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Article: Binary regression: Total gain in positive and negative predictive values.
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ABSTRACT: Models that predict disease incidence or disease recurrence are attractive for clinicians as well as for patients. The usefulness of a risk prediction model is linked to the two questions whether the observed outcome is confirmed by the prediction and whether the risk prediction is accurate in predicting the future outcome, respectively. The first phrasing of the question is linked to considering sensitivity and specificity and the latter to the positive and negative predictive values. We present the measures of standardized total gain in positive and negative predictive values dealing with the performance or accuracy of the prediction model for a binary outcome. Both measures provide a useful tool for assessing the performance or accuracy of a set of predictor variables for the prediction of a binary outcome. This concept is a tool for evaluating the optimal prediction model in future research.Biometrical Journal 10/2012; 54(6):808-23. · 1.25 Impact Factor -
Article: PSYCHOMETRIC PROPERTIES OF THE DIMENSIONAL ANXIETY SCALES FOR DSM-V IN AN UNSELECTED SAMPLE OF GERMAN TREATMENT SEEKING PATIENTS.
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ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Dimensional assessments are planned to be included as supplements to categorical diagnoses in DSM-V. The aim of this study was to examine the unidimensionality, reliability, validity, and clinical sensitivity of brief self-rated scales for specific anxiety disorders in an unselected German sample of consecutive attendees to a psychological clinic. These scales use a common template to assess core constructs of fear and anxiety. METHODS: Dimensional scales for social anxiety disorder, specific phobia, agoraphobia, panic disorder, and generalized anxiety disorder were administered along with established scales to 102 adults seeking treatment for mental health problems at a German university outpatient clinic for psychotherapy. The computer-assisted clinical version of the Munich-Composite International Diagnostic Interview was used to assess mental disorders according to DSM-IV criteria. Dimensionality and scale reliability were examined using confirmatory factor analyses. Convergent and discriminant validity were examined by testing differences in the size of correlations between each dimensional anxiety scale and each of the previously validated scales. Each dimensional scale's ability to correctly differentiate between individuals with versus without an anxiety diagnosis was examined via the area under the curve. RESULTS: Analyses revealed unidimensionality for each scale, high reliability, and convergent and discriminant validity. Classification performance was good to excellent for all scales except for specific phobia. CONCLUSIONS: The application of the dimensional anxiety scales may be an effective way to screen for specific anxiety disorders and to supplement categorical diagnoses in DSM-V, although further evaluation and refinement of the scales (particularly the specific phobia scale) is needed.Depression and Anxiety 08/2012; · 4.18 Impact Factor -
Article: Longitudinale Assoziationen zwischen depressiven Symptomen und Typ-2-Diabetes sowie deren Auswirkung auf die Mortalität von Hausarztpatienten
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ABSTRACT: Es gibt widersprüchliche Befunde darüber, ob depressive Symptome Risikofaktoren für die Neumanifestation eines Diabetes sind oder ob umgekehrt auch Diabetes ein Risikofaktor für depressive Zustände ist. Daher untersuchen wir die längsschnittlichen wechselseitigen Assoziationen zwischen depressiven Symptomen und Typ-2-Diabetes (T2D) sowie die Auswirkungen des gemeinsamen Auftretens beider Erkrankungen auf die Mortalität anhand einer Stichprobe von Hausarztpatienten im Verlauf eines im Mittel 3,5-jährigen Beobachtungszeitraums. Die depressive Symptomatik wurde anhand des Depression Screening Questionnaire (DSQ) kategorial sowie dimensional betrachtet. Die Einteilung in Patienten mit normalem Nüchternblutzucker (NBZ), erhöhtem NBZ sowie T2D (unbehandelt, medikamentös, mit Insulin/kombiniert behandelt) erfolgte nach Arztangaben beziehungsweise nach Laborbefunden zur Baseline-Untersuchung. Die Inzidenz des T2D bei Patienten mit beziehungsweise ohne depressive Symptome betrug 25,6 und 20,9 pro 1000Personenjahre. Bei dimensionaler Betrachtung des DSQ erhöhte sich das T2D-Risiko (unadjustiert) um das 1,03-Fache [KI (95%): 1,01–1,06] bei punktweisem Anstieg des DSQ. Die Inzidenz depressiver Symptome per 1000Personenjahre betrug 30,5 für Patienten mit normalem, 34,2 für Patienten mit erhöhtem NBZ, 36,4 für unbehandelte, 32,3 für oral behandelte und 47,8 für insulinbehandelte T2D-Patienten. Verglichen mit Patienten mit einem normalen NBZ hatten insulinbehandelte Patienten ein höheres Risiko für depressive Symptome [HR: 1,71; KI (95%): 1,03–2,83] und oral behandelte T2D-Patienten ein niedrigeres Risiko [HR: 0,58; KI (95%): 0,36–0,96]. Verglichen mit Patienten ohne T2D und depressiver Symptomatik ist das Vorliegen beider Erkrankungen mit einer erhöhten Mortalität assoziiert [HR: 2,49; KI (95%):1,45–4,28]. Die Ergebnisse deuten an, dass vor allem eine Insulinbehandlung bei T2D-Patienten mit inzidenten depressiven Symptomen assoziiert ist. It is unclear whether depressive symptoms are a risk factor for incident diabetes or diabetes is a risk factor for depressive conditions. Therefore, we examined the longitudinal bidirectional associations between depressive symptoms and type 2 diabetes (T2D) as well as the impact of both diseases on (all cause) mortality in a sample of primary care patients over a 3.5-years follow-up period on average. Depressive symptomatology, defined by the Depression Screening Questionnaire (DSQ), was examined both categorically and dimensionally. Patients were categorized as normal fasting glucose (NFG), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and T2D (untreated, oral antidiabetics, insulin/combined treatment) according to physician ratings and baseline lab values. Incidence rates of T2D were 25.6 and 20.9 per 1000 person–years for those with and without depressive symptoms, respectively. The unadjusted risk of incident type 2 diabetes was 1.03 times higher (CI(95%): 1.01–1.06) for each 1-point increment in DSQ score. The incidence rates of elevated depressive symptoms per 1000 person–years were 30.5 for NFG, 34.2 for IFG, 36.4 for untreated T2D, 32.3 for oral treated T2D, and 47.8 for insulin/combined-treated T2D patients. Compared to NFG patients, insulin-treated patients had a higher risk of incident depressive symptoms (HR: 1.71; CI(95%): 1.03–2.83) and oral-treated patients had a lower risk (HR: 0.58; CI(95%): 0.36–0.96). Higher mortality rates were associated with both diseases compared to patients without T2D or depressive symptoms at baseline (HR: 2.49; CI(95%):1.45–4.28). Results indicate that especially insulin treatment in T2D patients is associated with incident depressive symptoms. SchlüsselwörterDepressive Symptomatik–Typ-2-Diabetes–Mortalität–Längsschnittuntersuchung–Primärärztliche Versorgung KeywordsDepressive symptoms–Type 2 diabetes mellitus–Mortality–Longitudinal design–Primary careBundesgesundheitsblatt - Gesundheitsforschung - Gesundheitsschutz 04/2012; 54(1):98-107. · 0.66 Impact Factor -
Article: Depression als komorbide Störung in der primärärztlichen Versorgung
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ABSTRACT: Auf der Grundlage der DETECT-Studie1 wird die querschnittliche Assoziation depressiver Störungen mit einem weiten Spektrum körperlicher Erkrankungen in einer bundesweit repräsentativen Stichprobe von 51.000 Patienten aus der primärärztlichen Versorgung in Deutschland sowie der Zusammenhang mit gesundheitsbezogener Lebensqualität und Arbeitsunfähigkeit untersucht. Das Vorliegen einer Depression wurde über den Depression Screening Questionnaire (DSQ) mit seinem ICD-10 Algorithmus ermittelt. Bei einer Gesamt-Querschnittsprävalenz depressiver Störungen von 7,5 % ergaben sich erhöhte Depressionsraten und signifikante Assoziationen für nahezu alle untersuchten Krankheitsgruppen. (1) Ko- und Multimorbidität somatischer als auch somatischer mit depressiven Störungen sind die Regel: „Reine“ (nicht komorbide) Depressionen sind ebenso wie reine somatische Erkrankungen die Ausnahme. (2) Das