Question

Do you know any standard guidelines or protocol about the Delphi Method?

We are trying to define the outcome criteria of new Japanese legislation of forensic mental health. For this purpose we plan to apply the Delphi Method. However I have no experience of the research using it.
Apr 16, 2012

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  • Antonio Ventilii · Universidade Estadual de Campinas
    There are many reseouces that you can look for. It is a powerfull comunication technic to deal with large groups of specialists.
    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleListURL&_method=list&_ArticleListID=1955622519&_sort=r&_st=13&view=c&_acct=C000228598&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=10&md5=bc708afe977ac55421401eca03ef2b23&searchtype=a
    You may find good references in www.sciencedirect.com .
    Or:
    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162510002155
    or even a book online:
    http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/
    Good luck in your research. I will my Delphi survey soon...
    Apr 16, 2012
  • Jim Burke · TASC Inc.
    Delphi was created by RAND and has been improved over the years. The only challenge with Delphi is that it tends to coalesce around experts and sometimes the insights on the margins that would be helpful are washed out.
    Ted Gordon is a pioneed in Delphi and also has done much work to improve the process. A useful paper is at http://personales.alumno.upv.es/~cargupe/docs/delphi/5-delphi.pdf. I tried to attach a copy and it did not work. If you cannot retrieve the paper at the link, send me your email and I will send you a copy.
    Jim
    Apr 16, 2012
  • Akihiro Shiina · Chiba University
    I can read the documents you showed and they will help me a lot. Thank you!
    Apr 16, 2012
  • Jim Burke · TASC Inc.
    Great. And Antonio's references are wonderful. Hal Linstone has done great work, but I must confess that I did not know of his work in Delphi. Shame on me.
    Apr 16, 2012
  • Rob Hyndman · Monash University
    Check out http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0169-2070(99)00018-7 and the commentaries that follow.
    Apr 16, 2012
  • Aharon Hauptman · Tel Aviv University
    The Delphi method has been extensively used in Japan, by NISTEP (since the 70's). You can learn about the method in their reports. The 9-th report can be found here: http://www.nistep.go.jp/achiev/l_all-e.html#NR (see reports 140-142)
    Apr 16, 2012

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