Evolutionary rates tend to scale negatively with time, such that, on average, total trait change expected over a generation is not much less than that expected over a decade or century (0.53 versus 0.58 versus 0.63 standard deviations) (Hendry et al. 2008, Kinnison & Hendry 2001). "
ABSTRACT: We are witnessing a global, but unplanned, evolutionary experiment with the biodiversity of the planet. Anthropogenic disturbances such as habitat degradation and climate change result in evolutionary mismatch between the environments to which species are adapted and those in which they now exist. The impacts of unmanaged evolution are pervasive, but approaches to address them have received little attention. We review the evolutionary chal-lenges of managing populations in the Anthropocene and introduce the con-cept of prescriptive evolution, which considers how evolutionary processes may be leveraged to proactively promote wise management. We advocate the planned management of evolutionary processes and explore the advantages of evolutionary interventions to preserve and sustain biodiversity. We show how an evolutionary perspective to conserving biodiversity is fundamen-tal to effective management. Finally, we advocate building frameworks for decision-making, monitoring, and implementation at the boundary between management and evolutionary science to enhance conservation outcomes. 1.1 Evolutionary mismatch: a measure of maladaptation that describes the deviation between a population's phenotypic distribution and the optimum for its environment Applied evolution: the use of evolutionary biology to manage, analyze, and problem solveAnnual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics 06/2014; 45(1). DOI:10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-120213-091747 · 10.98 Impact Factor