Depressionsrisiko steigt stetig mit der Anzahl komorbider Krankheiten. (3) Besonders ausgeprägte Assoziationen ergaben sich für schwergradige Herzinsuffizienzen (OR: 5,8), diabetische Folgekomplikationen (OR: 1,7–2,0), koronare Herzerkrankungen (KHK) (OR: 1,7), zerebrale Insulte (OR: 2,5) sowie muskuloskelettäre Erkrankungen (OR: 1,5). Demgegenüber waren z. B. die Raten bei Hyperlipidämie (OR: 1,1) nur leicht erhöht. (4) Komorbide Depression und steigende Multimorbidität waren mit stetig zunehmenden Arbeitsunfähigkeits- raten und absinkender gesundheitsbezogener Lebensqualität assoziiert. Angesichts der quantitativen Bedeutung der Depression sowie des mit Multimorbidität drastisch ansteigenden Depressionsrisikos und der damit verbundenen hohen direkten und indirekten Krankheitslast für das Gesundheitssystem und die Gesellschaft ist das hohe Ausmaß der Unterschätzung von Depression in der Routineversorgung besorgniserregend. As part of the DETECT study, a nationwide representative clinical-epidemiological study, the frequency and associated problems of comorbid depression with a wide range of somatic illnesses were studied in N = 51,000 primary care patients. Further the association with health related quality of life and disability is examined. Depression was assessed with the Depression Screening Questionnaire (DSQ) with an ICD-10 algorithm. Results: (1) 7.5 % of all primary care patients met criteria for ICD-10 depressive disorders. (2) Depression risk was increased whenever any somatic disorder was present and increased in a dose-response relationship by number of comorbid conditions. (3) Elevation of depression risk was fairly independent of type of diagnosis, although associations with coronary heart disease (OR: 1.7), diabetic complications (OR: 1.7– 2.0), stroke (OR: 2.5) and pain-related chronic disorders (OR: 1.5) were particularly pronounced. Moderate associations were found for hyperlipidaemia (OR: 1.1). (4) Associated with the increasing number of comorbid conditions, patients with comor- bid depression had increasingly more disability days and lower health related quality of life. It is concluded that the degree to which the frequency and the deleterious effects of comorbid depression is underestimated and unrecognized is alarming. The use of comorbidity indices might improve recognition.Bundesgesundheitsblatt - Gesundheitsforschung - Gesundheitsschutz 04/2012; 51(4):411-421. · 0.66 Impact Factor -
Article: The DETECT adherence score--structure and psychometric exploration of a novel approach to measure adherence to drug and non-drug interventions in primary care.
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ABSTRACT: There is substantial evidence that patient compliance or rather adherence to medical measures and recommendations for lifestyle changes can pivotally influence the prognosis of the patients or disease progression. However, the scientific evaluation and the statistical analysis of "patient adherence" are extremely difficult due to the fact that the construct of "adherence" is complex and comprised of many layers, and varies greatly in different disease groups. With this paper, we describe the development and structure of this novel assessment tool that takes past and prospective information on different facets of drug and behavioural adherence into account, expected to result in considerably improved prediction of future cardiovascular risk. We suggest a simple scoring scheme and explore the psychometric properties and the higher order factorial structure. In this exploratory study the "Diabetes Cardiovascular Risk Evaluation Targets and Essential Data for Commitment of Treatment" (DETECT) adherence score revealed good psychometric properties in terms of internal consistency and factorial structure, suggesting that its further exploration in terms of external validity is promising. Findings also underline that it is useful and informative to cover within one score both, pharmacologic and non-pharmacologic interventions in primary care. Our combination in this respect is unique, as most studies conducted on this subject so far aimed at assessing solely drug adherence or behavioural adherence.International journal of methods in psychiatric research. 06/2011; 20(2):82-92.
